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Earnings Preview

Earnings Preview for Apr 13 - 17

April 09, 2009 | Comments: 0
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Intel Corporation (INTC - Analyst Report) and Crown Holdings (CCK - Snapshot Report) could top expectations. CSX Corporation (CSX - Snapshot Report) and Mattel, Inc. (MAT - Analyst Report) could disappoint.

This will be the first busy week for earnings season. Though the total number of reports is limited, just 68, nearly half will be from large-cap and mega-cap companies.

Financials will be in particular focus. Citigroup (C - Analyst Report), Goldman Sachs (GS - Analyst Report) and JPMorgan Chase (JPM - Analyst Report) will release results. General Electric (GE - Analyst Report) is also on the docket and all eyes will be on its finance division.

Outside the financial sector, reports from Intel (INTC - Analyst Report), Johnson & Johnson (JNJ - Analyst Report) and Google (GOOG - Analyst Report) could impact market direction.

The Fed will add to the potential volatility with Wednesday afternoon's release of the Beige Book. Inflation and housing data are also on the economic calendar.

  • Tuesday: March Producer Price Index (PPI), March auto sales, February business inventories
  • Wednesday: March Consumer Price Index (CPI), April Empire State manufacturing index, March industrial production and capacity utilization, weekly crude inventories, Fed Beige Book
  • Thursday: March housing starts and building permits, April Philadelphia Fed survey, weekly initial jobless claims
  • Friday: Preliminary April University of Michigan consumer confidence survey

The Federal Reserve's web site is not listing any upcoming speeches from Fed officials. The next Fed meeting will occur on Apr 28 and 29.

April stock options will expire on Friday.

How results from the financial companies are perceived could have the biggest impact on market direction. Financial stocks have been trading off of sentiment (as opposed to fundamentals or technicals), so sentiment about the quarterly reports will matter much more than the actual numbers themselves.

Companies That Could Issue Positive Earnings Surprises

Six brokerage analysts have raised their first-quarter earnings estimates on Intel Corporation (INTC - Analyst Report) within the past 30 days. Though the consensus estimate remains unchanged at 3 cents per share despite the revisions, the most accurate estimate calls for profits of 4 cents per share. Guidance could be better-than-feared given recent increases in full-year forecasts. The chipmaker has topped expectations during 3 out of the last 4 quarters. Intel is scheduled to report on Tuesday, Apr 14, after the close of trading.

Crown Holdings (CCK - Snapshot Report) has topped expectations during 6 out of the last 7 quarters. Though one analyst did recently lower his first-quarter profit projection, the consensus earnings estimate remains unchanged at 21 cents per share. There is risk, but the historic trend bodes well for another positive surprise. CCK is scheduled to report on Thursday, Apr 16, before the start of trading.

Companies That Could Issue Negative Earnings Surprises

More than half of the covering brokerage analysts have cut their first-quarter profit projections on CSX Corporation (CSX - Snapshot Report) during the past few weeks. The negative revisions have caused the consensus earnings estimate to fall 8 cents to 54 cents per share. The most accurate estimate is even more bearish at 50 cents per share. The railroad company has missed expectations once over the past 3 quarters. CSX is scheduled to report on Wednesday, Apr 15, before the start of trading.

Mattel, Inc. (MAT - Analyst Report) has missed expectations during 3 out of the last 4 quarters, and analysts are bracing for another disappointment. Negative revisions by 3 of the 15 covering brokerage analysts over the past few weeks have sent the first-quarter consensus estimate a penny lower to a loss of 13 cents per share. The most accurate estimate is more bearish and calls for a loss of 17 cents per share. Mattel is scheduled to report on Friday, Apr 17, before the start of trading.

Charles Rotblut, CFA is the senior market analyst for Zacks.com. He can be reached at crotblut@zacks.com.


Surprise Trader can help you turn earnings surprises into quick profits. Learn how.

Earnings Calendar

Here is a list of companies that we have confirmed will report during the week of Apr 13 - 171. Prices are as of Tuesday's, Apr 7, market close.

Company Ticker Zacks
Consensus
Estimate
Year Ago
Actual
Last Qtr
Surprise
Date Time Price
Bank Ozarks OZRK - Snapshot Report $0.52 $0.46 3.8% 4/13 AMC $21.46
China Grenrech GRRF - Analyst Report ($0.23) ($0.24) 0.0% 4/14 AMC $1.70
Csx Corp CSX - Snapshot Report $0.54 $0.80 0.0% 4/14 AMC $27.81
Fastenal FAST - Analyst Report $0.34 $0.46 2.4% 4/14 BTO $35.85
Goldman Sachs GS - Analyst Report $1.35 $3.23 (37.7%) 4/14 BTO $116.08
Grainger W W GWW - Analyst Report $1.10 $1.43 9.7% 4/14 BTO $72.27
Intel Corp INTC - Analyst Report $0.03 $0.29 0.0% 4/14 AMC $15.45
Johnson & Johns JNJ - Analyst Report $1.21 $1.26 2.2% 4/14 BTO $51.36
Linear Tec Corp LLTC - Analyst Report $0.22 $0.44 2.9% 4/14 N/A $22.34
Abbott Labs ABT - Analyst Report $0.70 $0.63 0.0% 4/15 BTO $42.92
Acergy Sa ACGY - Analyst Report $0.17 $0.20 25.0% 4/15 BTO $6.26
Adtran Inc ADTN - Snapshot Report $0.23 $0.26 3.6% 4/15 N/A $16.89
Aptargroup Inc ATR - Snapshot Report $0.38 $0.52 4.6% 4/15 AMC $31.70
Crown Hldgs Inc CCK - Snapshot Report $0.21 $0.17 29.4% 4/15 AMC $21.93
Datalink Corp DTLK - Snapshot Report ($0.06) $0.04 (30.0%) 4/15 AMC $2.87
Infosys Tec-Adr INFY - Analyst Report $0.55 $0.54 0.0% 4/15 BTO $28.19
Landstar System LSTR - Snapshot Report $0.29 $0.45 (2.1%) 4/15 AMC $33.59
Lufkin Inds LUFK - Snapshot Report $1.42 $1.01 25.3% 4/15 BTO $37.39
Mercantile Bank MBWM - Snapshot Report ($0.03) ($0.44) 300.0% 4/15 N/A $5.65
Peabody Energy BTU - Analyst Report $0.96 $0.26 46.0% 4/15 BTO $26.37
Piper Jaffray PJC - Snapshot Report ($0.18) ($0.22) 38.6% 4/15 BTO $25.54
Progressive Cor PGR - Analyst Report $0.41 $0.35 (11.8%) 4/15 BTO $13.57
Stanley Furn Co STLY - Snapshot Report ($0.04) $0.12 (250.0%) 4/15 AMC $7.84
Univl Fst Prods UFPI - Analyst Report ($0.21) ($0.24) 81.8% 4/15 AMC $28.40
Amer River Bsh AMRB - Snapshot Report $0.29 $0.31 (3.0%) 4/16 BTO $9.45
Amphenol Corp-A APH - Analyst Report $0.40 $0.54 6.0% 4/16 BTO $28.90
Assoc Banc Corp ASBC - Snapshot Report $0.25 $0.52 (66.7%) 4/16 N/A $15.18
Baxter Intl BAX - Analyst Report $0.81 $0.74 2.3% 4/16 BTO $48.32
Briggs & Stratt BGG - Snapshot Report $0.65 $0.75 50.0% 4/16 BTO $16.00
Courier Corp CRRC - Snapshot Report $0.16 $0.27 100.0% 4/16 BTO $16.15
Cypress Semicon CY - Analyst Report ($0.46) ($0.08) 9.1% 4/16 BTO $6.90
Cytec Inds Inc CYT - Snapshot Report $0.31 $1.08 (23.1%) 4/16 AMC $16.83
Fairchild Semi FCS - Snapshot Report ($0.32) $0.19 20.0% 4/16 BTO $4.45
Gannett Inc GCI - Snapshot Report $0.25 $0.77 3.7% 4/16 BTO $2.69
Genuine Parts GPC - Analyst Report $0.50 $0.75 (6.8%) 4/16 BTO $30.77
Google Inc-Cl A GOOG - Analyst Report $4.24 $4.12 3.5% 4/16 AMC $358.65
Harley-Davidson HOG - Analyst Report $0.52 $0.79 (40.4%) 4/16 BTO $16.10
Icu Medical Inc ICUI - Snapshot Report $0.30 $0.20 41.9% 4/16 AMC $30.89
Ill Tool Works ITW - Analyst Report $0.15 $0.79 14.9% 4/16 BTO $30.71
Insteel Inds IIIN - Snapshot Report ($0.04) $0.39 (23.1%) 4/16 BTO $6.39
Intuitive Surg ISRG - Analyst Report $1.06 $1.12 (1.6%) 4/16 AMC $96.78
Jpmorgan Chase JPM - Analyst Report $0.32 $0.68 (2150.0%) 4/16 BTO $27.25
Knoll Inc KNL - Snapshot Report $0.20 $0.36 23.8% 4/16 BTO $6.34
Mission West MSW - Snapshot Report $0.13 $0.14 (14.3%) 4/16 N/A $6.45
Parker Hannifin PH - Analyst Report $0.56 $1.49 12.9% 4/16 BTO $36.61
Peoples Utd Fin PBCT - Snapshot Report $0.10 $0.15 (15.4%) 4/16 AMC $17.90
Polaris Indus PII - Snapshot Report $0.20 $0.55 1.8% 4/16 BTO $23.94
Ppg Inds Inc PPG - Snapshot Report $0.13 $1.07 2.5% 4/16 N/A $42.80
Renaissnce Lrng RLRN - Snapshot Report $0.09 $0.09 16.7% 4/16 AMC $8.89
Sherwin William SHW - Snapshot Report $0.21 $0.65 13.2% 4/16 BTO $50.83
Simmons First A SFNC - Snapshot Report $0.34 $0.45 0.0% 4/16 BTO $25.68
Sonoco Products SON - Analyst Report $0.30 $0.54 0.0% 4/16 BTO $21.50
Southwest Air LUV - Analyst Report $0.04 $0.06 33.3% 4/16 BTO $6.75
Titan Machinery TITN - Snapshot Report $0.21 N/A 95.7% 4/16 BTO $10.10
Ultratech Step UTEK - Snapshot Report $0.04 $0.08 21.4% 4/16 BTO $11.63
Umpqua Hldgs Cp UMPQ - Snapshot Report $0.01 $0.23 (58.3%) 4/16 BTO $9.16
Usa Truck Inc USAK - Snapshot Report ($0.06) ($0.19) 80.0% 4/16 AMC $12.81
Valmont Inds VMI - Analyst Report $1.09 $1.13 4.8% 4/16 N/A $51.87
Vascular Solutn VASC - Snapshot Report $0.06 $0.01 (25.0%) 4/16 AMC $6.28
Vertex Pharm VRTX - Analyst Report ($0.83) ($0.72) -3.26% 4/16 AMC $26.23
Bb&T Corp BBT - Analyst Report $0.33 $0.73 (13.7%) 4/17 BTO $16.90
Citigroup Inc C - Analyst Report ($0.29) ($1.02) (113.8%) 4/17 BTO $2.76
First Hrzn Natl FHN - Analyst Report ($0.24) $0.06 20.6% 4/17 BTO $11.05
Genl Electric GE - Analyst Report $0.23 $0.44 0.0% 4/17 BTO $10.65
Mattel Inc MAT - Analyst Report ($0.13) ($0.13) (31.0%) 4/17 BTO $12.54
Media Genl A MEG - Snapshot Report ($0.05) ($0.44) (15.2%) 4/17 BTO $2.06
Prosperity Bcsh PRSP - Snapshot Report $0.54 $0.52 6.5% 4/17 BTO $27.79
Smith (Ao) Corp AOS - Snapshot Report $0.41 $0.72 3.6% 4/17 BTO $25.83

BTO = Before The Market Open, AMC = After The Market Close

1Some of the companies listed in the earnings calendar may not be in the Zacks Rank universe.


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Market Summary Feb 09, 2010 22:24 pm ET
DJIA 10058.64  150.25 1.52%
NASD 2150.87  24.82 1.17%
S&P 500 1070.52  13.78 1.30%