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Earnings Preview

Earnings Preview for May 18 - 22

May 15, 2009 | Comments: 0
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TGT | DE | HD | GPS | ARO | LOW | HPQ | MTLQQ
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First-quarter earnings season nears an end with Hewlett-Packard (HPQ - Analyst Report), Home Depot (HD - Analyst Report), Lowe's (LOW - Snapshot Report) and Target (TGT - Snapshot Report) reporting. Joining them will be 15 other members of the S&P 500. In total, we have confirmed reports from 124 companies.

There is not much on the economic calendar, though the minutes from the April Fed meeting will be released on Wednesday afternoon (2 p.m.).

  • Tuesday: April building permits and housing starts
  • Wednesday: April Fed minutes, weekly crude inventories
  • Thursday: Phili Fed survey, April Leading Indicators, weekly initial jobless claims

Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke will deliver a commencement speech at the Boston College Law School on Friday afternoon. Vice Chairman Donald Kohn will speak at a conference about fiscal policy in Princeton, N.J. on Saturday afternoon.

Volume could be light on Friday as traders and fund managers leave early for the holiday weekend. The U.S. markets will be closed on Monday, May 25.

Keep an eye on General Motors (GM). A bankruptcy filing could occur any day now.

The end of first-quarter earnings season removes a catalyst for the bulls. Given that stocks have rallied for 8 out of 10 weeks, a pullback is overdue and I think it has started.

Companies That Could Issue Positive Earnings Surprises

Despite the recession, Aeropostale (ARO - Snapshot Report) continues to enjoy strong growth. April same-store sales surged 20%, leading the company to hike its first-quarter guidance by 14 cents to 46 cents per share. Brokerage analysts are even more bullish and think the casual clothing retailer could announce profits of 48 cents per share. ARO has topped expectations during 3 out of the last 4 quarters. Aeropostale is scheduled to report on Thursday, Apr 21, after the close of trading.

Though same-store sales continue to fall, Gap Inc. (GPS - Analyst Report) recently said that first-quarter earnings would top expectations. The company guided for profits of 29 to 30 cents per share, 6 cents more than what brokerage analysts were projecting in early May. (Revisions by 11 of the 19 covering analysts have since pushed the consensus earnings estimate up to 30 cents per share.) GPS has a long track record of topping expectations. GAP is scheduled to report on May 21, after the close of trading.

About one-quarter of the covering brokerage analysts have raised their fourth-quarter estimates on Home Depot (HD - Analyst Report) in recent weeks. The revisions have nudged the consensus earnings estimate a penny higher to 28 cents per share. The most accurate estimate is more bullish at 30 cents per share. The home improvement retailer has topped expectations for 4 consecutive quarters. Home Depot is scheduled to report on Tuesday, May 19, before the start of trading.

Target (TGT - Snapshot Report) recently predicted that its first-quarter earnings would be "well above" the consensus estimate. Brokerage analysts quickly adjusted their models, sending the consensus earnings estimate up to 60 cents per share - an increase of 11 cents from 30 days ago. The most accurate estimate is slightly more bullish at 61 cents per share. This is a riskier call, however, because TGT does not have a good history of topping expectations. Target is scheduled to report on Wednesday, May 20, before the start of trading.

Companies That Could Issue Negative Earnings Surprises

Deere & Co. (DE - Analyst Report) has missed expectations for 4 consecutive quarters. Analysts seem to be bracing for another miss as is evident by the recent 2-cent drop in the consensus earnings estimate. The average fiscal second-quarter forecast now calls for profits of $1.10 per share. The most accurate estimate is more bearish at a $1.07 per share. Deere is scheduled to report on Wednesday, May 20, before the start of trading.

Charles Rotblut, CFA is the senior market analyst for Zacks.com. He can be reached at crotblut@zacks.com.


Surprise Trader can help you turn earnings surprises into quick profits. Learn how.

Earnings Calendar

Here is a list of companies that we have confirmed will report during the week of May 18 - 221. Prices are as of Thursday's, May 14, market close.

Company Stock Zacks
Estimate
Year Ago
EPS
Last
Qtr
Surprise
Date Time Price
Airmedia Gp-Adr AMCN - Snapshot Report $0.00 $0.10 (13.3%) 5/18 AMC $5.72
Amer Apparel APP - Snapshot Report ($0.02) $0.02 (28.6%) 5/18 AMC $5.45
China Ritar Pwr CRTP - Snapshot Report $0.02 $0.03 (86.7%) 5/18 N/A $1.90
Derma Sciences DSCI ($0.01) ($0.04) 0.0% 5/18 BTO $0.36
Doctor Reddys RDY - Analyst Report $0.33 $0.15 N/A 5/18 N/A $11.65
Dri Corp TBUS - Snapshot Report ($0.03) $0.06 20.0% 5/18 N/A $1.20
Hasting Entmt HAST - Snapshot Report $0.13 $0.28 (350.0%) 5/18 BTO $3.48
Himax Tech-Adr HIMX - Snapshot Report $0.03 $0.18 12.5% 5/18 AMC $2.52
Ituran Location ITRN - Snapshot Report $0.18 $0.18 (3.5%) 5/18 BTO $7.47
Kit Digital Inc KDGL ($0.33) ($9.44) 0.0% 5/18 AMC $8.49
Lowes Cos LOW - Snapshot Report $0.25 $0.41 (8.3%) 5/18 N/A $18.87
Perfect World PWRD - Snapshot Report $0.47 $0.38 65.6% 5/18 BTO $18.34
Petro Resources PRC ($0.02) ($0.04) (300.0%) 5/18 N/A $0.33
Radiant Logist RLGT $0.01 $0.00 200.0% 5/18 N/A $0.16
Simcere Pharmac SCR - Snapshot Report $0.17 $0.25 (25.0%) 5/18 AMC $7.65
Smf Energy Corp FUEL ($0.04) ($0.10) 28.6% 5/18 N/A $0.26
Spectrum Pharma SPPI - Snapshot Report ($0.11) ($0.28) 29.4% 5/18 N/A $4.07
Tsakos Egy Navg TNP - Snapshot Report $0.64 $1.70 (7.5%) 5/18 BTO $19.01
Valspar Corp VAL - Analyst Report $0.35 $0.41 (4.8%) 5/18 BTO $22.78
Vimicro Int-Ads VIMC - Snapshot Report ($0.14) ($0.09) (50.0%) 5/18 AMC $1.79
012 Smile.Com SMLC - Snapshot Report $0.18 $0.25 (25.0%) 5/19 BTO $5.49
3Sbio Inc-Ads SSRX - Snapshot Report $0.12 $0.13 (27.3%) 5/19 AMC $8.01
Analog Devices ADI - Analyst Report $0.09 $0.44 20.0% 5/19 AMC $20.09
Dicks Sprtg Gds DKS - Snapshot Report $0.06 $0.17 5.8% 5/19 BTO $17.94
Dycom Inds DY - Snapshot Report $0.05 $0.14 (100.0%) 5/19 AMC $7.82
E-House China EJ - Snapshot Report $0.05 $0.11 16.7% 5/19 BTO $12.49
Excel Maritime EXM - Analyst Report $0.12 $1.93 141.5% 5/19 AMC $9.06
Hewlett Packard HPQ - Analyst Report $0.86 $0.87 0.0% 5/19 AMC $34.93
Home Depot HD - Analyst Report $0.28 $0.41 18.8% 5/19 BTO $24.53
Ja Solar Holdgs JASO - Analyst Report ($0.06) $0.14 (366.7%) 5/19 BTO $3.35
Kana Software KANA ($0.03) ($0.01) (300.0%) 5/19 AMC $0.72
Kemet Corp KEME - Snapshot Report ($0.09) ($0.02) 25.0% 5/19 N/A $0.62
Medtronic MDT - Analyst Report $0.82 $0.78 0.0% 5/19 BTO $33.59
Oceanfreight In OCNF - Snapshot Report $0.13 $0.88 26.5% 5/19 AMC $1.39
Opnext Inc OPXT - Analyst Report ($0.26) $0.01 (1200.0%) 5/19 BTO $2.30
Paragon Shpgn-A PRGN - Snapshot Report $0.52 $0.59 (8.8%) 5/19 AMC $3.45
Phillips Van He PVH - Snapshot Report $0.48 $0.90 10.7% 5/19 AMC $26.18
Raven Inds Inc RAVN - Analyst Report $0.47 $0.60 (10.3%) 5/19 BTO $24.74
Saks Inc SKS - Analyst Report ($0.24) $0.13 (73.3%) 5/19 BTO $3.60
Solarfun Power SOLF - Snapshot Report ($0.17) $0.32 (471.4%) 5/19 BTO $4.75
The9 Ltd-Adr NCTY - Snapshot Report $0.33 $0.46 (26.5%) 5/19 AMC $9.15
Tjx Cos Inc New TJX - Snapshot Report $0.49 $0.41 7.8% 5/19 BTO $26.85
Tti Team Tele TTIL ($0.04) $0.05 (225.0%) 5/19 N/A $0.77
Advance Auto Pt AAP - Analyst Report $0.90 $0.86 37.8% 5/20 AMC $39.93
Anntaylor Stres ANN - Snapshot Report ($0.21) $0.47 (90.7%) 5/20 BTO $7.87
Bj'S Wholesale BJ - Analyst Report $0.44 $0.29 3.5% 5/20 BTO $36.40
Brady Corp Cl A BRC - Snapshot Report $0.33 $0.63 (44.1%) 5/20 N/A $21.91
Cato Corp A CTR $0.62 $0.58 18.2% 5/20 BTO $17.98
Chinaedu Cp-Adr CEDU - Snapshot Report $0.03 $0.01 500.0% 5/20 AMC $5.40
Citi Trends Inc CTRN - Analyst Report $0.43 $0.36 32.1% 5/20 AMC $22.33
Columbus Mckinn CMCO - Snapshot Report $0.33 $0.72 29.3% 5/20 BTO $12.83
Comp Science CSC - Snapshot Report $1.47 $1.44 4.9% 5/20 AMC $36.47
Deere & Co DE - Analyst Report $1.10 $1.74 (25.0%) 5/20 BTO $41.78
Eaton Vance EV - Snapshot Report $0.21 $0.43 15.8% 5/20 BTO $27.40
Elbit Systems ESLT - Snapshot Report $1.02 $0.75 5.3% 5/20 BTO $53.52
Gymboree Corp GYMB - Snapshot Report $0.71 $0.86 2.0% 5/20 AMC $32.76
Hoku Scientific HOKU - Snapshot Report ($0.08) ($0.12) (300.0%) 5/20 BTO $2.75
Hot Topic Inc HOTT - Analyst Report $0.02 ($0.03) 0.0% 5/20 AMC $8.74
Intuit Inc INTU - Analyst Report $1.53 $1.33 8.0% 5/20 AMC $24.32
Limited Inc LTD - Snapshot Report ($0.04) $0.10 6.3% 5/20 AMC $11.13
Medcath Corp MDTH - Snapshot Report $0.23 $0.30 (6.3%) 5/20 AMC $9.74
Melco Pbl Entmt MPEL - Snapshot Report ($0.07) $0.10 20.0% 5/20 BTO $5.48
Miva Inc MIVA ($0.06) ($0.16) 7.1% 5/20 AMC $0.31
Netapp Inc NTAP - Snapshot Report $0.15 $0.31 0.0% 5/20 AMC $17.41
Netease.Com-Adr NTES - Analyst Report $0.46 $0.30 27.3% 5/20 AMC $30.55
Petsmart Inc PETM - Analyst Report $0.30 $0.32 5.1% 5/20 AMC $21.10
Semtech Corp SMTC - Analyst Report $0.06 $0.17 0.0% 5/20 AMC $14.14
Synopsys Inc SNPS - Analyst Report $0.31 $0.33 8.8% 5/20 AMC $20.56
Target Corp TGT - Snapshot Report $0.60 $0.74 (3.6%) 5/20 BTO $40.48
Techtarget TTGT - Snapshot Report ($0.06) $0.00 0.0% 5/20 AMC $4.45
Tween Brands TWB - Snapshot Report ($0.16) $0.21 (188.1%) 5/20 BTO $2.90
Westell Tech-A WSTL - Analyst Report ($0.03) ($0.05) 0.0% 5/20 AMC $0.44
8X8 Inc EGHT $0.01 $0.01 (100.0%) 5/21 AMC $0.71
Aeropostale Inc ARO - Snapshot Report $0.48 $0.26 1.0% 5/21 AMC $32.79
Alkermes Inc ALKS - Analyst Report ($0.13) ($0.07) (1.7%) 5/21 AMC $8.63
Aruba Networks ARUN - Snapshot Report ($0.08) ($0.07) 37.5% 5/21 AMC $4.76
Autodesk Inc ADSK - Snapshot Report $0.00 $0.41 (7.1%) 5/21 AMC $18.84
Barnes & Noble BKS - Snapshot Report ($0.15) $0.05 12.2% 5/21 BTO $22.23
Black Box Corp BBOX - Snapshot Report $0.64 $0.74 3.7% 5/21 AMC $25.20
Bon-Ton Stores BONT - Snapshot Report ($3.72) ($2.03) (13.2%) 5/21 BTO $3.64
Bristow Group BRS - Snapshot Report $0.63 $0.82 (8.5%) 5/21 BTO $25.57
Brocade Comm Sy BRCD - Snapshot Report $0.06 $0.15 7.1% 5/21 AMC $6.00
Buckle Inc BKE - Snapshot Report $0.49 $0.41 1.4% 5/21 BTO $31.45
Casual Male Ret CMRG - Snapshot Report ($0.04) $0.00 (1100.0%) 5/21 BTO $1.34
Childrens Place PLCE - Snapshot Report $0.74 $0.66 4.3% 5/21 BTO $32.21
Cost Plus Inc CPWM - Analyst Report ($0.84) ($1.00) (340.0%) 5/21 AMC $1.90
Dillards Inc-A DDS - Snapshot Report ($0.23) $0.05 (206.7%) 5/21 AMC $7.60
Dress Barn DBRN - Snapshot Report $0.31 $0.39 (300.0%) 5/21 AMC $13.79
Foot Locker Inc FL - Snapshot Report $0.13 $0.14 41.2% 5/21 AMC $10.76
Gamestop Corp GME - Analyst Report $0.41 $0.38 0.0% 5/21 BTO $25.97
Gap Inc GPS - Analyst Report $0.30 $0.34 6.3% 5/21 AMC $15.41
Global Srcs-Ltd GSOL - Snapshot Report $0.03 $0.15 45.5% 5/21 BTO $5.84
Hibbet Sports HIBB - Analyst Report $0.37 $0.32 0.0% 5/21 AMC $18.01
Hormel Foods Cp HRL - Snapshot Report $0.50 $0.56 17.6% 5/21 BTO $32.44
Hurray Hldg-Adr HRAY - Analyst Report ($0.08) $0.07 (3700.0%) 5/21 BTO $2.80
Kirklands Inc KIRK - Analyst Report ($0.09) ($0.11) 13.5% 5/21 BTO $5.83
Ldk Solar Co LDK - Snapshot Report ($0.08) $0.45 (48.8%) 5/21 AMC $8.12
Mf Global Ltd MF - Snapshot Report $0.09 ($0.59) 0.0% 5/21 BTO $5.87
New York & Co NWY - Snapshot Report ($0.08) $0.11 (11.1%) 5/21 BTO $4.38
Nordson Corp NDSN - Snapshot Report $0.27 $0.97 25.8% 5/21 AMC $35.92
Pac Sunwear Cal PSUN - Snapshot Report ($0.30) ($0.17) 6.0% 5/21 AMC $3.74
Parlux Fragranc PARL - Snapshot Report $0.04 N/A (414.3%) 5/21 AMC $1.79
Patterson Cos PDCO - Snapshot Report $0.50 $0.51 2.3% 5/21 BTO $22.25
Perry Ellis Int PERY - Snapshot Report $0.23 $0.60 (3300.0%) 5/21 AMC $5.87
Red Robin Gourm RRGB - Analyst Report $0.33 $0.43 34.4% 5/21 AMC $19.93
Renesola Lt-Adr SOL - Analyst Report $0.07 $0.28 (187.5%) 5/21 BTO $3.40
Rosetta Genomic ROSG - Snapshot Report ($0.23) ($0.33) 10.7% 5/21 BTO $3.02
Ross Stores ROST - Snapshot Report $0.72 $0.60 0.0% 5/21 BTO $35.23
Safe Bulkers SB - Snapshot Report $0.65 N/A (4.8%) 5/21 AMC $5.68
Salesforce.Com CRM - Analyst Report $0.11 $0.08 57.1% 5/21 AMC $39.77
Schawk Inc-Cl A SGK - Snapshot Report ($0.05) $0.15 (55.6%) 5/21 AMC $6.91
Skillsoft Plc SKIL - Snapshot Report $0.13 $0.07 87.5% 5/21 AMC $7.37
Stage Stores SSI - Snapshot Report ($0.04) $0.06 0.0% 5/21 BTO $10.97
Stein Mart Inc SMRT - Snapshot Report $0.12 $0.17 (39.0%) 5/21 BTO $3.83
Suntech Pwr Hld STP - Snapshot Report ($0.07) $0.35 (29.2%) 5/21 BTO $14.73
Tech Data Corp TECD - Analyst Report $0.33 $0.43 60.3% 5/21 BTO $27.77
Telvent Git Sa TLVT - Snapshot Report $0.29 $0.37 33.9% 5/21 BTO $20.17
Toro Co TTC - Snapshot Report $0.93 $1.60 0.0% 5/21 BTO $27.31
Verigy Ltd VRGY - Snapshot Report ($0.65) $0.23 (18.6%) 5/21 AMC $10.68
Zumiez Inc ZUMZ - Analyst Report ($0.08) $0.05 10.53% 5/21 AMC $10.19
British Airways BAIRY - Analyst Report ($2.77) N/A N/A 5/22 N/A $24.52
Campbell Soup CPB - Analyst Report $0.43 $0.43 1.6% 5/22 BTO $26.75
Met-Pro Corp MPR - Snapshot Report $0.12 $0.13 (25.0%) 5/22 BTO $9.88
Yingli Green En YGE - Snapshot Report $0.03 $0.25 62.5% 5/22 BTO $8.08

BTO = Before The Market Open, AMC = After The Market Close

1Some of the companies listed in the earnings calendar may not be in the Zacks Rank universe.


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Market Summary Nov 08, 2009 07:24 am ET
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