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Earnings Preview

Earnings Preview for May 25 - 29

May 22, 2009 | Comments: 0
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AZO | BIG | DELL | DSW | MTLQQ | MRVL | COST

Dell (DELL - Analyst Report), AutoZone (AZO - Analyst Report), Big Lots (BIG - Snapshot Report) and Costco (COST - Snapshot Report) are among the most notable names for what will be a light week for earnings. Just 81 companies are confirmed to report, 9 of which are S&P 500 (SPX) members.

Housing data will be among the economic headlines with CaseShiller, existing home sales and new home sales data being released. We will also see the first set of revisions to Q1 GDP.

  • Tuesday: S&P/CaseShiller housing price index, Conference Board May consumer confidence index
  • Wednesday: April existing home sales, weekly crude inventories
  • Thursday: April new home sales, April durable goods orders, weekly initial jobless claims
  • Friday: Preliminary Q1 GDP, May Chicago PMI, revised May University of Michigan consumer confidence

Dallas Fed President Richard Fisher will discuss the economic outlook on Thursday, May 28 before the Washington Association of Money Managers.

The biggest news of the week should be General Motors (GM). The company has until May 26 to get bondholders to agree to a deal. If an agreement is not reached, it's hard to see how the automaker will meet the White House's June 1 deadline for a restructuring plan.

Bankruptcy seems likely. If a resolution is found (including a neat, prepackaged bankruptcy), the markets could react very positively. A contentious bankruptcy, however, could send stocks lower. The latter scenario seems more likely.

Companies That Could Issue Positive Earnings Surprises

Shares of AutoZone (AZO - Analyst Report) following the company's last 2 reports. Can AZO do it again?

Three of the 18 covering analysts have raised their fiscal third-quarter forecasts over the past few weeks, nudging the consensus earnings estimate a penny higher to $2.89 per share. The most accurate estimate is more bullish at $2.94. Keep in mind, however, that AZO has missed once in the past 3 quarters and one analyst recently lowered his projections. So there is some risk. AZO is scheduled to report on Wednesday, May 27, before the start of trading.

Big Lots (BIG - Snapshot Report) has topped expectations for nearly every quarter over the past 3 years. Ahead of the closeout retailer's first-quarter report, the majority of the covering analysts have raised their forecasts. These revisions pushed the consensus earnings estimate 3 cents higher to 40 cents per share. Big Lots is scheduled to report on Thursday, May 28, before the start of trading.

Marvell Technology Group (MRVL - Snapshot Report) has delivered 4 consecutive earnings surprises. Revisions by 2 of the 18 covering analysts resulted in the most accurate estimate calling for a 1-cent loss, which is a penny better than the consensus earnings estimate. The possibility for positive guidance also exists, given the commentary provided by other chipmakers. Marvell Technology Group is scheduled to report on Thursday, May 28, after the close of trading.

Companies That Could Issue Negative Earnings Surprises

DSW, Inc. (DSW - Snapshot Report) disappointed investors twice during the past 4 quarters. Some analysts believe another miss could be forthcoming, as is evidenced by the 1-cent fall in the consensus earnings estimate, to 14 cents per share. The most accurate estimate is even more bearish at 11 cents per share. DSW is scheduled to report on Thursday, May 28, before the start of trading.

Charles Rotblut, CFA is the senior market analyst for Zacks.com. He can be reached at crotblut@zacks.com.


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Earnings Calendar

Here is a list of companies that we have confirmed will report during the week of May 25 - 291. Prices are as of Thursday's, May 21, market close.

Company Stock Zacks
Estimate
Year Ago
EPS
Last
Qtr
Surprise
Date Time Price
Cninsure In-Adr CISG - Snapshot Report $0.15 $0.11 (22.2%) 5/25 AMC $9.14
Giant Interactv GA - Snapshot Report $0.14 $0.20 63.6% 5/25 BTO $8.20
Bank Montreal BMO - Snapshot Report $0.71 $1.24 14.7% 5/26 N/A $36.57
Borders Group BGP - Snapshot Report ($0.50) ($0.53) 12.9% 5/26 AMC $2.25
Canadian Solar CSIQ - Analyst Report ($0.25) $0.61 (373.3%) 5/26 BTO $10.50
Cellcom Israel CEL - Snapshot Report $0.54 $0.78 10.2% 5/26 N/A $26.00
China Fin Onlin JRJC - Snapshot Report $0.04 $0.15 (16.0%) 5/26 BTO $12.19
China Mass-Adr CMM - Snapshot Report $0.25 N/A (52.4%) 5/26 BTO $3.56
Donaldson Co DCI - Snapshot Report $0.30 $0.52 0.0% 5/26 AMC $31.49
Noah Education NED - Snapshot Report $0.12 $0.20 0.0% 5/26 BTO $3.80
Park City Grp PCYG ($0.07) ($0.03) (9.1%) 5/26 N/A $1.30
Shiloh Inds Inc SHLO ($0.26) $0.12 (152.9%) 5/26 N/A $2.35
Take-Two Inter TTWO - Snapshot Report ($0.21) $1.35 23.3% 5/26 AMC $9.23
Tata Communicat TCL - Snapshot Report $0.12 $0.10 N/A 5/26 N/A $24.74
Terremark Wrlwd TMRK - Snapshot Report $0.01 ($0.05) 0.0% 5/26 AMC $4.47
Afc Enterprises AFCE - Snapshot Report $0.19 $0.21 0.0% 5/27 BTO $5.94
Amer Eagle Outf AEO - Snapshot Report $0.07 $0.21 0.0% 5/27 BTO $13.59
Autozone Inc AZO - Analyst Report $2.89 $2.49 9.7% 5/27 BTO $154.54
Blue Coat Sys BCSI - Snapshot Report $0.14 $0.20 83.3% 5/27 AMC $15.91
Brown Shoe Co BWS - Snapshot Report ($0.31) $0.05 24.3% 5/27 BTO $6.32
Charming Shoppe CHRS - Snapshot Report ($0.07) $0.05 10.5% 5/27 BTO $3.14
Chicos Fas Fnc CHS - Snapshot Report $0.07 $0.07 17.6% 5/27 BTO $7.64
China Nepstar NPD - Snapshot Report $0.05 $0.04 50.0% 5/27 BTO $5.14
China Sunergy CSUN - Snapshot Report ($0.26) $0.01 (22.9%) 5/27 BTO $3.61
Coldwater Creek CWTR - Snapshot Report ($0.14) ($0.10) 13.0% 5/27 AMC $3.82
Cracker Barrel CBRL - Snapshot Report $0.44 $0.46 8.0% 5/27 BTO $29.62
Diamond Foods DMND - Analyst Report $0.14 $0.07 23.3% 5/27 AMC $23.51
Dollar Tree Inc DLTR - Snapshot Report $0.59 $0.48 1.8% 5/27 BTO $42.45
Flowers Foods FLO - Snapshot Report $0.41 $0.39 9.7% 5/27 BTO $21.64
Heico Corp HEI - Snapshot Report $0.41 $0.44 0.0% 5/27 AMC $28.80
Jo-Ann Stores A JAS - Snapshot Report $0.11 $0.12 (2.6%) 5/27 AMC $20.64
Longtop Fin-Adr LFT - Snapshot Report $0.15 $0.09 0.0% 5/27 AMC $20.94
Magma Design LAVA - Snapshot Report ($0.10) $0.08 6.3% 5/27 AMC $1.87
Netezza Corp NZ - Snapshot Report $0.02 $0.03 0.0% 5/27 AMC $7.24
On Track Innov OTIV - Snapshot Report ($0.15) ($0.35) (55.6%) 5/27 N/A $1.51
Palm Harbor Hms PHHM - Snapshot Report ($0.58) ($0.19) (56.8%) 5/27 AMC $2.22
Polo Ralph Laur RL - Snapshot Report $0.39 $1.00 20.7% 5/27 BTO $48.95
Rbc Bearings ROLL - Snapshot Report $0.38 $0.57 (2.4%) 5/27 BTO $17.48
Sigma Designs SIGM - Snapshot Report $0.14 $0.20 36.4% 5/27 AMC $15.95
Staples Inc SPLS - Snapshot Report $0.21 $0.30 (14.3%) 5/27 BTO $19.09
Synovis Lif Tec SYNO - Snapshot Report $0.13 $0.10 27.3% 5/27 BTO $13.82
Tivo Inc TIVO - Analyst Report ($0.05) $0.04 60.0% 5/27 AMC $7.05
Zale Corp New ZLC - Snapshot Report ($0.54) ($0.42) -70.37% 5/27 BTO $4.77
Appld Signal APSG - Snapshot Report $0.20 $0.16 80.0% 5/28 AMC $19.85
Arctic Cat Inc ACAT - Snapshot Report ($0.89) $0.02 58.3% 5/28 BTO $4.42
Bank Of Nova Sc BNS - Snapshot Report $0.61 $0.97 1.3% 5/28 N/A $31.28
Big Lots Inc BIG - Snapshot Report $0.40 $0.42 6.4% 5/28 BTO $24.14
Cdn Impl Bk CM - Snapshot Report $1.14 $1.58 22.4% 5/28 N/A $47.76
Costco Whole Cp COST - Snapshot Report $0.53 $0.67 (8.3%) 5/28 BTO $48.31
Daktronics Inc DAKT - Snapshot Report $0.09 $0.14 (9.1%) 5/28 BTO $8.35
Delias Inc DLIA - Snapshot Report ($0.14) ($0.13) 75.0% 5/28 BTO $2.04
Dell Inc DELL - Analyst Report $0.23 $0.38 3.6% 5/28 BTO $10.83
Descartes Sys DSGX - Snapshot Report $0.07 $0.02 (16.7%) 5/28 BTO $3.44
Dsw Inc Cl-A DSW - Snapshot Report $0.14 $0.23 (16.7%) 5/28 BTO $12.66
Esterline ESL - Snapshot Report $0.94 $0.84 12.5% 5/28 AMC $26.69
Freds Inc FRED - Analyst Report $0.20 $0.18 (9.1%) 5/28 BTO $12.57
Genesco Inc GCO - Snapshot Report $0.02 $0.14 0.0% 5/28 BTO $22.29
Heinz (Hj) Co HNZ - Analyst Report $0.54 $0.61 18.8% 5/28 BTO $35.39
Iteris Inc ITI - Snapshot Report $0.03 $0.06 100.0% 5/28 AMC $1.35
J Crew Group JCG - Snapshot Report $0.11 $0.48 25.9% 5/28 AMC $20.02
Jamba Inc JMBA - Snapshot Report ($0.13) ($0.14) (106.3%) 5/28 AMC $1.07
Marvell Tech Gp MRVL - Snapshot Report ($0.02) $0.11 80.0% 5/28 AMC $11.09
Mentor Graphics MENT - Snapshot Report ($0.01) ($0.21) (18.4%) 5/28 BTO $6.34
Monro Muffler MNRO - Snapshot Report $0.15 $0.13 0.0% 5/28 BTO $27.22
Movado Grp Inc MOV - Snapshot Report ($0.48) $0.05 (975.0%) 5/28 BTO $7.58
Novell Inc NOVL - Snapshot Report $0.04 $0.05 25.0% 5/28 AMC $4.06
Omnivision Tech OVTI - Analyst Report ($0.45) $0.17 (28.6%) 5/28 AMC $9.74
Perry Ellis Int PERY - Snapshot Report $0.23 $0.60 (3300.0%) 5/28 BTO $5.92
Sanderson Farms SAFM - Snapshot Report $0.58 $0.30 8.3% 5/28 BTO $41.45
Shoe Carnival SCVL - Snapshot Report $0.27 $0.38 (33.3%) 5/28 BTO $9.75
Sonic Solutions SNIC - Snapshot Report ($0.09) $0.02 18.2% 5/28 AMC $1.39
Sourceforge Inc LNUX - Snapshot Report ($0.03) ($0.01) 0.0% 5/28 AMC $1.07
Sycamore Ntwks SCMR - Analyst Report ($0.03) ($0.01) (50.0%) 5/28 BTO $2.82
Toronto Dom Bnk TD - Snapshot Report $0.91 $1.32 3.8% 5/28 N/A $42.71
Wet Seal Inc -A WTSLA - Analyst Report $0.04 $0.09 28.6% 5/28 AMC $3.50
Frontline Ltd FRO - Snapshot Report $0.67 $2.46 (13.7%) 5/29 N/A $21.40
Graham Corp GHM - Snapshot Report $0.27 $0.39 37.0% 5/29 BTO $14.11
Natl Bk Gr-Adr NBG - Snapshot Report $0.21 $0.26 N/A 5/29 N/A $4.93
Quanex Bldg Prd NX - Snapshot Report ($0.18) $0.17 26.7% 5/29 N/A $10.60
Royal Bank Cda RY - Snapshot Report $0.80 $0.70 13.6% 5/29 N/A $37.51
Tiffany & Co TIF - Analyst Report $0.19 $0.50 6.3% 5/29 BTO $26.07

BTO = Before The Market Open, AMC = After The Market Close

1Some of the companies listed in the earnings calendar may not be in the Zacks Rank universe.