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Screen of the Week

The Filtered Zacks Rank2 Strategy

June 16, 2009 | Comments: 4
Recommended this article (1)
PVH | BVF | KONG
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The last time I talked about this strategy was back in October 2007, right before the bear market hit.

Prior to that time, this strategy, going all the way back to the year 2000 (2000 thru Sept. 2007 – nearly 8 years at that time) had shown an average annual return of 72.7% a year.

2008, as you might have guessed, was a tough year. But that's part of trading.

There will always be challenges along the way. But knowing that you’re using a proven, profitable strategy can give you the confidence to stick with it and realize that the odds of success are in your favor.

A proven, profitable strategy of course is different than a box of magic. Nothing will ever preclude you from having another losing trade. But using sound and tested stock-picking rules can help you beat the market over and over again.

2009

This year, thru the first week of June 2009, the Filtered Zacks Rank2 strategy, using a 1-week holding period, is up 55.1% vs. the S&P 500's 2.1%.

It holds 5 stocks in its portfolio at a time. And it's a pretty easy strategy to trade. But you will be rebalancing your portfolio weekly. So if you’re an active trader, you'll love it.

But even if you're not an active trader, seeing the stocks that are being picked is exciting to watch.

Parameters

There are 3 items that go into this screen:

  • Zacks Rank = 1

    As you know, the Zacks Rank is one of the best ranking systems out there. Since 1988, (over the last 21+ years) the Zacks #1 Rank stocks have shown an average annual return of over 26.3% a year. This screen starts off by focusing in on these.

  • % Change Current Quarter Estimates over 4 Weeks > 0

    This item is important because, while the Zacks Rank already looks at the Current Year's Estimate Revisions and Next Year's Estimate Revisions, this added component looks at the more immediate future, which is the Current Quarter. And by saying greater than zero, we're excluding any company with a negative revision.

  • % Change in the Average Broker Rating over 1 Week = Top # 5

    This means I'm looking for the 5 stocks with the biggest or best change in their average broker rating. In other words, brokers have been upgrading the stocks. And while I don't really follow broker recs. per se', since I believe they're skewed to the upside, I do like to see the change in the rating. Are these guys getting more bullish or less bullish? This is good to know. So I want to make sure the average broker rating has gotten better, or at least not gotten worse, over the last week.

These three items combined produce some very powerful results.

Here are 3 of the stocks that qualified for the Filtered Zacks Rank2 strategy on 6/15/09:

PVH - Snapshot Report Phillips Van Heusen Corp.
BVF - Snapshot Report Biovail Corp.
KONG - Snapshot Report Kongzhong Corp.

Get the rest of the stocks on this list and start trading the Filtered Zacks Rank2 (or any of our other strategies) in your own account. Remember, the key to successful screening is in discovering those screens that have produced profitable results in the past. And that is exactly what you get with the Research Wizard stock picking and backtesting program.

Click here to learn more.

Disclosure: Officers, directors and/or employees of Zacks Investment Research may own or have sold short securities and/or hold long and/or short positions in options that are mentioned in this material. An affiliated investment advisory firm may own or have sold short securities and/or hold long and/or short positions in options that are mentioned in this material.

Disclosure: Performance information for Zacks’ portfolios and strategies are available at: http://www.zacks.com/performance.


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Read/Post Comments (4) | Recommended this article (1)
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127
days
ago
kmatras wrote...
waltw, in the Research Wizard program, once you've selected the item and are ready to define your parameters, drop down the operator box and select the Top # operator. The operator box is the one with the '>' (greater than) and '<' (less than signs). By selecting the Top # operator and then typing in 5 in the value box, you're telling the program to find the stocks with the largest (i.e., best) avg. broker rating changes.
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127
days
ago
kmatras wrote...
Buzz, thanks for the feedback and for expanding on the point.
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143
days
ago
waltw wrote...
Like the screen idea very much but I don't see how one enters the 'Top # 5' selection for the '% Change in the Average Broker Rating over 1 Week' criteria.
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143
days
ago
Buzz wrote...
Kevin, I'm just a guy who reads a lot of the free Zack's stuff, so what the hell do I know. But i think your point about the broker recommendation change is a great one. Not that they are always right or always wrong, but for good or ill, those recommendations drive the people who DO take them as gospel to do whatever it is that is being recommended. That, in turn, if its a widely disseminated opinion, can drive the market in that direction. So, excellent point, in my opinion. I always look at a group of rankings for any sort of advice, be it stock recommendations, automobile reliability, or fantasy football preseason rankings. If everyone is upgrading it doesn't necessarily mean the stock OUGHT to be upgraded, but it probably will result in more buying, therefore making the case that buying the stock right now IS what should be done. At any rate, thanks for the insightful articles over the past year; i appreciate your take on things.
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