HOME ZACKS RESEARCH FUNDS PORTFOLIO BROKER RESEARCH MARKETS SCREENING EDUCATION SERVICES
Earnings    EPS Surprises    Mutual Funds    Options    My Account    Help    

Zacks #1 Rank
See how a purely mathematical analysis of earnings estimate revisions returns over 27% per year on average. Click Here to Learn More.
Quote:
Login Free Membership
Search:

 
Screen of the Week

Earnings Acceleration

July 07, 2009 | Comments: 3
Recommended this article (0)
ADPI | CNQR | CTB | FLO | SRSL
Print    Share

In good markets or bad, strong earnings are one of the most important things that influence stock prices.

But instead of just looking at the most recent quarter's earnings, try looking for earnings acceleration as well.

With earnings season kicking off this week, it's a good time to go over this.

Studies have shown that almost all of the most successful stocks in the past had displayed accelerated earnings BEFORE their most impressive price moves.

Sideways 'percentage earnings growth' (even if they're good) or decelerating 'percentage earnings growth' (strong or not) can potentially signal a period of consolidation (or slowdown), which in turn can flatten out prices or send them lower.

But increasing 'percentage earnings growth' (consistently improving from the company's prior percentage of earnings growth) can often be the difference between good stocks and great stocks.

The Parameters:

In this screen, I'm focusing on increasing 'percentage earnings growth' and projected 'percentage earnings growth'.

I want the last two Quarter over Quarter % EPS Growth periods to be greater than the previous periods and the next projected Quarter over Quarter % EPS Growth period to be greater than the previous period as well.

  • EPS % Growth (Q-1)/(Q-2) > EPS % Growth (Q-2)/(Q-3)
  • EPS % Growth (Q0)/(Q-1) > EPS % Growth (Q-1)/(Q-2)
  • EPS % Proj. Growth (Q1)/(Q0) > EPS % Growth (Q0)/(Q-1)

For Research Wizard users, this would be done in the Calculation Expression feature: The expressions look like this:

i520 > i521 = 1 (True)
i519 > i520 = 1 (True)
i547 > i519 = 1 (True)

In addition to that, I'm only including stocks greater than or equal to $5 with an average daily share volume of 100,000 or more.

  • Current Price >= $5

  • Avg. Daily Volume >= 50,000

Here are 5 stocks to watch from this week's screen:

ADPI - Snapshot Report American Dental Partners
CNQR - Analyst Report Concur Technologies, Inc.
CTB - Analyst Report Cooper Tire & Rubber Company
FLO - Snapshot Report Flowers Foods, Inc.
SRSL - Snapshot Report SRS Labs, Inc.

When a company reports earnings, take a look at their numbers, and then see how their current % EPS Growth stacks up to their previous period's % EPS Growth (and the period prior to that). Moreover, take a look at how their Earnings Growth is forecasted in their next reporting period as well.

Again, with statistics suggesting that accelerated earnings typically appear BEFORE the most impressive price moves of a stock, this is definitely a screen worth watching for finding winning stocks on the move!!!

Disclosure: Officers, directors and/or employees of Zacks Investment Research may own or have sold short securities and/or hold long and/or short positions in options that are mentioned in this material. An affiliated investment advisory firm may own or have sold short securities and/or hold long and/or short positions in options that are mentioned in this material.

Disclosure: Performance information for Zacks’ portfolios and strategies are available at: http://www.zacks.com/performance.


Email

Print

Share

RSS

Rate Pos

Rate Neg

Comment
Read/Post Comments (3) | Recommended this article (0)
 Posting Comment...
There was a problem posting this this comment. Please try back later.
[CLICK TO CLOSE X]
Comments (Limit 1000 Characters - Used: 0)
Display Name: Email Address:  
 Loading Comments...
136
days
ago
zilly wrote...
Wayne Peltier:In your suggested screen, what does your criterion of Zacks Rank Recent > 0 accomplish? All Zanks Ranks are > 0.
 Loading Report Abuse...
There was a problem reporting abuse for this comment. Please try back later.
[CLICK TO CLOSE X]
Please let us know why you believe this comment is in violation of our community guidelines. Our team will take the appropriate action.
 
137
days
ago
Wayne Peltier wrote...
Try this screen:
[C] i519 > i520 = 1
Volume - 20 days (shares) > 50000 AND
Current Price > 5 AND
% Rating Change - 1 Week Top # 5 AND
Zacks Rank Recent > 0

GPI
ACOR
ASPM
FFCH
AZ
 Loading Report Abuse...
There was a problem reporting abuse for this comment. Please try back later.
[CLICK TO CLOSE X]
Please let us know why you believe this comment is in violation of our community guidelines. Our team will take the appropriate action.
 
138
days
ago
buckeye wrote...
These screening updates are great, especially when the Research Wizard factors are included
 Loading Report Abuse...
There was a problem reporting abuse for this comment. Please try back later.
[CLICK TO CLOSE X]
Please let us know why you believe this comment is in violation of our community guidelines. Our team will take the appropriate action.
 
<< Previous 5View AllNext 5 >>

More Zacks Resources

Market Summary Nov 23, 2009 14:32 pm ET
DJIA 10447.47  129.31 1.25%
NASD 2175.87  29.83 1.39%
S&P 500 1106.45  15.07 1.38%
Sponsored Links