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Aggressive Growth

China Fire & Security Group

By: Bill Wilton
October 22, 2009 | Comments: 5
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China Fire & Security Group Inc (CFSG - Analyst Report)) continues to capitalize on the booming Chinese economy. Company Description

China Fire & Security Group makes and maintains fire safety systems and products for industrial use in China.

Revenues Surging

On Aug 10 the company reported second-quarter results that included a 37% increase in revenue, to $22.7 million. Contract volume is up to 205 for the quarter, compared to 177 in the same period last year.

Net income rose $1.7 million, or 25%, to $8.3 million for the period. This equated to 29 cents per share, 6 cents higher than the Zacks Consensus Estimate and 5 cents higher than last year.

Help From the Stimulus Plan

China Fire's CEO, Brian Lin, said, "I am very pleased with our second quarter results. The Chinese government’s stimulus plan and the new amendment to the Fire Protection Law, which requires all fire protection products to pass compulsory product certification, has improved demand for our high quality systems, and increased bidding activities from our Tier-1 customers."

Estimates Pop

Following the report the Zacks Consensus Estimate for this year rose to $1.05, up from 97 cents. Next year's estimates are averaging $1.30, up from $1.19.

These projections show expected growth rates of 20% and 24%, respectively. China Fire and Security is set to report quarterly results on the 10th of November.

Solid Value

Shares of CFSG are trading at roughly 18 times forward earnings. Not too bad considering the growth rates bring the PEG down to about 0.7 times. Both figures are better than the industry.

The Chart

Shares of CFSG have not just dramatically increased in value, but are also seeing much more volume. The recent success combined with China's popularity is buoying the stock.


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Read/Post Comments (5) | Recommended this article (2)
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28
days
ago
CT wrote...
New-trader, I tried trading this stock but it had no juice. I got stopped out way back at 17 and change. If you want to hold on, I see serious support at 15. If it breaks below that, I suggest you get out. IMO, its not a bullish issue at all, really in neutral and currently showing bearishness.
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32
days
ago
Bill Wilton wrote...
I don't rely on technicals, but if they are bullish it just adds to the potential. As for the use of these recommendations, they should be a jumping off point to give people ideas on companies to further research. For more complete (i.e. buy/sell) picks, we have subscription services. Feel free to give us a call to find out more and maybe take a free trial. (Sorry for the plug, but it seemed relevant to the situation.)
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32
days
ago
new - trader wrote...
I agree that the fundamentals are very positive. I've been tracking/trading this stock for 3 months now. However, my strategy is to marry fundamentals with technicals and the short term technicals are telling me now that it is bearish (stockta.com.) I expect volatility with the Chinese stocks, but I was rather surprised that you chose it as an Aggressive Growth when the short term technicals are bearish. My impression was that your strategy had been to choose stocks which were very bullish short term. I'm new and just trying to understand. Do you use technicals. If so, which ones? Thanks
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32
days
ago
Bill Wilton wrote...
New - trader,
This is a volatile stock, there is no question about it. I am very confident in the long-term prospects for CFSG, but cant give you specific advice on when to sell it. However, I do see some support here, near $17 per share. If you're uncomfortable with potential further losses, set a stop. Should the level get hit, its time to move on.
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32
days
ago
new - trader wrote...
I laughed when I saw this rating since in the last 30 days the stock has had twice as many low as high days. It's just hit a triple low and was down almost $3. I'm down 13% since it was originally recommended. It's $1.50 below the 50 day moving average price, which I swore I wouldn't go below and here I sit staring at a potentially huge loss. How long do I hang on?
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