Steven Madden
Company Description
Steven Madden makes footwear and accessories for the entire family through owned and licensed brands.
Sales Still Climbing
While the economic news shows a cautious consumer, retailers are still showing excellent sales figures. In the first-quarter earnings release on May 4 Steve Madden reported a 23% jump in revenue, to $132 million.
Comparable store sales were up almost 14%. The company's gross margin continued to improve, this time 500 bps to 45.5%. Higher sales plus better margins is a recipe for an earnings surprise.
Beat the Street
Earnings for the quarter came in at 55 cents, 17 cents better than expected. Steven Madden has surprised 6 of the past 8 quarters, meeting expectations in the other 2 quarters.
Along with that earnings surprise, Steven Madden raised its full-year guidance. The company now expects to make between $2.30 and $2.40 per share. Previously the upper end of guidance was $2.20.
Analysts Follow Suit
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for full-year 2010 says that the company is being conservative. Analysts are looking for $2.44 per share on average.
Next year's estimates are averaging $2.72, up 24 cents. These levels represent annual growth rates of 34% and 11%, respectively.
Out of Favor or Good Value?
Many investors are shying away from retailers right now. The sector has had a great recovery, but some are saying the party is over. I know, I was one of them.
But the reality is; the earnings are still there and the valuations are cheap because everyone jumped out. Shares of SHOO are going for 14 times forward earnings and with a PEG of 0.9.
The Chart
The stock has made a nice double bottom and passed the intermediate high. Momentum has shifted as the MACD is crossing over to signal a buy. The large gap up to the left is due to a reverse stock split.

Bill Wilton is the Growth Stock Strategist for Zacks.com. He is also the Editor in charge of the market-beating Zacks Growth Trader service
Read the full analyst report on SHOO

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