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Earnings Preview

The fourth quarter reporting season gets into high gear this week, with 253 companies coming out with quarterly results, including 83 S&P 500 companies. The earnings season thus far has been relatively uneventful, but we will have a better idea by the end of this week; by then we will have seen 30% of the total fourth quarter reports.

While last week was all about banks, the focus this week is on the Technology sector, particularly Apple (AAPL) which reports after the close on Wednesday. The iPhone maker has lost some of its sizzle lately and is expected to see earnings decline from the same period last year. No company grows forever, but it may be premature to write Apple off.

Other major Tech companies reporting results this week include Google (GOOG) and IBM (IBM) on Tuesday and Microsoft (MSFT) on Thursday. While Google and IBM are expected to show earnings growth, Microsoft’s earnings are expected to be below the year-earlier level.

The overall earnings picture for the Tech sector doesn’t look very inspiring. Total earnings for the 13% of total Tech sector companies that have already come out are down -11%. This is mostly due to the 27% drop in Intel (INTC) earnings in the quarter, but there is no shortage of earnings declines among the sector players that have reported results.

For the 87% of the Tech sector companies still to report results, total earnings are expected to be down -3.5%. The composite earnings growth rate, where we combine the companies that have already reported with those still to come, for Tech is for a decline of -3.3% in the fourth quarter, which compares to the sector’s actual earnings growth of 0.2% in the third quarter and 7.9% in the second quarter.

Beyond Technology, we will see earnings reports this week from railroad operators CSC Corp (CSX) and Kansas City Southern (KSU) on Tuesday and Union Pacific (UNP) on Thursday. Other major reports include DuPont (DD), Johnson & Johnson (JNJ), Verizon (VZ), Coach (COH), McDonald’s (MCD), 3M (MMM), Starbucks (SBUX) and many others.

(For a detailed look on how the fourth quarter earnings season has fared thus far, please check out our weekly Earnings Trends Report)

Earnings will be the primary focus all week, as the economic calendar is on the thin side. Housing reports are the only notable economic readings this week, with Existing Home sales on Tuesday and New Home Sales on Friday.

Monday - 1/21

  • No reports due to public holiday.

Tuesday - 1/22

  • We will have the December Existing Home sales numbers in the morning, with expectations of a modest gain from the prior month’s level.
  • We have a busy day on the earnings front, with DuPont (DD), Johnson & Johnson (JNJ), Verizon (VZ), Travelers (TRV) and Kansas City Southern reporting in the morning, while Google (GOOG) and IBM (IBM) reporting after the close.
  • Zacks ESP, our proprietary leading indicator of earnings surprises, is showing DuPont and Travelers coming out with earnings beats. 

Wednesday - 1/23

  • Not much on the economic calendar, but a very busy day on the earnings front, with Apple’s (AAPL) release after the close as the highlight.
  • Other major earnings reports include McDonald’s (MCD) and Coach (COH) in the morning and Netflix (NFLX) after the close.  
  • Zacks ESP is showing Apple coming out with a positive surprise, which will be welcome given the company’s miss in the previous quarter and the stock’s recent weakness.

Thursday - 1/24

  • In addition to weekly Jobless Claims, we will get the December Leading Indicators data. It will be interesting to see if last week’s massive drop in initial Jobless Claims was a seasonal fluke or something reflecting improving ground realities.
  • AT&T (T), Bristol Myers (BMY), 3M ((MMM), US Airways (LCC) report in the morning, while MSFT will report after the close.
  • The ESP readings give us a lot of confidence that US Airways will come out ahead of expectations.

Friday - 1/25

  • We will get the December New Home Sales data in the morning, with expectations of 388K sales level, up from November’s 377K level.
  • Procter & Gamble (PG), Kimberly Clark (KMB) and Weyerhaeuser (WY) are the major reports today, all in the morning.


Here is a list of the 253 companies reporting this week, including 83 S&P 500 members:

Company Ticker Current Qtr Year-Ago Qtr Last EPS Surprise % Report Day Time
ADV MICRO DEV AMD -0.2 0.19 -25 Tuesday AMC
ALBEMARLE CORP ALB 0.98 1.11 1.85 Tuesday AMC
ANAREN INC ANEN 0.23 0.1 0 Tuesday AMC
BANK OF MARIN BMRC 0.76 0.63 -31.4 Tuesday N/A
BRINKER INTL EAT 0.5 0.47 -2.63 Tuesday BTO
CA INC CA 0.57 0.6 1.82 Tuesday AMC
CDN NATL RY CO CNI 1.42 1.29 -0.65 Tuesday BTO
CELESTICA INC CLS 0.15 0.32 31.25 Tuesday AMC
CITIZENS BKNG CRBC 0.48 0.31 -19.57 Tuesday BTO
COMPUWARE CORP CPWR 0.11 0.1 -16.67 Tuesday AMC
COURIER CORP CRRC 0.17 0.17 28.89 Tuesday BTO
CREE INC CREE 0.2 0.15 0 Tuesday AMC
CSX CORP CSX 0.39 0.43 0 Tuesday AMC
DELTA AIR LINES DAL 0.28 0.45 -1.1 Tuesday BTO
DU PONT (EI) DE DD 0.09 0.35 -4.35 Tuesday BTO
ETHAN ALLEN INT ETH 0.37 0.3 31.03 Tuesday AMC
EZCORP INC CL A EZPW 0.57 0.78 0 Tuesday AMC
FIRSTMERIT CORP FMER 0.33 0.28 0 Tuesday BTO
FREEPT MC COP-B FCX 0.76 0.67 -8.11 Tuesday BTO
GOOGLE INC-CL A GOOG 8.61 8.22 -17.23 Tuesday AMC
II-VI INCORP IIVI 0.21 0.21 -4.55 Tuesday BTO
INTL BUS MACH IBM 5.25 4.71 0 Tuesday AMC
INTL GAME TECH IGT 0.24 0.17 18.75 Tuesday AMC
INTUITIVE SURG ISRG 4.03 3.75 28.16 Tuesday AMC
JOHNSON & JOHNS JNJ 1.17 1.13 4.17 Tuesday BTO
KANSAS CITY SOU KSU 0.83 0.87 -2.38 Tuesday BTO
MARTEN TRANS MRTN 0.29 0.35 -3.33 Tuesday AMC
NORFOLK SOUTHRN NSC 1.19 1.39 0.81 Tuesday AMC
OMNOVA SOLUTION OMN 0.14 0.14 -20 Tuesday BTO
PACKAGING CORP PKG 0.62 0.4 -1.79 Tuesday BTO
PEOPL BNCP-OHIO PEBO 0.38 0.33 11.9 Tuesday N/A
PETMED EXPRESS PETS 0.18 0.19 17.65 Tuesday BTO
PREFERRED BANK PFBC 0.21 0.18 23.53 Tuesday AMC
PREMIERWEST BCP PRWT -0.05 -0.41 107.14 Tuesday BTO
PRIVATEBANCORP PVTB 0.26 0.11 22.73 Tuesday BTO
REGIONS FINL CP RF 0.21 0.09 10 Tuesday BTO
RF MICRO DEVICE RFMD 0.04 0.02 100 Tuesday AMC
ROCK-TENN CO RKT 1.28 1.18 1.46 Tuesday AMC
SUPER MICRO COM SMCI 0.1 0.2 -66.67 Tuesday AMC
SUPERTEX INC SUPX 0.02 0.01 0 Tuesday AMC
SYNOVUS FINL CP SNV -0.1 0.01 0 Tuesday BTO
TAL EDUCATN-ADR XRS 0.01 0.02 40 Tuesday BTO
TD AMERITRADE AMTD 0.24 0.27 4 Tuesday BTO
TEXAS INSTRS TXN 0.33 0.41 15.56 Tuesday AMC
TOTAL SYS SVC TSS 0.33 0.31 0 Tuesday AMC
TRAVELERS COS TRV 0.04 1.48 38.75 Tuesday BTO
TRUSTCO BK -NY TRST 0.11 0.09 0 Tuesday AMC
TRUSTMARK CP TRMK 0.44 0.38 0 Tuesday AMC
TUESDAY MORNING TUES 0.37 0.37 -50 Tuesday AMC
TWIN DISC TWIN 0.14 0.51 -62.07 Tuesday BTO
VERIZON COMM VZ 0.55 0.52 -1.54 Tuesday BTO
VOLTERRA SEMI VLTR 0.16 0.22 0 Tuesday AMC
WATERS CORP WAT 1.58 1.56 0 Tuesday BTO
WOODWARD INC WWD 0.46 0.4 17.86 Tuesday AMC
ABBOTT LABS ABT 1.5 1.45 1.56 Wednesday BTO
ABBVIE INC ABBV 0.96 999 N/A Wednesday BTO
AEP INDS AEPI 1.7 0.19 228.36 Wednesday BTO
AIR PRODS & CHE APD 1.29 1.36 -1.39 Wednesday BTO
ALLEGHENY TECH ATI 0.17 0.31 -17.95 Wednesday BTO
ALTERA CORP ALTR 0.39 0.45 6.52 Wednesday AMC
AMGEN INC AMGN 1.43 1.19 16.78 Wednesday AMC
APPLE INC AAPL 13.47 13.87 -2.03 Wednesday AMC
ASTORIA FINL CP AF 0.14 0.12 15.38 Wednesday AMC
BAKER-HUGHES BHI 0.61 1.22 -13.1 Wednesday BTO
BANCORP BNK/THE TBBK 0.14 0.1 -8.33 Wednesday AMC
BANCORPSOUTH BXS 0.24 0.16 13.64 Wednesday AMC
BANNER CORP BANR 0.63 0.08 68.09 Wednesday AMC
CATHAY GENL BCP CATY 0.34 0.3 0 Wednesday AMC
CELADON GROUP CGI 0.32 0.24 2.86 Wednesday AMC
CHECK PT SOFTW CHKP 0.83 0.79 0 Wednesday BTO
COACH INC COH 1.29 1.18 2.67 Wednesday BTO
COHEN&STRS INC CNS 0.42 0.36 22.22 Wednesday AMC
COMMNTY BK SYS CBU 0.54 0.51 1.89 Wednesday N/A
CROWN CASTLE CCI 0.13 0.18 0 Wednesday AMC
CUBIST PHARM CBST 0.48 0.11 47.83 Wednesday AMC
EAGLE BCP INC EGBN 0.43 0.35 12.82 Wednesday AMC
EAST WEST BC EWBC 0.49 0.43 2.13 Wednesday AMC
EXAR CORP EXAR 0.07 -0.05 0 Wednesday AMC
F5 NETWORKS INC FFIV 0.89 0.83 -7.45 Wednesday AMC
FIRST CASH FINL FCFS 0.91 0.7 1.47 Wednesday BTO
FIRST MIDWST BK FMBI 0.19 0.07 -681.82 Wednesday BTO
FLAGSTAR BANCP FBC 0.81 -1.4 23.64 Wednesday AMC
FNB CORP FNB 0.22 0.19 4.76 Wednesday AMC
GENL DYNAMICS GD 1.92 2 -3.95 Wednesday BTO
HEXCEL CORP HXL 0.38 0.33 8.33 Wednesday AMC
HILL-ROM HLDGS HRC 0.44 0.53 1.82 Wednesday AMC
JACOBS ENGIN GR JEC 0.76 0.7 0 Wednesday AMC
LAM RESEARCH LRCX 0.45 0.34 29.27 Wednesday AMC
LOGITECH INTL LOGI 0.34 0.32 40 Wednesday AMC
LSI CORP LSI 0.09 0.11 0 Wednesday AMC
MARINE PRODUCTS MPX 0.06 0.04 50 Wednesday BTO
MCDONALDS CORP MCD 1.33 1.33 -2.72 Wednesday BTO
MELLANOX TECH MLNX 0.55 0.17 23.91 Wednesday AMC
MOLEX INC MOLX 0.39 0.38 0 Wednesday BTO
MOTOROLA SOLUTN MSI 0.92 0.78 18.03 Wednesday BTO
NETFLIX INC NFLX -0.12 0.73 160 Wednesday AMC
NOBLE CORP NE 0.62 0.5 -10 Wednesday AMC
NOVARTIS AG-ADR NVS 1.24 1.23 -2.9 Wednesday BTO
NVE CORP NVEC 0.58 0.47 -19.35 Wednesday AMC
OCEANFIRST FINL OCFC 0.21 0.3 -3.45 Wednesday AMC
PAC PREMIER BCP PPBI 0.25 0.24 28 Wednesday BTO
PARAMETRIC TECH PMTC 0.24 0.26 -2.44 Wednesday AMC
POLYCOM INC PLCM 0.05 0.31 -300 Wednesday AMC
PRAXAIR INC PX 1.38 1.36 0 Wednesday BTO
QUEST DIAGNOSTC DGX 1.07 1.23 0 Wednesday BTO
RAYMOND JAS FIN RJF 0.68 0.53 6.15 Wednesday AMC
RLI CORP RLI 0.44 1.35 10.87 Wednesday AMC
ROLLINS INC ROL 0.17 0.15 0 Wednesday BTO
RPC INC RES 0.24 0.34 7.14 Wednesday BTO
SANDISK CORP SNDK 0.68 1.24 44.83 Wednesday AMC
SAP AG ADR SAP 1.26 1.4 -1.33 Wednesday BTO
SEALY CORP ZZ -0.03 -0.14 -100 Wednesday AMC
SILICOM LIMITED SILC 0.4 0.34 5.71 Wednesday BTO
ST JUDE MEDICAL STJ 0.9 0.86 2.47 Wednesday BTO
STRYKER CORP SYK 1.13 1.02 -1.02 Wednesday AMC
SUSQUEHANNA BSH SUSQ 0.23 0.12 -4.76 Wednesday AMC
SWIFT TRANSPORT SWFT 0.26 0.29 -4.55 Wednesday AMC
SYMANTEC CORP SYMC 0.33 0.36 24.24 Wednesday AMC
SYMMETRICOM INC SYMM -0.06 0.07 -114.29 Wednesday AMC
TE CONNECT-LTD TEL 0.64 0.66 2.7 Wednesday BTO
TERADYNE INC TER 0.01 0.16 17.78 Wednesday AMC
TEXAS CAP BCSHS TCBI 0.83 0.67 2.56 Wednesday AMC
TEXTRON INC TXT 0.57 0.49 -7.69 Wednesday BTO
UMB FINL CORP UMBF 0.67 0.58 -7.25 Wednesday AMC
UMPQUA HLDGS CP UMPQ 0.23 0.19 0 Wednesday AMC
UNIFI INC UFI 0.21 -0.2 -47.62 Wednesday BTO
US AIRWAYS GRP LCC 0.18 0.13 6.52 Wednesday BTO
UTD RENTALS INC URI 1.03 0.82 21.62 Wednesday AMC
UTD TECHS CORP UTX 1.02 1.46 17.09 Wednesday BTO
VARIAN MEDICAL VAR 0.87 0.79 4.85 Wednesday AMC
WELLPOINT INC WLP 0.96 0.99 13.59 Wednesday BTO
WESTERN DIGITAL WDC 1.82 0.67 2.16 Wednesday AMC
WILSHIRE BCP WIBC 0.18 0.08 145.45 Wednesday AMC
3M CO MMM 1.41 1.35 -0.6 Thursday BTO
8X8 INC EGHT 0.04 0.04 0 Thursday AMC
AIRGAS INC ARG 1.08 0.97 -0.94 Thursday BTO
ALASKA AIR GRP ALK 0.74 0.51 0 Thursday BTO
AMER RIVER BSH AMRB 0.08 0.1 -11.11 Thursday BTO
AMERISOURCEBRGN ABC 0.67 0.62 1.47 Thursday BTO
AMETEK INC AME 0.48 0.42 2.17 Thursday BTO
ARCTIC CAT INC ACAT 1.33 0.92 0.56 Thursday BTO
AT&T INC T 0.48 0.42 3.33 Thursday AMC
AVNET AVT 0.83 1.15 7.27 Thursday BTO
AVX CORP AVX 0.15 0.22 6.25 Thursday BTO
BAXTER INTL BAX 1.26 1.17 0 Thursday BTO
BRIGGS & STRATT BGG 0.02 0.05 -55.56 Thursday BTO
BRISTOL-MYERS BMY 0.43 0.53 -9.76 Thursday BTO
BRUNSWICK CORP BC -0.09 -0.3 126.32 Thursday BTO
CABOT MICROELEC CCMP 0.43 0.52 -16.95 Thursday BTO
CELGENE CORP CELG 1.18 0.97 2.59 Thursday BTO
CIRRUS LOGIC CRUS 1.34 0.39 7.58 Thursday AMC
CITY NATIONAL CYN 1 0.82 19.57 Thursday AMC
COBIZ FINL INC COBZ 0.15 0.15 7.69 Thursday AMC
COHERENT INC COHR 0.59 0.71 -22.67 Thursday AMC
COLONIAL PPTYS CLP 0.32 0.28 0 Thursday BTO
COLUMBIA BK SYS COLB 0.3 0.37 0 Thursday
CONSOL EDISON ED 0.73 0.74 3.62 Thursday AMC
COVANCE INC CVD 0.71 0.73 7.46 Thursday AMC
CYPRESS SEMICON CY -0.08 0.19 100 Thursday BTO
DELUXE CORP DLX 0.85 0.83 6.25 Thursday BTO
DFC GLOBAL CORP DLLR 0.54 0.51 2.08 Thursday AMC
DIGI INTL INC DGII 0.04 0.03 14.29 Thursday AMC
DIME COMM BNCSH DCOM 0.07 0.38 13.33 Thursday AMC
DOVER CORP DOV 1.07 1.07 2.36 Thursday BTO
E TRADE FINL CP ETFC -0.54 -0.02 -37.5 Thursday AMC
ELECTRN IMAGING EFII 0.27 0.3 95 Thursday AMC
ENERGEN CORP EGN 0.8 0.98 -25.42 Thursday BTO
EQT CORP EQT 0.42 0.6 -30 Thursday BTO
EQT MIDSTRM PTR EQM 0.41 999 -4.76 Thursday BTO
FAIRCHILD SEMI FCS 0.1 0.15 47.06 Thursday BTO
FEDERATED INVST FII 0.4 0.36 4.88 Thursday AMC
FIRST FINL HLDG FFCH 0.31 0.07 21.43 Thursday AMC
FIRST MERCHANTS FRME 0.3 0.24 20.69 Thursday
FLEXTRONIC INTL FLEX 0.18 0.16 18.18 Thursday AMC
GATX CORP GMT 0.54 0.62 13.64 Thursday BTO
GLACIER BANCORP GBCI 0.28 0.2 3.85 Thursday AMC
GRAINGER W W GWW 2.61 2.13 -3.1 Thursday BTO
HANCOCK HLDG CO HBHC 0.63 0.53 0 Thursday AMC
HANMI FINL CP HAFC 0.46 999 0 Thursday BTO
HERITAGE OAKS HEOP 0.1 0.15 91.67 Thursday AMC
HUBBELL INC -B HUB.B 1.2 1.17 0.69 Thursday BTO
HUNT (JB) TRANS JBHT 0.7 0.61 -2.99 Thursday
IBERIABANK CORP IBKC 0.79 0.69 48.21 Thursday AMC
INDEP BK MASS INDB 0.56 0.54 -5.36 Thursday AMC
INFORMATICA CRP INFA 0.31 0.41 -9.09 Thursday AMC
INTL SPEEDWAY ISCA 0.56 0.62 -83.33 Thursday BTO
INVESCO LTD IVZ 0.47 0.42 -4.55 Thursday BTO
ITERIS INC ITI 0.02 0.01 0 Thursday AMC
ITT EDUCATIONAL ESI 1.89 2.87 4.57 Thursday BTO
JANUS CAP GRP JNS 0.14 0.19 -6.67 Thursday BTO
JUNIPER NETWRKS JNPR 0.15 0.21 40 Thursday AMC
KENNAMETAL INC KMT 0.65 0.91 -35.63 Thursday BTO
KEY TECHNOLOGY KTEC -0.05 -0.04 1200 Thursday AMC
KEYCORP NEW KEY 0.22 0.21 9.52 Thursday BTO
KLA-TENCOR CORP KLAC 0.57 0.72 -3.45 Thursday AMC
KNIGHT CAP GP KCG 0.03 0.41 100.45 Thursday BTO
LATTICE SEMICON LSCC -0.06 0.06 100 Thursday AMC
LG DISPLAY-ADR LPL 0.38 -0.01 22.22 Thursday
LOCKHEED MARTIN LMT 1.79 2.53 19.46 Thursday BTO
LSI INDUSTRIES LYTS 0.1 0.03 -33.33 Thursday BTO
MAXIM INTG PDTS MXIM 0.41 0.34 9.3 Thursday AMC
MCCORMICK & CO MKC 1.14 1.03 2.63 Thursday BTO
MEREDITH CORP MDP 0.88 0.7 1.85 Thursday BTO
MICROS SYS MCRS 0.53 0.47 8.16 Thursday AMC
MICROSOFT CORP MSFT 0.76 0.78 -7.02 Thursday AMC
NATL PENN BCSHS NPBC 0.17 0.15 6.25 Thursday BTO
NOKIA CP-ADR A NOK 0 0.08 25 Thursday BTO
OLD REP INTL ORI -0.07 -0.11 -450 Thursday BTO
OPEN TEXT CORP OTEX 1.34 1.34 3.28 Thursday AMC
POPULAR INC BPOP 0.51 0.1 -10 Thursday BTO
PRECISION CASTP PCP 2.48 2.12 -2.98 Thursday BTO
QLOGIC CORP QLGC 0.09 0.31 30 Thursday AMC
QUALITY SYS QSII 0.29 0.36 -7.14 Thursday BTO
RAYONIER INC RYN 0.57 0.48 3.33 Thursday BTO
RAYTHEON CO RTN 1.3 1.74 18.11 Thursday BTO
RESMED INC RMD 0.51 0.42 6.52 Thursday AMC
SANDY SPRING SASR 0.4 0.3 22.22 Thursday BTO
SCANSOURCE INC SCSC 0.62 0.75 6.78 Thursday AMC
SEACOAST BKNG A SBCF 0 0.02 50 Thursday AMC
SELECT COMFORT SCSS 0.32 0.24 12.2 Thursday AMC
SIMMONS FIRST A SFNC 0.4 0.37 5.13 Thursday BTO
SMITH (AO) CORP AOS 0.81 0.68 4.41 Thursday BTO
SOUTHWEST AIR LUV 0.07 0.09 8.33 Thursday BTO
STANLEY B&D INC SWK 1.4 1.36 -3.45 Thursday BTO
STARBUCKS CORP SBUX 0.57 0.5 2.22 Thursday AMC
STELLARONE CORP STEL 0.24 0.17 4.35 Thursday BTO
STERLING FIN WA STSA 0.53 0.24 0 Thursday AMC
STRATTEC SEC CP STRT 0.59 0.47 21.88 Thursday
SYNAPTICS INC SYNA 0.24 0.51 46.15 Thursday AMC
TAYLOR CAP GRP TAYC 0.53 -0.33 81.82 Thursday BTO
TEMPUR-PEDIC TPX 0.55 0.84 1.45 Thursday AMC
TIMKEN CO TKR 0.64 1.11 -1.08 Thursday BTO
UNION PAC CORP UNP 2.16 1.99 0 Thursday BTO
UROPLASTY INC UPI -0.04 -0.05 40 Thursday AMC
UTD CMNTY BK/GA UCBI 0.12 0.12 8.33 Thursday BTO
VERISIGN INC VRSN 0.48 0.35 4.55 Thursday AMC
WEST CST BCP/OR WCBO 0.26 0.83 7.41 Thursday AMC
WESTERN ALLIANC WAL 0.22 0.07 41.18 Thursday AMC
XEROX CORP XRX 0.28 0.33 0 Thursday BTO
BRYN MAWR BK CP BMTC 0.39 0.4 2.38 Friday
COLUMBUS MCKINN CMCO 0.29 0.33 16.67 Friday BTO
COVIDIEN PLC COV 1.06 1.13 2 Friday BTO
HALLIBURTON CO HAL 0.61 1 0 Friday BTO
HONEYWELL INTL HON 1.09 1.05 6.19 Friday BTO
IMMUNOGEN INC IMGN -0.24 -0.17 -25 Friday BTO
KIMBERLY CLARK KMB 1.36 1.28 1.52 Friday BTO
METROCORP BANCS MCBI 0.13 -0.07 15.38 Friday AMC
MOOG INC A MOG.A 0.82 0.8 1.11 Friday BTO
OSHKOSH CORP OSK 0.31 0.37 44.44 Friday BTO
PROCTER & GAMBL PG 1.11 1.1 10.42 Friday BTO
PROSPERITY BCSH PB 0.84 0.77 2.5 Friday BTO
WEST BANCORP WTBA 0.23 0.21 -8.33 Friday BTO
WEYERHAEUSER CO WY 0.19 0.14 29.41 Friday BTO

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