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Earnings Preview

Earnings Preview for Aug 18 - 22

August 15, 2008 | Comments: 0
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GPS | HD | HPQ | LTD | TGT | ARO | ROST | SKS

Dow components Hewlett-Packard (HPQ - Analyst Report) and Home Depot (HD - Analyst Report) headline the last official week of second-quarter earnings season. Joining them will be S&P 500 members Gap (GPS - Analyst Report), Lowe's (LOW - Snapshot Report), Limited (LTD - Snapshot Report) and Target (TGT - Snapshot Report).

Overall, we have confirmed reports from 106 companies, 13 of which are in the S&P 500. Retailers will again be prominent, with 40 listed to release results.

There is not much on the economic calendar, though we will get inflation numbers on Tuesday. Key data will include:

  • Tuesday: July producer prices (PPI), July housing starts, July building permits
  • Wednesday: Weekly crude inventories
  • Thursday: July Leading Indicators, August Phili Fed survey, weekly initial jobless claims

The Kansas City Fed will hold its economic symposium at Jackson Hole, WY. Fed Chairman Fed Ben Bernanke will speak about financial stability on Friday.

Volume could be modest through Labor Day as traders try to get in late summer vacations. Late August can be tricky for the markets, so be prudent. Oil remains a wildcard and it is hurricane season.


Companies That Could Issue Positive Earnings Surprises during the Week of Aug 18 - 22

Aeropostale (ARO - Snapshot Report) enjoyed a 13% increase in August same-stores sales, at a time when many other retailers were struggling. The strong performance led the teen apparel chain to raise its second-quarter EPS guidance by 5 cents to between 30 and 31 cents per share. Brokerage analysts believe the company will report 31 cents per share. ARO has surprised to the upside for 3 consecutive quarters, so current projections may prove to be conservative. Aeropostale is scheduled to report on Thursday, Aug 21, after the close of trading.

Discount retailer Ross Stores (ROST - Snapshot Report) credited bargain-hunting consumers, the stimulus checks and favorable weather for driving July same-store sales 4% higher. Given last month's good performance, the company believes quarterly profits will total between 53 and 54 cents per share, a slight increase over previous guidance. Revisions by 5 brokerage analysts pushed the consensus earnings estimate 2 cents higher to 54 cents per share. ROST has topped expectations for 3 consecutive quarters. Ross Stores is scheduled to report on Wednesday, Aug 20, before the start of trading.

Companies That Could Issue Negative Earnings Surprises during the Week of Aug 18 - 22

Trends were not favorable for Saks (SKS - Analyst Report), which experienced a 5.3% drop in August same-store sales. The company observed that business trends worsened as the second quarter progressed and, as a result, brokerage analysts have been steadily lowering their projections. The second-quarter consensus estimate calls for a loss of 18 cents per share, reflecting cuts from a majority of the 7 covering analysts. SKS missed expectations last quarter by a margin of 4 cents per share. Saks is scheduled to report on Tuesday, Aug 19, before the start of trading.

Charles Rotblut, CFA is the senior market analyst for Zacks.com. He can be reached at crotblut@zacks.com.


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Earnings Calendar

Here is a list of companies that we have confirmed will report during the week of Aug 18 - 221.

Company Ticker Zacks Consensus Estimate Year Ago Actual Last Qtr Surprise Report Date Report Time
Analog Devices ADI - Analyst Report $0.45 $0.38 7.3% 8/19/2008 AMC
Amer Woodmark AMWD - Snapshot Report $0.11 $0.34 (100.0%) 8/20/2008 BTO
Anntaylor Stres ANN - Snapshot Report $0.47 $0.50 4.4% 8/22/2008 BTO
Accuray Inc ARAY - Analyst Report $0.03 $0.01 (80.0%) 8/19/2008 AMC
Aeropostale Inc ARO - Snapshot Report $0.31 $0.19 4.0% 8/21/2008 AMC
Acorn Intl-Adr ATV - Snapshot Report $0.08 $0.09 (55.6%) 8/20/2008 N/A
Avanex Corp AVNXD $0.06 $0.00 100.0% 8/21/2008 AMC
Blue Coat Sys BCSI - Snapshot Report $0.11 $0.22 (33.3%) 8/21/2008 AMC
Bebe Stores Inc BEBE - Snapshot Report $0.17 $0.21 0.0% 8/21/2008 AMC
Bj'S Wholesale BJ - Analyst Report $0.57 $0.46 7.4% 8/20/2008 BTO
Burger King Hld BKC - Analyst Report $0.34 $0.29 11.1% 8/21/2008 BTO
Buckle Inc BKE - Snapshot Report $0.60 $0.38 7.0% 8/21/2008 BTO
Barnes & Noble BKS - Snapshot Report $0.09 $0.12 0.0% 8/21/2008 BTO
Bon-Ton Stores BONT - Snapshot Report ($1.43) ($0.91) 14.0% 8/21/2008 BTO
Bally Tech Inc BYI - Snapshot Report $0.54 $0.33 10.6% 8/20/2008 AMC
Concurrent New CCUR - Snapshot Report $0.09 ($0.10) 0.0% 8/19/2008 BTO
Charming Shoppe CHRS - Snapshot Report $0.00 $0.14 183.3% 8/20/2008 N/A
Candela Corp CLZR - Snapshot Report ($0.09) ($0.03) (28.6%) 8/20/2008 AMC
Casual Male Ret CMRG - Snapshot Report $0.05 $0.07 (100.0%) 8/21/2008 BTO
China Techfaith CNTF - Snapshot Report $0.08 ($0.09) (12.5%) 8/18/2008 AMC
Cost Plus Inc CPWM - Analyst Report ($0.92) ($0.64) (3.1%) 8/21/2008 AMC
Salesforce.Com CRM - Analyst Report $0.08 $0.04 50.0% 8/20/2008 AMC
China Sunergy CSUN - Snapshot Report $0.03 ($0.14) 125.0% 8/22/2008 BTO
Cato Corp A CTR $0.42 $0.39 5.4% 8/21/2008 BTO
Citi Trends Inc CTRN - Analyst Report $0.17 $0.07 5.9% 8/20/2008 AMC
Cyberonics Inc CYBX - Analyst Report $0.03 ($0.31) 300.0% 8/21/2008 BTO
Ditech Networks DITC - Snapshot Report ($0.24) ($0.02) (182.4%) 8/21/2008 AMC
Dicks Sprtg Gds DKS - Snapshot Report $0.36 $0.41 (5.6%) 8/21/2008 N/A
Edap Tms Sa-Adr EDAP ($0.21) ($0.11) (75.0%) 8/21/2008 BTO
E-House China EJ - Snapshot Report $0.13 $0.09 10.0% 8/20/2008 BTO
Eaton Vance EV - Snapshot Report $0.47 $0.48 0.0% 8/20/2008 BTO
Foot Locker Inc FL - Snapshot Report $0.01 ($0.12) (6.7%) 8/21/2008 AMC
Focus Media Hld FMCN - Snapshot Report $0.35 $0.32 7.1% 8/17/2008 AMC
Frontline Ltd FRO - Snapshot Report $2.38 $1.65 (2.4%) 8/21/2008 N/A
Stealthgas Inc GASS - Snapshot Report $0.34 $0.37 6.3% 8/19/2008 BTO
Gamestop Corp GME - Analyst Report $0.28 $0.14 11.8% 8/21/2008 BTO
Gap Inc GPS - Analyst Report $0.31 $0.21 9.7% 8/21/2008 AMC
Gymboree Corp GYMB - Snapshot Report $0.23 $0.19 1.2% 8/20/2008 AMC
Hasting Entmt HAST - Snapshot Report $0.13 $0.09 21.7% 8/18/2008 BTO
Home Depot HD - Analyst Report $0.60 $0.77 10.8% 8/19/2008 BTO
Hibbet Sports HIBB - Analyst Report $0.15 $0.15 14.3% 8/21/2008 AMC
Heinz (Hj) Co HNZ - Analyst Report $0.66 $0.63 0.0% 8/21/2008 BTO
Hot Topic Inc HOTT - Analyst Report ($0.01) ($0.04) 0.0% 8/20/2008 AMC
Harris Interact HPOL - Analyst Report ($0.01) $0.06 (500.0%) 8/22/2008 BTO
Hewlett Packard HPQ - Analyst Report $0.83 $0.71 2.3% 8/19/2008 AMC
Hurray Hldg-Adr HRAY - Analyst Report $0.00 $0.01 333.3% 8/21/2008 AMC
Hormel Foods Cp HRL - Snapshot Report $0.38 $0.41 1.8% 8/21/2008 BTO
Chipmos Tec Ltd IMOS - Snapshot Report $0.01 $0.13 (300.0%) 8/20/2008 AMC
Intuit Inc INTU - Analyst Report ($0.12) ($0.06) 3.1% 8/21/2008 AMC
Isoray Inc ISR ($0.07) N/A (33.3%) 8/20/2008 BTO
Jds Uniphase Cp JDSU - Snapshot Report $0.04 $0.06 11.1% 8/20/2008 AMC
Jack Henry Assc JKHY - Snapshot Report $0.32 $0.32 (11.8%) 8/19/2008 AMC
Jamba Inc JMBA - Snapshot Report $0.02 $0.04 (55.6%) 8/21/2008 AMC
Kensey Nash Cp KNSY - Snapshot Report $0.32 $0.11 12.0% 8/21/2008 BTO
Key Tronic KTCC $0.13 $0.17 57.1% 8/19/2008 AMC
Lancaster Colon LANC - Snapshot Report $0.32 $0.54 (31.8%) 8/21/2008 BTO
Lowes Cos LOW - Snapshot Report $0.56 $0.67 2.5% 8/18/2008 BTO
Limited Inc LTD - Snapshot Report $0.20 $0.20 42.9% 8/20/2008 AMC
Lsi Industries LYTS - Snapshot Report $0.07 $0.32 (44.4%) 8/21/2008 BTO
La-Z-Boy Inc LZB - Snapshot Report ($0.06) ($0.13) 0.0% 8/19/2008 AMC
Medtronic MDT - Analyst Report $0.69 $0.62 6.8% 8/19/2008 BTO
Mentor Graphics MENT - Snapshot Report ($0.17) $0.09 (40.0%) 8/20/2008 BTO
Met-Pro Corp MPR - Snapshot Report $0.18 $0.17 0.0% 8/21/2008 BTO
Myriad Genetics MYGN - Analyst Report ($0.23) ($0.18) 0.0% 8/19/2008 BTO
Noah Education NED - Snapshot Report $0.05 N/A 53.8% 8/21/2008 AMC
Novatel Wireles NVTL - Analyst Report $0.12 $0.25 7.7% 8/19/2008 AMC
Open Text Corp OTEX - Snapshot Report $0.53 $0.52 6.8% 8/19/2008 AMC
Patterson Cos PDCO - Snapshot Report $0.39 $0.35 0.0% 8/21/2008 BTO
Peoples Educatn PEDH $0.06 $0.01 5.0% 8/21/2008 AMC
Childrens Place PLCE - Snapshot Report ($0.45) ($0.97) 37.5% 8/21/2008 BTO
Perrigo Company PRGO - Snapshot Report $0.40 $0.24 4.8% 8/18/2008 BTO
Pac Sunwear Cal PSUN - Snapshot Report $0.06 $0.07 (88.9%) 8/21/2008 AMC
Phillips Van He PVH - Snapshot Report $0.65 $0.68 3.5% 8/20/2008 AMC
Perfect World PWRD - Snapshot Report $0.38 N/A 22.6% 8/18/2008 BTO
Qad Inc QADI - Snapshot Report $0.00 $0.02 (100.0%) 8/21/2008 AMC
Raven Inds Inc RAVN - Analyst Report $0.31 $0.32 20.0% 8/19/2008 BTO
Regis Corp/Mn RGS - Analyst Report $0.58 $0.53 0.0% 8/20/2008 BTO
Rosetta Genomic ROSG - Snapshot Report ($0.34) ($0.19) (3.1%) 8/19/2008 BTO
Ross Stores ROST - Snapshot Report $0.54 $0.37 3.5% 8/20/2008 BTO
Intl Royalty Cp ROY - Snapshot Report $0.04 $0.03 (66.7%) 8/18/2008 N/A
School Specialt SCHS - Analyst Report $1.97 $1.87 (1.5%) 8/21/2008 BTO
Scansource Inc SCSC - Snapshot Report $0.47 $0.48 (12.5%) 8/21/2008 AMC
Shoe Carnival SCVL - Snapshot Report $0.00 $0.01 (2.6%) 8/21/2008 BTO
Schawk Inc-Cl A SGK - Snapshot Report $0.20 $0.36 0.0% 8/18/2008 AMC
Shamir Optical SHMR - Snapshot Report $0.11 $0.12 30.8% 8/21/2008 BTO
Shoretel Inc SHOR - Snapshot Report ($0.07) $0.05 0.0% 8/21/2008 AMC
Saks Inc SKS - Analyst Report ($0.18) ($0.14) (23.5%) 8/19/2008 BTO
Stein Mart Inc SMRT - Snapshot Report ($0.13) $0.05 383.3% 8/21/2008 BTO
Semtech Corp SMTC - Analyst Report $0.17 $0.14 21.4% 8/20/2008 AMC
Synopsys Inc SNPS - Analyst Report $0.31 $0.23 6.9% 8/20/2008 AMC
Renesola Lt-Adr SOL - Analyst Report $0.31 N/A 16.7% 8/19/2008 BTO
Stage Stores SSI - Snapshot Report $0.23 $0.23 (14.3%) 8/21/2008 N/A
Suntech Pwr Hld STP - Snapshot Report $0.33 $0.25 25.0% 8/20/2008 BTO
Symmetricom Inc SYMM - Snapshot Report $0.05 $0.04 (133.3%) 8/20/2008 AMC
Tech Data Corp TECD - Analyst Report $0.46 $0.50 0.0% 8/21/2008 BTO
Target Corp TGT - Snapshot Report $0.77 $0.80 2.8% 8/19/2008 BTO
Aktieselskabet TRMD $1.29 $1.00 (28.6%) 8/20/2008 N/A
Tower Semicond TSEM - Snapshot Report ($0.22) ($0.28) (20.0%) 8/20/2008 BTO
Trina Solar Ltd TSL - Snapshot Report $0.78 $0.32 6.3% 8/18/2008 BTO
Toro Co TTC - Snapshot Report $0.97 $1.02 0.0% 8/21/2008 BTO
Verigy Ltd VRGY - Snapshot Report $0.28 $0.50 27.8% 8/21/2008 AMC
Valuevision Cla VVTV - Snapshot Report ($0.21) ($0.11) (28.1%) 8/20/2008 N/A
Wet Seal Inc -A WTSLA - Analyst Report $0.10 $0.07 12.5% 8/21/2008 AMC
Xinhua Finance XFML $0.05 N/A 0.0% 8/18/2008 AMC
Yucheng Technol YTEC - Snapshot Report $0.10 $0.17 (16.7%) 8/18/2008 BTO
Zumiez Inc ZUMZ - Analyst Report $0.07 $0.11 66.67% 8/21/2008 AMC

BMO = Before The Market Open, AMC = After Market Close

1Some of the companies listed in the earnings calendar may not be in the Zacks Rank universe.