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Earnings Preview

Earnings Preview for Sep 29 - Oct 3

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September 26, 2008 | Comment(s): 0
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MAR | AA | FDO | MU | WAG | STZ | XRTX

As I write this on Friday morning, we are continuing to await a final decision on the proposed bailout of financial firms. The final outcome will impact market direction.

I would expect a short-term relief rally if the proposal is passed and signed. Failure to reach an agreement, however, could result in stocks setting new lows for the year.

Third-quarter earnings season will not "officially" start until Oct 7, when Alcoa (AA) reports. Nonetheless, 21 companies are confirmed to report during the week of Sep 29 - Oct 3. Among these are S&P 500 members Constellation Brands (STZ - Analyst Report), Family Dollar (FDO - Analyst Report), Marriott International (MAR - Analyst Report), Micron Technology (MU - Snapshot Report), Pepsi Bottling Group (PBG) and Walgreen (WAG - Analyst Report).

September employment data will be released on Friday, capping a busy week for economic data.

  • Monday: August personal income and spending
  • Tuesday: Conference Board September consumer confidence survey, September Chicago PMI
  • Wednesday: September ISM manufacturing index, September auto sales, August construction spending, weekly crude inventories
  • Thursday: August factory orders, weekly initial jobless claims
  • Friday: September unemployment and nonfarm payrolls, ISM services index

The Federal Reserve's web site is not listing any scheduled speeches from Fed officials.

Rosh Hashanah starts Monday at sundown. This should result in lower volume on Tuesday.


Companies That Could Issue Positive Earnings Surprises

Family Dollar Stores (FDO - Analyst Report) enjoyed a 3.6% increase in same-store sales last month. Several of the covering brokerage analysts responded by raising their fiscal fourth-quarter profit projections. The consensus estimate now calls for the discount retailer to have earned 34 cents per share, a penny above the average forecast of a few weeks ago. The most accurate consensus is even more bullish at 35 cents per share. Family Dollar Store is scheduled to report on Friday, Oct 3, before the start of trading.

Companies That Could Issue Negative Earnings Surprises

Xyratex Ltd (XRTX - Snapshot Report) has missed consensus during 2 out of the past 4 quarters. Within the past week, 1 of the 5 covering brokerage analysts cut his profit forecast ahead of the company's fiscal third-quarter report. The revision sent the consensus estimate down by 2 cents to 33 cents per share. The most accurate estimate is more bearish at 28 cents per share. Xyratex is scheduled to reporton Tuesday, Sep 30, after close of trading.

Charles Rotblut, CFA is the senior market analyst for Zacks.com. He can be reached at crotblut@zacks.com.


Surprise Trader can help you turn earnings surprises into quick profits. Learn how.

Earnings Calendar

Here is a list of companies that we have confirmed will report during the week of Sep 9 - Oct 31.

Company Ticker Zacks Consensus Estimate Year Ago Actual Last Qtr Surprise Report Date Report Time
Circuit City Gp CC ($1.04) ($0.38) 2.0% 9/29/2008 BTO
Steelcase Inc SCS - Snapshot Report $0.22 $0.25 (9.1%) 9/29/2008 BTO
Walgreen Co WAG - Analyst Report $0.45 $0.40 (1.7%) 9/29/2008 BTO
Landec Corp LNDC - Snapshot Report $0.10 $0.11 18.2% 9/30/2008 AMC
Pepsi Bottling PBG $1.04 $0.99 2.6% 9/30/2008 BTO
Xyratex Ltd XRTX - Snapshot Report $0.33 $0.17 16.67% 9/30/2008 AMC
Actuant Corp ATU - Snapshot Report $0.54 $0.49 1.8% 10/1/2008 BTO
Immucor BLUD $0.23 $0.25 13.0% 10/1/2008 AMC
Micron Tech MU - Snapshot Report ($0.21) ($0.19) 3.3% 10/1/2008 AMC
Mosaic Co/The MOS - Snapshot Report $2.94 $0.64 15.6% 10/1/2008 AMC
Standard Micros SMSC - Snapshot Report $0.32 $0.42 66.7% 10/1/2008 AMC
Wolverine World WWW - Snapshot Report $0.60 $0.54 3.1% 10/1/2008 BTO
Angiodynamics ANGO - Analyst Report $0.11 $0.10 17.6% 10/2/2008 AMC
Constellatn Brd STZ - Analyst Report $0.44 $0.35 6.3% 10/2/2008 BTO
Demandtec Inc DMAN ($0.03) ($0.10) 0.0% 10/2/2008 AMC
Global Payments GPN - Snapshot Report $0.60 $0.54 (2.0%) 10/2/2008 AMC
Lawson Software LWSN $0.05 $0.06 0.0% 10/2/2008 AMC
Marriott Intl-A MAR - Analyst Report $0.32 $0.31 4.1% 10/2/2008 BTO
Msci Inc-A MXB $0.26 N/A (28.0%) 10/2/2008 N/A
Resources Cnctn RECN - Snapshot Report $0.25 $0.23 16.7% 10/2/2008 AMC
Family Dollar FDO - Analyst Report $0.34 $0.26 12.2% 10/3/2008 BTO

BMO = Before The Market Open, AMC = After Market Close

Aditi Samajpati contributed to this article.

1Some of the companies listed in the earnings calendar may not be in the Zacks Rank universe.

Read the full analyst report on MAR

Read the full analyst report on AA

Read the full analyst report on FDO

Read the full analyst report on MU

Read the full analyst report on WAG

Read the full analyst report on STZ

Read the full analyst report on XRTX

 

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