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Zacks Commentary: Zacks Analyst Interviews

  PRINTABLE VERSION  
Big Defense Names Warrant Bullishness
With Jonathan Kolb
Nov 12, 2008
Now that election results have had a week to sink in, we turn our attention to what may be expected to happen for companies in the defense sector. Zacks senior equities analyst Jon Kolb was recently on hand to give his latest account.

You remain bullish on several names under coverage in the Defense industry. Can you go into why for a couple of these?

Certainly. Lockheed Martin (LMT) appears well positioned to continue to benefit from strong defense outlays through 2008-09. Northrop Grumman (NOC) offers a strong program portfolio positioned to take advantage of growth areas in the Defense budget. Both Lockheed and Northrop look to benefit from an ongoing share repurchase program.

What should investors know about Lockheed Martin beyond what you’ve already stated?

Solid operating results, higher margins particularly in the electronic systems segment, via existing and new contracts, both domestic and international, collectively offset lower fighter jet business, and continue to deliver strong earnings and cash flow growth. Management’s increased 2008 guidance supports the bullish outlook.

Our six-month target price on LMT shares is $75.84. Price appreciation to our near-term valuation target, coupled with the increased $0.57 per share quarterly dividend, which we consider sustainable and secure based on low projected earnings payouts, represents annualized total return potential of 26.0%.

In Northrop Grumman’s case, what are the main factors?

Favorable projected revenue, the acquisition of 3001 International, a favorable ruling regarding its BAMS contract, diversified revenue and earnings streams with strong growth and discounted relative valuation metrics collectively support our bullish outlook here.

For NOC common stock, we have a six-month target price of $54.75. We evaluate price appreciation to our near-term target and include the $0.40 per share quarterly dividend – again, which we deem secure and sustainable -- represents 24.1% upside potential.

Jon Kolb is a senior analyst covering the Defense industry for Zacks Equity Research.

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About Zacks Analyst Interviews

Zacks Equity Research employs 50 stock analysts who are experts in the industries they cover. In these articles you will discover our analyst's insights on key industries in the news along with their favorite stocks to buy and sell now.

Zacks Equity Research Home Page

ZACKS COMMENTARY: ZACKS ANALYST INTERVIEWS ARCHIVE

Pharmaceuticals
With Jason Napodano
Jan 06, 2009
We are generally positive on the pharmaceutical industry heading into 2009. We expect the majority of stocks to fair far better in 2009 than they did in 2008, based on a number of attributes. We like PFE, JNJ, BMY, ABT and ISIS.

U.S. Insurance Industry
With Neena Mishra
Jan 05, 2009
Ongoing turmoil in the financial markets has resulted in a highly challenging environment for the U.S. insurance industry, a trend that is expected to continue in 2009. We also expect further consolidation in the industry. We have Buys on AMSF and PRE, but Sells on PMI, PRS and HIG.

Machinery & Industrials
With Mario Ricchio
Jan 01, 2009
As foreign economies deal with weaker exports to the U.S and Europe, industrial customers are cutting back on capital spending. We cite Freeport McMoRan.

Hotels & Lodging
With Sean P. Smith
Dec 31, 2008
As the recession continues, hotel companies that are able to limit the degree to which room rates are discounted will be in the best position to benefit once the economic environment improves. We discuss Starwood and Marriott.

Restaurant Industry
With Ann Northrop
Dec 30, 2008
Restaurants are typically early-cycle stocks, bottoming six-to-nine months before a turn in the economy. With that in mind, it appears that investors expect restaurant traffic to bottom in the June-to-September time frame. We discuss McDonald's, Yum! Brands and Jamba, Inc.


 
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