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Earnings Preview

The Week of Nov 17 - 21

November 14, 2008 | Comments: 0
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RAVN | ANN | HOTT | DELL | HD | LOW | TGT
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Companies that could issue positive surprises include Hot Topic (HOTT - Analyst Report) and Raven Industries (RAVN - Analyst Report). AnnTaylor Stores Corp (ANN - Snapshot Report) could potentially disappoint investors.


The Week's Events

This will be the last big week for third-quarter earnings. Dow component Home Depot (HD - Analyst Report) will be joined by fellow S&P 500 members Dell (DELL - Analyst Report), Lowe's (LOW - Snapshot Report) and Target Corporation (TGT - Snapshot Report).

We have confirmed reports from 91 companies. Retailers account for nearly half of this list.

Housing and inflation data are on the economic calendar. Minutes from the late-October Fed meeting will be released on Wednesday afternoon.

  • Monday: October industrial production and capacity utilization, November Empire State manufacturing index
  • Tuesday: October Producer Price Index (PPI), September net foreign purchases
  • Wednesday: October Consumer Price Index (CPI), October building permits and housing starts, minutes from the October Fed meeting, weekly crude inventories
  • Thursday: October Leading Indicators, Philadelphia Fed survey, weekly initial jobless claims

Vice Chairman Donald Kohn will speak on Wednesday about monetary policy at a conference in Washington, D.C.

November options will expire on Friday. This could add to the intraday volatility, but probably not enough to be noticeable. Unfortunately, there is nothing on the calendar that would reduce the level of volatility.

Action by Congress on the financial and proposed automaker bailouts could have an impact on market direction. The other wildcard out of Washington is who President-Elect Obama chooses as a nominee for Treasury Secretary.


Companies That Could Issue Positive Earnings Surprises

Hot Topic (HOTT - Analyst Report) said last week that October comparable-store sales rose 8.3%. The teen clothing retailer also raised its guidance for the third quarter to between 16 cents and 17 cents per share. (Previously, HOTT had forecast profits of 12 cents to 15 cents.) Nearly all of the covering brokerage analysts raised their forecasts in response, pushing the consensus earnings estimate 3 cents higher to 17 cents per share. The company has topped expectations twice during the past 4 quarters. Hot Topic is scheduled to report earnings on Wednesday, Nov 19, after the close of trading.

During the past 30 days, the third-quarter consensus earnings estimate for Raven Industries (RAVN - Analyst Report) has been raised by 2 cents. The average forecast now calls for per share profits of 43 cents. RAVN has topped market forecasts in 3 out of the last 4 quarters. Raven Industries is scheduled to report earnings on Thursday, Nov 20, before the start of trading.

Companies That Could Issue Negative Earnings Surprises

AnnTaylor Stores Corp (ANN - Snapshot Report) recently warned that per share profits would only be breakeven for the third quarter. The company blamed a 19% drop in same-store sales for the warnings. Brokerage analysts, who had been projecting profits of 50 cents per share, slashed their forecasts to 7 cents. The most accurate estimate is more bearish at 1 cent. ANN has missed once during the past 3 quarters. AnnTaylor is scheduled to report earnings on Friday, Nov 21, before the start of trading.

Charles Rotblut, CFA is the senior market analyst for Zacks.com. He can be reached at crotblut@zacks.com.


Surprise Trader can help you turn earnings surprises into quick profits. Learn how.

Earnings Calendar

Here is a list of companies that we have confirmed will report during the week of Nov 10 - 141. Prices are as of Thursday's, Nov 6, close.

Company Ticker Zacks Consensus Estimate Year Ago Actual Last Qtr Surprise Report Date Report Time Price
Covidien-Ltd COV - Snapshot Report $0.68 $0.63 9.1% 11/17/2008 BTO $37.07
Ctrip.Com Intl CTRP - Analyst Report $0.23 $0.21 0.0% 11/17/2008 AMC $25.04
Derma Sciences DSCI ($0.01) $0.00 (50.0%) 11/17/2008 BTO $0.38
Hasting Entmt HAST - Snapshot Report ($0.08) $0.01 (53.9%) 11/17/2008 BTO $3.81
Jamba Inc JMBA - Snapshot Report ($0.01) ($0.02) (7000.0%) 11/17/2008 AMC $0.56
Longtop Fin-Adr LFT - Snapshot Report $0.25 $0.27 9.1% 11/17/2008 N/A $12.53
Lowes Cos LOW - Snapshot Report $0.29 $0.43 14.3% 11/17/2008 BTO $19.73
Orbotech Ltd ORBK - Snapshot Report ($0.10) $0.05 0.0% 11/17/2008 BTO $3.94
Petro Resources PRC $0.04 ($0.04) (300.0%) 11/17/2008 N/A $0.49
Pinnacle Gas Re PINN - Snapshot Report ($0.02) ($0.04) (2000.0%) 11/17/2008 N/A $0.89
Schawk Inc-Cl A SGK - Snapshot Report $0.18 $0.24 0.0% 11/17/2008 AMC $12.79
Target Corp TGT - Snapshot Report $0.49 $0.56 6.5% 11/17/2008 BTO $35.33
The9 Ltd-Adr NCTY - Snapshot Report $0.56 $0.17 27.1% 11/17/2008 AMC $12.63
Xinhua Finance XFML $0.10 $0.13 0.0% 11/17/2008 AMC $1.02
Arvinmeritor ARM - Analyst Report $0.34 ($0.06) 18.5% 11/18/2008 BTO $4.23
China Med Tech CMED - Snapshot Report $0.53 $0.38 10.4% 11/18/2008 BTO $25.03
Gigamedia Ltd GIGM - Snapshot Report $0.16 $0.16 5.6% 11/18/2008 BTO $5.52
Home Depot HD - Analyst Report $0.40 $0.59 18.3% 11/18/2008 BTO $22.23
Intl Royalty Cp ROY - Snapshot Report $0.02 $0.02 (75.0%) 11/18/2008 N/A $1.27
Jack In The Box JBX $0.45 $0.43 0.0% 11/18/2008 AMC $16.42
La-Z-Boy Inc LZB - Snapshot Report $0.00 $0.01 16.7% 11/18/2008 AMC $5.13
Medtronic MDT - Analyst Report $0.71 $0.58 4.3% 11/18/2008 BTO $39.93
Mothers Work MWRK ($0.80) ($0.92) 1.5% 11/18/2008 BTO $7.37
Pac Sunwear Cal PSUN - Snapshot Report ($0.02) $0.16 0.0% 11/18/2008 AMC $1.95
Phillips Van He PVH - Snapshot Report $1.06 $1.05 1.5% 11/18/2008 AMC $18.40
Radiant Logist RLGT $0.01 $0.00 0.0% 11/18/2008 N/A $0.14
Renesola Lt-Adr SOL - Analyst Report $0.37 $0.24 22.6% 11/18/2008 BTO $4.51
Saks Inc SKS - Analyst Report $0.00 $0.17 (22.2%) 11/18/2008 BTO $5.16
Valuevision Cla VVTV - Snapshot Report ($0.36) ($0.07) (74.1%) 11/18/2008 AMC $0.46
Bj'S Wholesale BJ - Analyst Report $0.47 $0.35 1.8% 11/19/2008 BTO $36.75
Cyberonics Inc CYBX - Analyst Report $0.05 ($0.15) 166.7% 11/19/2008 AMC $11.65
Dress Barn DBRN - Snapshot Report $0.27 $0.30 13.3% 11/19/2008 AMC $7.96
Gymboree Corp GYMB - Snapshot Report $1.03 $0.91 17.4% 11/19/2008 AMC $23.24
Hot Topic Inc HOTT - Analyst Report $0.17 $0.15 0.0% 11/19/2008 AMC $7.40
Intuit Inc INTU - Analyst Report ($0.18) ($0.15) (33.3%) 11/19/2008 AMC $22.95
Ldk Solar Co LDK - Snapshot Report $0.78 $0.37 131.7% 11/19/2008 BTO $14.32
Mens Wearhouse MW - Snapshot Report $0.21 $0.69 2.9% 11/19/2008 AMC $12.89
Mentor Graphics MENT - Snapshot Report ($0.12) ($0.06) 88.2% 11/19/2008 BTO $5.78
Noah Education NED - Snapshot Report $0.08 $0.21 100.0% 11/19/2008 AMC $2.12
Petsmart Inc PETM - Analyst Report $0.27 $0.23 7.1% 11/19/2008 AMC $17.32
Planar Systems PLNR - Snapshot Report ($0.20) ($0.16) 83.3% 11/19/2008 AMC $1.63
Ross Stores ROST - Snapshot Report $0.43 $0.36 0.0% 11/19/2008 BTO $28.39
Semtech Corp SMTC - Analyst Report $0.17 $0.25 17.6% 11/19/2008 AMC $9.85
Trina Solar Ltd TSL - Snapshot Report $1.15 $0.28 (3.8%) 11/19/2008 BTO $10.09
Tween Brands TWB - Snapshot Report $0.25 $0.46 0.0% 11/19/2008 BTO $5.63
Woodward Govnr WGOV - Snapshot Report $0.50 $0.51 6.8% 11/19/2008 AMC $26.35
Agilysys Inc AGYS - Analyst Report ($0.07) $0.05 (180.0%) 11/20/2008 BTO $2.51
Aruba Networks ARUN - Snapshot Report ($0.06) ($0.01) (16.7%) 11/20/2008 AMC $2.94
Autodesk Inc ADSK - Snapshot Report $0.46 $0.39 9.3% 11/20/2008 AMC $20.84
Barnes & Noble BKS - Snapshot Report ($0.16) ($0.03) 77.8% 11/20/2008 BTO $17.30
Bon-Ton Stores BONT - Snapshot Report ($1.46) ($1.17) 9.8% 11/20/2008 BTO $1.39
Brady Corp Cl A BRC - Snapshot Report $0.66 $0.66 3.2% 11/20/2008 BTO $26.87
Buckle Inc BKE - Snapshot Report $0.61 $0.48 11.9% 11/20/2008 BTO $21.30
Casual Male Ret CMRG - Snapshot Report ($0.04) ($0.05) 0.0% 11/20/2008 N/A $1.45
Cato Corp A CTR ($0.03) $0.09 (2.4%) 11/20/2008 BTO $14.18
Childrens Place PLCE - Snapshot Report $0.85 $0.42 93.3% 11/20/2008 BTO $23.28
Chordiant Sftwr CHRD - Snapshot Report $0.03 $0.16 200.0% 11/20/2008 AMC $3.32
Cost Plus Inc CPWM - Analyst Report ($1.12) ($0.63) (17.5%) 11/20/2008 AMC $1.43
Dell Inc DELL - Analyst Report $0.34 $0.34 (8.3%) 11/20/2008 AMC $10.27
Ditech Networks DITC - Snapshot Report ($0.24) ($0.11) (12.5%) 11/20/2008 AMC $0.82
Edap Tms Sa-Adr EDAP ($0.31) ($0.22) (66.7%) 11/20/2008 BTO $1.80
E-House China EJ - Snapshot Report $0.13 $0.11 7.7% 11/20/2008 BTO $5.14
Foot Locker Inc FL - Snapshot Report $0.25 $0.21 1000.0% 11/20/2008 AMC $11.89
Gamestop Corp GME - Analyst Report $0.37 $0.33 21.4% 11/20/2008 BTO $24.83
Gap Inc GPS - Analyst Report $0.34 $0.30 3.2% 11/20/2008 AMC $12.30
Helmerich&Payne HP - Snapshot Report $1.18 $0.98 8.7% 11/20/2008 BTO $27.69
Hibbet Sports HIBB - Analyst Report $0.27 $0.25 13.3% 11/20/2008 AMC $16.06
Hurray Hldg-Adr HRAY - Analyst Report $0.01 ($0.09) 0.0% 11/20/2008 AMC $1.57
Limited Inc LTD - Snapshot Report $0.01 ($0.01) 35.0% 11/20/2008 N/A $9.59
Met-Pro Corp MPR - Snapshot Report $0.20 $0.18 0.0% 11/20/2008 BTO $11.08
New York & Co NWY - Snapshot Report ($0.10) $0.09 55.6% 11/20/2008 BTO $2.32
Pantry Inc PTRY - Snapshot Report $0.80 $0.33 71.4% 11/20/2008 BTO $21.74
Raven Inds Inc RAVN - Analyst Report $0.43 $0.41 22.6% 11/20/2008 BTO $31.91
Salesforce.Com CRM - Analyst Report $0.07 $0.04 0.0% 11/20/2008 AMC $27.38
Sally Beauty Co SBH - Snapshot Report $0.15 $0.09 30.0% 11/20/2008 BTO $4.36
School Specialt SCHS - Analyst Report $1.95 $1.76 (6.6%) 11/20/2008 BTO $20.27
Shoe Carnival SCVL - Snapshot Report $0.33 $0.33 0.0% 11/20/2008 BTO $12.00
Stage Stores SSI - Snapshot Report ($0.20) $0.06 8.7% 11/20/2008 BTO $5.75
Stein Mart Inc SMRT - Snapshot Report ($0.20) ($0.06) (46.2%) 11/20/2008 BTO $2.21
Suntech Pwr Hld STP - Snapshot Report $0.42 $0.32 28.1% 11/20/2008 BTO $11.80
Sycamore Ntwks SCMR - Analyst Report ($0.03) $0.03 (400.0%) 11/20/2008 BTO $3.05
Telvent Git Sa TLVT - Snapshot Report $0.33 $0.26 (28.6%) 11/20/2008 BTO $7.40
Transdigm Group TDG - Analyst Report $0.71 $0.57 5.9% 11/20/2008 BTO $29.10
Wet Seal Inc -A WTSLA - Analyst Report $0.06 ($0.02) 0.0% 11/20/2008 BTO $2.90
Zumiez Inc ZUMZ - Analyst Report $0.23 $0.28 28.57% 11/20/2008 AMC $8.08
Aktieselskabet TRMD $1.22 $0.40 62.8% 11/21/2008 N/A $14.17
Anntaylor Stres ANN - Snapshot Report $0.07 $0.66 12.5% 11/21/2008 BTO $7.15
Heinz (Hj) Co HNZ - Analyst Report $0.75 $0.71 9.1% 11/21/2008 BTO $42.45
Kirklands Inc KIRK - Analyst Report ($0.15) ($0.26) 25.0% 11/21/2008 BTO $1.93
Smucker Jm SJM - Snapshot Report $0.99 $0.91 7.9% 11/21/2008 BTO $39.27

BMO = Before The Market Open, AMC = After Market Close

1Some of the companies listed in the earnings calendar may not be in the Zacks Rank universe.


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