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Zacks Commentary: Earnings Preview

  PRINTABLE VERSION  
Earnings Preview for Nov 24 - 28
By Charles Rotblut
Nov 21, 2008
 
Audio only options
   
Companies that could issue positive surprises include Dollar Tree Inc. (DLTR), Hewlett-Packard (HPQ) and Netezza Corporation (NZ). CBRL Group Inc (CBRL) and Eaton Vance Corporation (EV) could potentially disappoint investors.


The Week's Events

The U.S. financial markets will be closed on Thursday in observance of Thanksgiving. On Friday, Nov 28, stock exchanges will close at 1 p.m. ET.

As would be expected for a holiday-shortened week, the financial calendar is pretty light.

Only 62 companies have been confirmed to report. Joining Dow component Hewlett-Packard (HPQ) will be fellow S&P 500 members Analog Devices (ADI), Campbell Soup (CPB), Deere & Co. (DE), D.R. Horton (DHI) and Tiffany & Co. (TIF).

Much of the week's economic data will be released on Wednesday morning because of the holiday. Key reports will include existing and new home sales and durable goods orders.

  • Monday: October existing home sales
  • Tuesday: November Conference Board consumer confidence, preliminary third-quarter GDP
  • Wednesday: October new home sales, October durable goods, October personal income and spending, November Chicago PMI, final November University of Michigan consumer confidence, weekly crude inventories, weekly initial jobless claims

No Fed members are scheduled to deliver speeches.

I expect the markets to remain volatile throughout the week, especially with volume being below average on Wednesday. It's a short week and investors should use it to spend time with family and friends.

On behalf of everyone at Zacks, have a happy Thanksgiving.


Companies That Could Issue Positive Earnings Surprises

Dollar Tree Inc. (DLTR) reported a 6.2% rise in same-store sales for the third quarter, helped by increased customer traffic and higher spending during Halloween. Total sales rose more than 11% to $1.11 billion, prompting 3 of the 9 covering brokerage analysts to raise their profit forecasts. These revisions pushed the consensus earnings estimate up by a penny to 44 cents per share. The most accurate estimate is slightly more bullish at 45 cents per share. The company has topped consensus estimates for 4 consecutive quarters. Dollar Tree is scheduled to report earnings on Tuesday, Nov 25, before the open of trading.

Netezza Corporation (NZ) has topped consensus earnings estimate for 4 consecutive quarters. Ahead of the company’s third-quarter report, one brokerage analyst has raised his forecast. The revision was not enough to move the consensus earnings estimate from 4 cents per share, but it did result in a most accurate estimate of 5 cents per share. Netezza is scheduled to report earnings on Tuesday, Nov 25, after the close of trading.

Last week, Hewlett-Packard (HPQ) preannounced non-GAAP fiscal fourth-quarter earnings of $1.03 per share. Revisions by 6 brokerage analysts pushed the consensus earnings estimate up to $1.02 per share. HPQ has topped expectations for 16 consecutive quarters and another positive surprise seems likely.

How traders will respond to the company's fiscal 2009 outlook is unknown. HPQ's preliminary fiscal 2009 forecast calls for non-GAAP earnings of $3.88 to $4.03 per share. Cuts by 6 brokerage analysts last week lowered the consensus earnings estimate by 10 cents to $3.84 per share, however. Hewlett-Packard is scheduled to report on Monday, Nov 24, after the close of trading.

Companies That Could Issue Negative Earnings Surprises

CBRL Group Inc (CBRL) has missed disappointed investors during 3 out of the last 4 quarters. Several analysts have cut their projections for the company recently, amid fears of further weakness in the casual dining sector. The average forecast for the third quarter is now pegged at 51 cents per share, down from 55 cents a month ago. The most accurate estimate is slightly more bearish at 50 cents per share. CBRL Group is scheduled to report earnings on Monday, Nov 24, before the start of trading.

Eaton Vance Corporation (EV) is getting hit amid the bearish outlook for the wider asset management industry. The consensus estimate for EV’s fiscal fourth-quarter earnings has been cut to 35 cents during the past 30 days, reflecting cuts by 5 brokerage analysts. The most accurate estimate is more bearish at 34 cents per share. Eaton Vance is scheduled to report earnings on Tueday, Nov 25, before the start of trading.

Charles Rotblut, CFA is the senior market analyst for Zacks.com. He can be reached at crotblut@zacks.com.

Aditi Samajpati contributed to this article.


Surprise Trader can help you turn earnings surprises into quick profits. Learn how.

Earnings Calendar

Here is a list of companies that we have confirmed will report during the week of Nov 24 - 281. Prices are as of Thursday's, Nov 20, close.

Company Ticker Zacks Consensus Estimate Year Ago Actual Last Qtr Surprise Report Date Report Time Price
Analog Devices ADI $0.45 $0.39 (2.2%) 11/24/2008 AMC $16.94
Atwood Oceanics ATW $1.13 $0.85 2.2% 11/24/2008 AMC $15.34
Campbell Soup CPB $0.76 $0.70 4.0% 11/24/2008 BTO $35.42
Cbrl Group Inc CBRL $0.51 $0.57 (1.1%) 11/24/2008 BTO $11.77
Chinaedu Cp-Adr CEDU $0.05 N/A 0.0% 11/24/2008 AMC $3.77
Citi Trends Inc CTRN ($0.11) ($0.04) 17.6% 11/24/2008 AMC $8.04
Donaldson Co DCI $0.57 $0.53 (1.6%) 11/24/2008 AMC $24.38
Dycom Inds DY $0.21 $0.37 9.5% 11/24/2008 AMC $5.13
Hewlett Packard HPQ $1.02 $0.86 3.6% 11/24/2008 AMC $31.83
Ituran Location ITRN $0.23 $0.16 (4.8%) 11/24/2008 BTO $6.21
Nuance Comm Inc NUAN $0.18 $0.18 58.3% 11/24/2008 AMC $6.50
Skillsoft Plc SKIL $0.10 $0.08 42.9% 11/24/2008 AMC $6.54
Star Bulk Carrs SBLK $0.40 N/A 0.0% 11/24/2008 AMC $2.18
Univl Tech Inst UTI $0.06 $0.08 (160.0%) 11/24/2008 AMC $14.34
Valspar Corp VAL $0.43 $0.43 0.0% 11/24/2008 BTO $14.57
Amer Eagle Outf AEO $0.30 $0.45 3.6% 11/25/2008 BTO $7.11
Amer Woodmark AMWD ($0.06) $0.08 (90.9%) 11/25/2008 BTO $14.04
Bank Montreal BMO $1.16 $1.41 (19.2%) 11/25/2008 N/A $25.70
Blue Coat Sys BCSI $0.11 $0.19 0.0% 11/25/2008 AMC $7.26
Borders Group BGP ($0.54) ($0.66) 35.7% 11/25/2008 AMC $1.37
Brown Shoe Co BWS $0.17 $0.61 (16.7%) 11/25/2008 BTO $5.19
Charming Shoppe CHRS ($0.36) ($0.03) 400.0% 11/25/2008 BTO $0.76
Chicos Fas Fnc CHS ($0.02) $0.11 0.0% 11/25/2008 BTO $1.89
China Sunergy CSUN $0.10 ($0.11) 166.7% 11/25/2008 BTO $1.54
Coldwater Creek CWTR ($0.08) ($0.07) 200.0% 11/25/2008 AMC $1.05
D R Horton Inc DHI ($1.79) ($0.16) 22.3% 11/25/2008 BTO $4.52
Daktronics Inc DAKT $0.20 $0.19 33.3% 11/25/2008 BTO $6.35
Delias Inc DLIA $0.07 $0.00 5.9% 11/25/2008 AMC $1.65
Dollar Tree Inc DLTR $0.44 $0.38 5.0% 11/25/2008 BTO $34.18
Dsw Inc Cl-A DSW $0.28 $0.51 127.3% 11/25/2008 BTO $8.23
Eaton Vance EV $0.35 $0.52 (13.0%) 11/25/2008 BTO $12.36
Elbit Systems ESLT $0.81 $0.62 4.3% 11/25/2008 BTO $39.93
Fleetwood Entrp FLE ($0.44) ($0.02) (127.8%) 11/25/2008 BTO $0.15
Genesco Inc GCO $0.51 $0.39 350.0% 11/25/2008 BTO $11.40
Hillenbrand Inc HI $0.31 N/A N/A 11/25/2008 BTO $14.42
Hormel Foods Cp HRL $0.48 $0.70 0.0% 11/25/2008 BTO $26.69
Indevus Pharma IDEV ($0.15) ($0.12) (8.7%) 11/25/2008 BTO $1.82
J Crew Group JCG $0.28 $0.42 (15.2%) 11/25/2008 AMC $8.89
Netezza Corp NZ $0.04 $0.02 66.7% 11/25/2008 AMC $5.82
Qad Inc QADI $0.00 $0.05 0.0% 11/25/2008 AMC $3.90
Seachange Intl SEAC $0.06 $0.11 66.7% 11/25/2008 AMC $6.77
Sourceforge Inc LNUX ($0.03) $0.00 (300.0%) 11/25/2008 AMC $0.65
Talbots Inc TLB $0.04 ($0.10) 0.0% 11/25/2008 BTO $2.15
Tech Data Corp TECD $0.64 $0.73 (2.2%) 11/25/2008 BTO $15.99
Tivo Inc TIVO ($0.06) ($0.08) 250.0% 11/25/2008 AMC $5.08
Utd Natural Fds UNFI $0.30 $0.32 0.0% 11/25/2008 BTO $18.39
Verigy Ltd VRGY $0.15 $0.57 3.6% 11/25/2008 AMC $8.24
Vimpel-Comm-Adr VIP $0.47 $0.45 (8.0%) 11/25/2008 BTO $6.99
Warner Music Gp WMG ($0.02) $0.01 62.5% 11/25/2008 BTO $2.66
Zale Corp New ZLC ($0.96) ($0.54) 11.11% 11/25/2008 BTO $8.08
China Nepstar NPD $0.05 $0.04 N/A 11/26/2008 BTO $2.87
Conns Inc CONN $0.21 $0.28 7.9% 11/26/2008 BTO $6.72
Deere & Co DE $0.99 $0.94 (3.7%) 11/26/2008 BTO $28.77
Descartes Sys DSGX $0.05 $0.03 (40.0%) 11/26/2008 BTO $2.28
Elong Inc-Adr LONG ($0.08) ($0.04) (800.0%) 11/26/2008 N/A $6.89
Freds Inc FRED $0.15 $0.12 0.0% 11/26/2008 BTO $8.74
Shamir Optical SHMR $0.11 $0.14 45.5% 11/26/2008 BTO $3.03
Tiffany & Co TIF $0.27 $0.27 14.6% 11/26/2008 BTO $17.86
Yingli Green En YGE $0.23 $0.18 19.0% 11/26/2008 BTO $2.56
Frontline Ltd FRO $1.70 $0.26 (8.4%) 11/28/2008 N/A $25.19
Golar Lng Ltd GLNG $0.08 ($0.14) (100.0%) 11/28/2008 N/A $4.08

BMO = Before The Market Open, AMC = After Market Close

1Some of the companies listed in the earnings calendar may not be in the Zacks Rank universe.

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ZACKS COMMENTARY: EARNINGS PREVIEW ARCHIVE

Earnings Preview for Jan 5-9
By Charles Rotblut
Jan 06, 2009
Earnings and employment will greet traders. Reporting S&P 500 companies include BBBY, KBH, MON and STZ.

Earnings Preview for Dec 29 - Jan 2
By Charles Rotblut
Dec 26, 2008
Just 3 companies are scheduled to report. The NYSE will be open normal hours on Dec 31 and Jan 2.

Earnings Preview for Dec 22-26
By Charles Rotblut
Dec 19, 2008
Just 7 companies will report, including Micron Technology and Walgreen.

Earnings Preview for Dec 15 - 19
By Charles Rotblut
Dec 12, 2008
The last busy week of 2008 will feature reports from BBY, FDX, GS, LEN and ORCL.

Earnings Preview for Dec 8-12
By Charles Rotblut
Dec 05, 2008
Headlining the light earnings calendar will be AZO, CIEN, COST, HRB, KR, NSM and PLL.


 
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