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Earnings Preview

Earnings Preview for Nov 24 - 28

November 21, 2008 | Comments: 0
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HPQ | DLTR | NZ | CBRL | EV | ADI | CPB | DE | DHI | TIF
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Companies that could issue positive surprises include Dollar Tree Inc. (DLTR - Snapshot Report), Hewlett-Packard (HPQ - Analyst Report) and Netezza Corporation (NZ - Snapshot Report). CBRL Group Inc (CBRL - Snapshot Report) and Eaton Vance Corporation (EV - Snapshot Report) could potentially disappoint investors.


The Week's Events

The U.S. financial markets will be closed on Thursday in observance of Thanksgiving. On Friday, Nov 28, stock exchanges will close at 1 p.m. ET.

As would be expected for a holiday-shortened week, the financial calendar is pretty light.

Only 62 companies have been confirmed to report. Joining Dow component Hewlett-Packard (HPQ - Analyst Report) will be fellow S&P 500 members Analog Devices (ADI - Analyst Report), Campbell Soup (CPB - Analyst Report), Deere & Co. (DE - Analyst Report), D.R. Horton (DHI - Analyst Report) and Tiffany & Co. (TIF - Analyst Report).

Much of the week's economic data will be released on Wednesday morning because of the holiday. Key reports will include existing and new home sales and durable goods orders.

  • Monday: October existing home sales
  • Tuesday: November Conference Board consumer confidence, preliminary third-quarter GDP
  • Wednesday: October new home sales, October durable goods, October personal income and spending, November Chicago PMI, final November University of Michigan consumer confidence, weekly crude inventories, weekly initial jobless claims

No Fed members are scheduled to deliver speeches.

I expect the markets to remain volatile throughout the week, especially with volume being below average on Wednesday. It's a short week and investors should use it to spend time with family and friends.

On behalf of everyone at Zacks, have a happy Thanksgiving.


Companies That Could Issue Positive Earnings Surprises

Dollar Tree Inc. (DLTR - Snapshot Report) reported a 6.2% rise in same-store sales for the third quarter, helped by increased customer traffic and higher spending during Halloween. Total sales rose more than 11% to $1.11 billion, prompting 3 of the 9 covering brokerage analysts to raise their profit forecasts. These revisions pushed the consensus earnings estimate up by a penny to 44 cents per share. The most accurate estimate is slightly more bullish at 45 cents per share. The company has topped consensus estimates for 4 consecutive quarters. Dollar Tree is scheduled to report earnings on Tuesday, Nov 25, before the open of trading.

Netezza Corporation (NZ - Snapshot Report) has topped consensus earnings estimate for 4 consecutive quarters. Ahead of the company’s third-quarter report, one brokerage analyst has raised his forecast. The revision was not enough to move the consensus earnings estimate from 4 cents per share, but it did result in a most accurate estimate of 5 cents per share. Netezza is scheduled to report earnings on Tuesday, Nov 25, after the close of trading.

Last week, Hewlett-Packard (HPQ - Analyst Report) preannounced non-GAAP fiscal fourth-quarter earnings of $1.03 per share. Revisions by 6 brokerage analysts pushed the consensus earnings estimate up to $1.02 per share. HPQ has topped expectations for 16 consecutive quarters and another positive surprise seems likely.

How traders will respond to the company's fiscal 2009 outlook is unknown. HPQ's preliminary fiscal 2009 forecast calls for non-GAAP earnings of $3.88 to $4.03 per share. Cuts by 6 brokerage analysts last week lowered the consensus earnings estimate by 10 cents to $3.84 per share, however. Hewlett-Packard is scheduled to report on Monday, Nov 24, after the close of trading.

Companies That Could Issue Negative Earnings Surprises

CBRL Group Inc (CBRL - Snapshot Report) has missed disappointed investors during 3 out of the last 4 quarters. Several analysts have cut their projections for the company recently, amid fears of further weakness in the casual dining sector. The average forecast for the third quarter is now pegged at 51 cents per share, down from 55 cents a month ago. The most accurate estimate is slightly more bearish at 50 cents per share. CBRL Group is scheduled to report earnings on Monday, Nov 24, before the start of trading.

Eaton Vance Corporation (EV - Snapshot Report) is getting hit amid the bearish outlook for the wider asset management industry. The consensus estimate for EV’s fiscal fourth-quarter earnings has been cut to 35 cents during the past 30 days, reflecting cuts by 5 brokerage analysts. The most accurate estimate is more bearish at 34 cents per share. Eaton Vance is scheduled to report earnings on Tueday, Nov 25, before the start of trading.

Charles Rotblut, CFA is the senior market analyst for Zacks.com. He can be reached at crotblut@zacks.com.

Aditi Samajpati contributed to this article.


Surprise Trader can help you turn earnings surprises into quick profits. Learn how.

Earnings Calendar

Here is a list of companies that we have confirmed will report during the week of Nov 24 - 281. Prices are as of Thursday's, Nov 20, close.

Company Ticker Zacks Consensus Estimate Year Ago Actual Last Qtr Surprise Report Date Report Time Price
Analog Devices ADI - Analyst Report $0.45 $0.39 (2.2%) 11/24/2008 AMC $16.94
Atwood Oceanics ATW - Snapshot Report $1.13 $0.85 2.2% 11/24/2008 AMC $15.34
Campbell Soup CPB - Analyst Report $0.76 $0.70 4.0% 11/24/2008 BTO $35.42
Cbrl Group Inc CBRL - Snapshot Report $0.51 $0.57 (1.1%) 11/24/2008 BTO $11.77
Chinaedu Cp-Adr CEDU - Snapshot Report $0.05 N/A 0.0% 11/24/2008 AMC $3.77
Citi Trends Inc CTRN - Analyst Report ($0.11) ($0.04) 17.6% 11/24/2008 AMC $8.04
Donaldson Co DCI - Snapshot Report $0.57 $0.53 (1.6%) 11/24/2008 AMC $24.38
Dycom Inds DY - Snapshot Report $0.21 $0.37 9.5% 11/24/2008 AMC $5.13
Hewlett Packard HPQ - Analyst Report $1.02 $0.86 3.6% 11/24/2008 AMC $31.83
Ituran Location ITRN - Snapshot Report $0.23 $0.16 (4.8%) 11/24/2008 BTO $6.21
Nuance Comm Inc NUAN - Snapshot Report $0.18 $0.18 58.3% 11/24/2008 AMC $6.50
Skillsoft Plc SKIL - Snapshot Report $0.10 $0.08 42.9% 11/24/2008 AMC $6.54
Star Bulk Carrs SBLK - Snapshot Report $0.40 N/A 0.0% 11/24/2008 AMC $2.18
Univl Tech Inst UTI - Analyst Report $0.06 $0.08 (160.0%) 11/24/2008 AMC $14.34
Valspar Corp VAL - Analyst Report $0.43 $0.43 0.0% 11/24/2008 BTO $14.57
Amer Eagle Outf AEO - Snapshot Report $0.30 $0.45 3.6% 11/25/2008 BTO $7.11
Amer Woodmark AMWD - Snapshot Report ($0.06) $0.08 (90.9%) 11/25/2008 BTO $14.04
Bank Montreal BMO - Snapshot Report $1.16 $1.41 (19.2%) 11/25/2008 N/A $25.70
Blue Coat Sys BCSI - Snapshot Report $0.11 $0.19 0.0% 11/25/2008 AMC $7.26
Borders Group BGP - Snapshot Report ($0.54) ($0.66) 35.7% 11/25/2008 AMC $1.37
Brown Shoe Co BWS - Snapshot Report $0.17 $0.61 (16.7%) 11/25/2008 BTO $5.19
Charming Shoppe CHRS - Snapshot Report ($0.36) ($0.03) 400.0% 11/25/2008 BTO $0.76
Chicos Fas Fnc CHS - Snapshot Report ($0.02) $0.11 0.0% 11/25/2008 BTO $1.89
China Sunergy CSUN - Snapshot Report $0.10 ($0.11) 166.7% 11/25/2008 BTO $1.54
Coldwater Creek CWTR - Snapshot Report ($0.08) ($0.07) 200.0% 11/25/2008 AMC $1.05
D R Horton Inc DHI - Analyst Report ($1.79) ($0.16) 22.3% 11/25/2008 BTO $4.52
Daktronics Inc DAKT - Snapshot Report $0.20 $0.19 33.3% 11/25/2008 BTO $6.35
Delias Inc DLIA - Snapshot Report $0.07 $0.00 5.9% 11/25/2008 AMC $1.65
Dollar Tree Inc DLTR - Snapshot Report $0.44 $0.38 5.0% 11/25/2008 BTO $34.18
Dsw Inc Cl-A DSW - Snapshot Report $0.28 $0.51 127.3% 11/25/2008 BTO $8.23
Eaton Vance EV - Snapshot Report $0.35 $0.52 (13.0%) 11/25/2008 BTO $12.36
Elbit Systems ESLT - Snapshot Report $0.81 $0.62 4.3% 11/25/2008 BTO $39.93
Fleetwood Entrp FLE ($0.44) ($0.02) (127.8%) 11/25/2008 BTO $0.15
Genesco Inc GCO - Snapshot Report $0.51 $0.39 350.0% 11/25/2008 BTO $11.40
Hillenbrand Inc HI - Snapshot Report $0.31 N/A N/A 11/25/2008 BTO $14.42
Hormel Foods Cp HRL - Snapshot Report $0.48 $0.70 0.0% 11/25/2008 BTO $26.69
Indevus Pharma IDEV ($0.15) ($0.12) (8.7%) 11/25/2008 BTO $1.82
J Crew Group JCG - Snapshot Report $0.28 $0.42 (15.2%) 11/25/2008 AMC $8.89
Netezza Corp NZ - Snapshot Report $0.04 $0.02 66.7% 11/25/2008 AMC $5.82
Qad Inc QADI - Snapshot Report $0.00 $0.05 0.0% 11/25/2008 AMC $3.90
Seachange Intl SEAC - Snapshot Report $0.06 $0.11 66.7% 11/25/2008 AMC $6.77
Sourceforge Inc LNUX - Snapshot Report ($0.03) $0.00 (300.0%) 11/25/2008 AMC $0.65
Talbots Inc TLB - Snapshot Report $0.04 ($0.10) 0.0% 11/25/2008 BTO $2.15
Tech Data Corp TECD - Analyst Report $0.64 $0.73 (2.2%) 11/25/2008 BTO $15.99
Tivo Inc TIVO - Analyst Report ($0.06) ($0.08) 250.0% 11/25/2008 AMC $5.08
Utd Natural Fds UNFI - Analyst Report $0.30 $0.32 0.0% 11/25/2008 BTO $18.39
Verigy Ltd VRGY - Snapshot Report $0.15 $0.57 3.6% 11/25/2008 AMC $8.24
Vimpel-Comm-Adr VIP - Analyst Report $0.47 $0.45 (8.0%) 11/25/2008 BTO $6.99
Warner Music Gp WMG - Snapshot Report ($0.02) $0.01 62.5% 11/25/2008 BTO $2.66
Zale Corp New ZLC - Snapshot Report ($0.96) ($0.54) 11.11% 11/25/2008 BTO $8.08
China Nepstar NPD - Snapshot Report $0.05 $0.04 N/A 11/26/2008 BTO $2.87
Conns Inc CONN - Snapshot Report $0.21 $0.28 7.9% 11/26/2008 BTO $6.72
Deere & Co DE - Analyst Report $0.99 $0.94 (3.7%) 11/26/2008 BTO $28.77
Descartes Sys DSGX - Snapshot Report $0.05 $0.03 (40.0%) 11/26/2008 BTO $2.28
Elong Inc-Adr LONG - Snapshot Report ($0.08) ($0.04) (800.0%) 11/26/2008 N/A $6.89
Freds Inc FRED - Analyst Report $0.15 $0.12 0.0% 11/26/2008 BTO $8.74
Shamir Optical SHMR - Snapshot Report $0.11 $0.14 45.5% 11/26/2008 BTO $3.03
Tiffany & Co TIF - Analyst Report $0.27 $0.27 14.6% 11/26/2008 BTO $17.86
Yingli Green En YGE - Snapshot Report $0.23 $0.18 19.0% 11/26/2008 BTO $2.56
Frontline Ltd FRO - Snapshot Report $1.70 $0.26 (8.4%) 11/28/2008 N/A $25.19
Golar Lng Ltd GLNG - Snapshot Report $0.08 ($0.14) (100.0%) 11/28/2008 N/A $4.08

BMO = Before The Market Open, AMC = After Market Close

1Some of the companies listed in the earnings calendar may not be in the Zacks Rank universe.


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