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Earnings Preview

Earnings Preview for Dec 1 - 5

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November 26, 2008 | Comment(s): 0
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NOVL | MTLQQ | BIG | F | SIGM | SPLS | SHLD | CASY
Companies that could issue positive surprises include Casey's General Stores (CASY - Snapshot Report). Meanwhile, Sigma Designs (SIGM - Snapshot Report) might disappoint investors.


The Week's Events

December greets investors with a light earnings calendar and a large amount of economic data.

The week's biggest scheduled event will be the Big 3 bailout. American automakers Chrysler, Ford Motor Co. (F - Analyst Report) and General Motors Corporation (GM - Analyst Report) are required to provide Congress with a turnaround plan by Tuesday, Dec 2. Hearings are scheduled for the end of the week, with a vote occurring as soon as Dec 8. (A suggestion to the CEOs, don't use the corporate jets to travel to Washington.)

Just 47 companies are confirmed to report. The largest companies are S&P 500 members Big Lots (BIG - Analyst Report), Novell Inc. (NOVL), Sears Holdings (SHLD - Analyst Report) and Staples Inc. (SPLS - Analyst Report).

Key economic data will include the November ISM manufacturing index (Monday), Beige Book (Wednesday) and November employment numbers (Friday).

  • Monday: November ISM manufacturing index, October construction spending
  • Tuesday: November auto sales
  • Wednesday: November ISM services index, Revised third-quarter productivity, Federal Reserve Beige Book (afternoon release), weekly crude inventories
  • Thursday: October factory orders, weekly initial jobless claims
  • Friday: November unemployment and nonfarm payrolls, October consumer credit

No Fed members are scheduled to deliver speeches.

December is typically a bullish month; however, given the current economic backdrop and continued volatility, the markets remain unpredictable. Black Friday sales data could have an impact early in the week, while reaction to the automakers' turnaround plans could affect market direction late in the week.

Unscheduled events remain a wildcard, including any new actions taken by Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson or new economic proposals from President-elect Barrack Obama.


Companies That Could Issue Positive Earnings Surprises

Casey's General Stores (CASY - Snapshot Report) has topped expectations during 3 out of the last 4 quarters. Ahead of the company's fiscal second-quarter report, 2 out of the 3 covering brokerage analysts have raised their forecasts on the gas and convenience store chain. These revisions have pushed the consensus earnings estimate 6 cents higher to 58 cents per share. The most accurate estimate is even more bullish at 61 cents per share. CASY is scheduled to report on Wednesday, Dec 3, after the close of trading.

Companies That Could Issue Negative Earnings Surprises

Sigma Designs (SIGM - Snapshot Report) recently warned that third-quarter revenues would be well below its previous guidance. The company now expects to report revenues of $46.5 million. Previously, the company projected that third-quarter revenues would stay near those of the second-quarter, which totaled $58.2 million.

Nearly all of the 5 covering brokerage analysts cut their guidance in response, causing the consensus earnings estimate to fall 10 cents to 24 cents per share. The most accurate estimate is more bearish at 21 cents per share. The semiconductor company has missed earnings once in the past 2 quarters. SIGM is scheduled to report on Tuesday, Dec 2, after the close of trading.

Charles Rotblut, CFA is the senior market analyst for Zacks.com. He can be reached at crotblut@zacks.com.


Surprise Trader can help you turn earnings surprises into quick profits. Learn how.

Earnings Calendar

Here is a list of companies that we have confirmed will report during the week of Dec 1 - 51. Prices are as of Tuesday's, Nov 25, close.

Company Ticker Zacks Consensus Estimate Year Ago Actual Last Qtr Surprise Report Date Report Time Price
Inergy Hldgs Lp NRGP $0.44 $0.19 28.6% 12/1/2008 BTO $18.47
Inergy Lp NRGY - Snapshot Report ($0.51) ($0.72) (45.0%) 12/1/2008 BTO $14.66
Shanda Interact SNDA $0.55 $0.44 12.0% 12/1/2008 AMC $23.22
Americas Car-Mt CRMT - Snapshot Report $0.34 $0.29 21.6% 12/2/2008 BTO $9.55
Bank Of Nova Sc BNS - Snapshot Report $0.74 $0.94 (2.1%) 12/2/2008 N/A $27.13
Beacon Roofing BECN - Analyst Report $0.39 $0.25 36.7% 12/2/2008 BTO $10.92
Beazer Homes BZH - Snapshot Report ($2.30) ($3.21) (7.1%) 12/2/2008 BTO $1.79
Gladstone Captl GLAD - Snapshot Report $0.35 $0.39 (13.5%) 12/2/2008 AMC $5.50
Marvell Tech Gp MRVL - Snapshot Report $0.15 $0.03 21.4% 12/2/2008 AMC $5.34
Omnivision Tech OVTI - Analyst Report $0.07 $0.36 (25.0%) 12/2/2008 AMC $6.06
Sears Hldg Cp SHLD - Analyst Report ($0.46) $0.01 (41.7%) 12/2/2008 BTO $33.39
Sigma Designs SIGM - Snapshot Report $0.24 $0.72 20.7% 12/2/2008 AMC $8.13
Solarfun Power SOLF $0.15 $0.17 4.6% 12/2/2008 BTO $4.13
Staples Inc SPLS - Analyst Report $0.41 $0.42 (8.7%) 12/2/2008 BTO $17.13
Aeropostale Inc ARO - Snapshot Report $0.62 $0.48 0.0% 12/3/2008 AMC $14.40
Casella Waste CWST - Snapshot Report $0.10 $0.14 166.7% 12/3/2008 AMC $4.31
Caseys Gen Strs CASY - Snapshot Report $0.58 $0.54 17.6% 12/3/2008 AMC $28.80
Collective Brnd PSS - Snapshot Report $0.41 $0.39 86.2% 12/3/2008 AMC $6.65
Del Monte Foods DLM $0.12 $0.14 20.0% 12/3/2008 BTO $5.33
Diamond Foods DMND - Analyst Report $0.62 $0.52 23.1% 12/3/2008 AMC $27.50
Dynamex Inc DDMX $0.42 $0.39 7.1% 12/3/2008 AMC $16.86
Infineon Tech IFX ($0.13) ($0.51) 113.8% 12/3/2008 N/A $2.64
Jo-Ann Stores A JAS $0.33 $0.32 28.8% 12/3/2008 AMC $12.91
Synopsys Inc SNPS - Analyst Report $0.30 $0.28 16.1% 12/3/2008 AMC $15.44
Synovis Lif Tec SYNO $0.13 $0.12 27.3% 12/3/2008 BTO $13.00
Xeta Tech Inc XETA $0.06 $0.07 20.00% 12/3/2008 AMC $1.90
Amer Software A AMSWA - Snapshot Report $0.05 $0.10 (40.0%) 12/4/2008 N/A $3.46
Argon St Inc STST $0.27 $0.23 0.0% 12/4/2008 BTO $19.55
Cascade Corp CAE - Snapshot Report $0.80 $1.00 (6.9%) 12/4/2008 AMC $25.45
Cdn Impl Bk CM - Snapshot Report $1.47 $2.23 (4.2%) 12/4/2008 N/A $34.47
Jackson Hewitt JTX ($0.75) ($0.60) 1.4% 12/4/2008 BTO $11.91
Layne Christens LAYN - Snapshot Report $0.66 $0.59 25.8% 12/4/2008 BTO $18.15
Liquidity Svcs LQDT - Snapshot Report $0.10 $0.11 0.0% 12/4/2008 AMC $6.67
Magma Design LAVA ($0.32) $0.02 0.0% 12/4/2008 AMC $1.50
Novell Inc NOVL $0.04 ($0.03) 66.7% 12/4/2008 AMC $4.27
Sanderson Farms SAFM - Snapshot Report ($0.47) $1.18 0.0% 12/4/2008 BTO $30.37
Sirona Dental SIRO - Snapshot Report $0.35 $0.26 23.5% 12/4/2008 BTO $11.00
Smithfield Food SFD - Analyst Report ($0.08) $0.24 71.4% 12/4/2008 BTO $6.15
Softbrands Inc SBN $0.02 $0.03 (100.0%) 12/4/2008 N/A $0.61
Toll Brothers TOL - Snapshot Report ($0.42) ($0.52) 35.7% 12/4/2008 BTO $18.54
Toronto Dom Bnk TD - Snapshot Report $0.98 $1.38 (5.7%) 12/4/2008 BTO $33.38
Uti Worldwide UTIW - Snapshot Report $0.35 $0.35 3.7% 12/4/2008 BTO $10.02
Williams-Sonoma WSM - Snapshot Report ($0.11) $0.25 0.0% 12/4/2008 BTO $6.71
Wind River Sys WIND $0.03 $0.01 450.0% 12/4/2008 AMC $7.65
Big Lots Inc BIG - Analyst Report $0.15 $0.14 18.5% 12/5/2008 BTO $16.06
Blyth Inc BTH - Snapshot Report $0.18 $0.24 (40.0%) 12/5/2008 BTO $6.94
Royal Bank Cda RY - Snapshot Report $0.97 $0.99 (12.4%) 12/5/2008 N/A $31.83

BMO = Before The Market Open, AMC = After Market Close

1Some of the companies listed in the earnings calendar may not be in the Zacks Rank universe.

Read the full analyst report on NOVL

Read the full analyst report on MTLQQ

Read the full analyst report on BIG

Read the full analyst report on F

Read the full analyst report on SIGM

Read the full analyst report on SPLS

Read the full analyst report on SHLD

Read the full analyst report on CASY

 

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