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Earnings Preview

Earnings Preview for Jan 5-9

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January 06, 2009 | Comment(s): 0
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APOL | CVX | GPN | KBH | AA | SVU | BLUD | STZ | MON | BBBY
Correction: Chevron Corporation (CVX - Analyst Report) will release its fourth-quarter interim update on Thursday, Jan 8. Fourth-quarter earnings results will not be released until Jan 30.

Immucor, Inc. (BLUD) could top expectations. Bed Bath & Beyond Inc. (BBBY - Analyst Report) and Global Payments Inc. (GPN - Snapshot Report) could miss estimates.


Traders and portfolio managers returning from their holiday vacations will be greeted by earnings and economic news.

Though earnings season will not officially start for another week (Alcoa Inc. (AA - Analyst Report) reports on Monday, Jan 12), there are 45 companies confirmed to report this week. These stocks include S&P 500 members Apollo Group, Inc. (APOL - Analyst Report), Bed Bath & Beyond Inc. (BBBY - Analyst Report), Family Dollar Stores, Inc. (FDO - Analyst Report), KB Home (KBH - Analyst Report), Monsanto Company (MON - Analyst Report), Constellation Brands, Inc. (STZ - Analyst Report) and SuperValu Inc. (SVU - Analyst Report).

Two key economic reports are on the calendar: minutes from the December Fed meeting (Tuesday afternoon) and December employment numbers (Friday morning).

  • Monday: December auto sales, November construction spending
  • Tuesday: December ISM services index, November factory orders, minutes from the December Fed meeting
  • Wednesday: Weekly crude inventories
  • Thursday: November consumer credit, weekly initial jobless claims
  • Friday: December unemployment rate and nonfarm payrolls, November wholesale inventories

The Federal Reserve's web site is not listing any upcoming speeches from Fed officials.

Volume should improve, but market direction is a questionable. Though I can foresee a pre-inauguration rally occurring, fourth-quarter earnings and economic data will weigh on traders' minds.


Companies That Could Issue Positive Earnings Surprises

The fiscal second-quarter consensus earnings estimate for Immucor, Inc. (BLUD) has risen by a penny over the past 30 days to 21 cents per share. The most accurate estimate is even more bullish at 24 cents per share. The reagent manufacturer has topped expectations for 3 consecutive quarters by an average margin of 4 cents per share. Immucor is scheduled to report on Wednesday, Jan 7, after the close of trading.

Companies That Could Issue Negative Earnings Surprises

In early December, Bed Bath & Beyond Inc. (BBBY - Analyst Report) warned that third-quarter same-store sales had declined 5.6%, well below its projection for sales to be unchanged or down by just low single digits. As a result, the company cut its EPS guidance to between 31 and 35 cents per share. Brokerage analysts responded by lowering their quarterly projections to 34 cents per share.

BBBY has missed once during the past 4 quarters. Even if the company matches expectations, there is a real possibility that its fiscal 2009 guidance could be disappointing given the horrible holiday shopping season. Bed Bath & Beyond is scheduled to report on Wednesday, Jan 7, after the close of trading.

During the past 30 days, 4 brokerage analysts have lowered their fiscal second-quarter profit projections on Global Payments Inc. (GPN - Snapshot Report). Though the revisions were not large enough to move the consensus earnings estimate from 57 cents per share, they did result in a more bearish most accurate estimate of 55 cents per share. GPN has missed once in the past 2 quarters. Global Payments is scheduled to report on Tuesday, Jan 6, after the close of trading.

Charles Rotblut, CFA is the senior market analyst for Zacks.com. He can be reached at crotblut@zacks.com.


Surprise Trader can help you turn earnings surprises into quick profits. Learn how.

Earnings Calendar

Here is a list of companies that we have confirmed will report during the week of Jan 5 - 91. Prices are as of Wednesday's, Dec 24, market close.

Company Ticker Zacks Consensus Estimate Year Ago Actual Last Qtr Surprise Report Date Report Time Price
The Mosaic Co MOS - Snapshot Report $1.41 $0.81 (10.5%) 1/5/2009 BTO $34.60
Navistar Intl NAV - Analyst Report $0.88 ($1.46) 159.1% 1/5/2009 AMC $21.38
Angiodynamics ANGO - Analyst Report $0.12 $0.13 (18.2%) 1/6/2009 AMC $13.69
Acuity Brands AYI - Snapshot Report $0.84 $0.93 (6.4%) 1/6/2009 AMC $34.91
Finish Line-Cla FINL - Snapshot Report ($0.09) ($0.17) 41.2% 1/6/2009 AMC $5.60
Global Payments GPN - Snapshot Report $0.57 $0.48 18.3% 1/6/2009 AMC $32.79
Landec Corp LNDC - Snapshot Report $0.11 $0.12 10.0% 1/6/2009 AMC $6.58
Neogen Corp NEOG - Snapshot Report $0.25 $0.22 8.7% 1/6/2009 AMC $24.98
Premier Exhibit PRXI - Snapshot Report ($0.01) $0.08 50.0% 1/6/2009 AMC $1.13
Resources Cnctn RECN - Snapshot Report $0.21 $0.27 8.0% 1/6/2009 AMC $16.38
Standard Micros SMSC - Snapshot Report $0.16 $0.41 18.8% 1/6/2009 AMC $16.34
Xyratex Ltd XRTX - Snapshot Report ($0.05) $0.29 -15.15% 1/6/2009 AMC 2.95
Bed Bath&Beyond BBBY - Analyst Report $0.34 $0.49 0.0% 1/7/2009 AMC $25.42
Immucor BLUD $0.21 $0.23 21.7% 1/7/2009 AMC $26.58
Christopher&Bnk CBK - Snapshot Report ($0.05) $0.29 33.3% 1/7/2009 AMC $5.60
Family Dollar FDO - Analyst Report $0.40 $0.37 11.8% 1/7/2009 AMC $26.07
Merix Corp MERX ($0.12) ($0.19) 29.4% 1/7/2009 AMC $0.28
Monsanto Co-New MON - Analyst Report $0.60 $0.46 66.7% 1/7/2009 AMC $70.35
Ruby Tuesday RT - Snapshot Report ($0.10) ($0.20) (90.9%) 1/7/2009 AMC $1.56
Sonic Corp SONC - Snapshot Report $0.17 $0.22 (2.9%) 1/7/2009 AMC $12.17
Spectrum Contrl SPEC $0.19 $0.23 12.5% 1/7/2009 AMC $6.14
Constellatn Brd STZ - Analyst Report $0.59 $0.55 2.3% 1/7/2009 AMC $15.77
Supervalu Inc SVU - Analyst Report $0.61 $0.69 (12.9%) 1/7/2009 AMC $14.60
Unifirst Corp UNF - Snapshot Report $0.85 $0.90 (7.4%) 1/7/2009 AMC $29.69
Wd 40 Co WDFC - Snapshot Report $0.40 $0.36 (31.3%) 1/7/2009 AMC $28.29
Apollo Group APOL - Analyst Report $0.97 $0.83 11.9% 1/8/2009 AMC $76.62
Demandtec Inc DMAN ($0.04) ($0.04) (100.0%) 1/8/2009 AMC $8.07
Great Atl & Pac GAP ($0.35) ($0.28) (284.6%) 1/8/2009 AMC $6.27
Helen Of Troy HELE - Snapshot Report $0.76 $0.81 (8.1%) 1/8/2009 AMC $17.36
Healthways Inc HWAY - Analyst Report $0.34 $0.30 (2.0%) 1/8/2009 AMC $11.48
Lawson Software LWSN $0.06 $0.08 (20.0%) 1/8/2009 AMC $4.74
Allscripts-Misy MDRX - Analyst Report $0.12 $0.14 0.0% 1/8/2009 AMC $9.92
Matrix Service MTRX - Snapshot Report $0.40 $0.01 20.0% 1/8/2009 AMC $7.67
Nu Horizons Ele NUHC ($0.04) $0.10 (75.0%) 1/8/2009 AMC $1.72
Penford Corp PENX - Snapshot Report ($0.13) $0.42 (58.5%) 1/8/2009 AMC $10.12
Robbins & Myers RBN - Snapshot Report $0.44 $0.40 7.3% 1/8/2009 AMC $16.17
Rpm Intl Inc RPM - Snapshot Report $0.38 $0.42 (3.6%) 1/8/2009 AMC $13.29
Saba Software SABA - Snapshot Report $0.02 $0.00 0.0% 1/8/2009 AMC $1.55
Schnitzer Steel SCHN - Snapshot Report ($1.10) $0.85 65.9% 1/8/2009 AMC $37.65
Synnex Corp SNX - Snapshot Report $0.71 $0.61 13.8% 1/8/2009 AMC $11.33
Texas Inds TXI - Snapshot Report $0.25 $1.05 (67.1%) 1/8/2009 AMC $34.50
Azz Inc AZZ - Snapshot Report $0.81 $0.66 15.0% 1/9/2008 AMC $25.10
Emmis Comm Cl A EMMS - Snapshot Report ($0.02) ($0.22) 200.0% 1/9/2008 AMC $0.35
Kb Home KBH - Analyst Report ($1.09) ($5.16) (19.1%) 1/9/2008 AMC $13.62
Schulman(A) Inc SHLM - Snapshot Report $0.31 $0.36 4.0% 1/9/2008 AMC $17.00

BMO = Before Market Open, AMC = After Market Close

1Some of the companies listed in the earnings calendar may not be in the Zacks Rank universe.

Read the full analyst report on APOL

Read the full analyst report on CVX

Read the full analyst report on GPN

Read the full analyst report on KBH

Read the full analyst report on AA

Read the full analyst report on SVU

Read the full analyst report on BLUD

Read the full analyst report on STZ

Read the full analyst report on MON

Read the full analyst report on BBBY

 

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