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Zacks Morning Drive for 11/22/2009
Economic Highlights
Nov 19: Initial Claims Unchanged
by Dimitra Stamatoukos on November 19, 2009


Initial Claims remained unchanged at 505,000 for the week ending 11/14, better than the expected decrease to 500,000, following a revised level of 532,000 from the previous week. The 4-week moving average was 514,000, a decrease of 6,500 from the previous week’s revised average of 520,500. Seasonally adjusted insured unemployment from the prior week, ending on 11/07, was 5,611,000, a decrease of 39,000 from the preceding week's revised level of 5,650,000. Seasonally adjusted insured unemployment rate from the week ending on 11/07, was 4.3 percent, unchanged from the prior week's unrevised rate of 4.3 percent.

The Conference Boards’ Leading Indicators Index numbers are expected today at 10:00 AM EST. The index increased by 1.0% to 103.5% (2004=100) in September, better than the expected increase by 0.8%, after it had increased by 0.4% in August, revised downward from a reported 0.6% increase. This was the 6th consecutive monthly increase in the index, following a 20 month decrease since the July 2007 peak, with a trend reversal in the current upswing which began in April. The Coincident Indicators was unchanged in September at 99.9 (2004=100), following an increase of 0.1% in August. The Lagging Indicators decreased by 0.3% to 109.6 (2004=100). The leading indicators advancing and the coincident indicators ceasing to decline in the recent month insinuate a bottoming out.

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Existing Home Sales (11/23 at 10:00 AM EST)
Disposable Personal Income (11/24 at 8:30 AM EST)
Consumer Confidence (11/24 at 10:00 AM EST)
Exports (11/24 at 8:30 AM EST)

Economic News Archive

Market News Summary
Stock Market News for November 20, 2009
by Avishek Mishra on November 20, 2009

U.S. stocks tumbled Thursday as concerns about a subdued economic recovery played in the minds of investors.  Safer bets like dollar strengthened and oil prices slumped.  As investors turned to safe havens, Treasury prices rose, sending corresponding yields lower.  Yields on three-month bills, considered one of the safest bets, turned negative for the first time since December.  A Bank of America Merrill Lynch downgrade of semiconductor industry also added to the downward pressure.     

The spike in bond prices came even as the Treasury announced plans to auction a record $118 billion in new notes next week – an auction schedule of $44 billion 2-year notes on Monday, $42 billion 5-year notes Tuesday, and $32 billion 7-year notes on Wednesday.

The Dow, which had plunged as much as 170 points during the session, ended down 93.87 points, or 0.9%, to 10,332.44.  The broader Standard & Poor's 500 index fell 14.90 points, or 1.3%, to 1,094.90, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq composite index dropped 36.32 points, or 1.7%, to 2,156.82.  Wall Street’s fear gauge, the CBOE Vix, jumped more than 4%.  Crude prices dropped $1.93 to $77.46. Gold prices rose to their fifth straight record close, up 70 cents to $1141.90.

As glimmers of a full-blown economic recovery fade, investors have increasingly become intolerant, locking in profits at every opportunity.  Also, a lack of conviction on part of the market to push beyond the current rally has been a dampener and concerns of an asset bubble build-up due to accommodative monetary policies have diminished risk appetites, sending daily average volume to levels of only about 1 billion.   

Nevertheless, to show not all is bad, the OECD raised its growth estimates for its 30-country members to 1.9% in 2010 from June's estimate of a 0.7% growth, and to a 2.5% GDP expansion in 2011.

Tech shares, already up 54.3% year-to-date, fell 1.7% Thursday, after Merrill's analyst slashed 2010 global growth targets, and downgraded ten companies in the semiconductor sector.  Intel (NASDAQ:INTC) shares fell 4.1%, and Texas Instruments (NYSE:TXN) retreated 3.4% after the downgrade.  Dell (NASDAQ:DELL) shares plunged 6.1% in premarket trading, after the company reported earnings that missed analysts’ projections.

Among the S&P 500 industry groups, energy producers, off 2.1%, were the biggest decliners.  ConocoPhillips (NYSE:COP) fell 1.9% and Chevron Corp. (NYSE:CVX) dropped 2% as crude prices fell for the first time in four days. Schlumberger Ltd. (NYSE:SLB) shares fell 3.3%.

Stock Market News Archive

Company News Summary
Company News for November 20, 2009
by Avishek Mishra on November 20, 2009

• DR Horton (NYSE:DHI) reported a fiscal fourth quarter loss of 73 cents, versus Zacks projections of a 27 cents loss, on revenues of $1.01 billion, which was inline with Zacks estimates.  According to Chairman Donald R. Horton, "Our net sales orders in the September quarter reflected a 26% increase compared to the prior year quarter. However, market conditions in the homebuilding industry are still challenging, characterized by rising foreclosures, high inventory levels of available homes, increasing unemployment, tight credit for homebuyers and weak consumer confidence."

• Dell (NASDAQ:DELL) reported disappointing third quarter earnings of 23 cents a share, missing Zacks estimates of 27 cents a share, as a 15% fall in revenues from a year ago generated revenues of $12.9 billion, below Zacks projections of $13.2 billion.  Nevertheless, CEO Michael Dell said early Windows 7 demand was proving correct his assumption that firms which had passed over Vista would upgrade with Windows 7, driving the market growth above traditional 10% averages

• JM Smucker (NYSE:SJM) reported record fiscal second-quarter earnings of $1.22 a share, 18 cents better than Zacks estimates, on revenues of $1.28 billion, above Zacks estimates of $1.24 billion.  The company said it sees full-year earnings of $3.95 to $4.05 a share

Company News Archive