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Zacks #1 Stocks on the Move 05/17/2013

Company Name Symbol %Change
VIASAT INC VSAT
19.35%
OLD SECOND B OSBC
5.76%
GAMCO INVEST GBL
4.61%
CORNING INC GLW
4.47%
SYNCHRONOSS SNCR
4.23%
 

TODAY'S TOPICS

1. ZACKS RANK BUY STOCKS: Today we highlight four new stocks with a short-term "Buy" or "Strong Buy" recommendation: Allscripts Healthcare Solutions (MDRX), W.R. Berkley (BER), Rock-Tenn Company (RKT) and SeaBright Insurance Holdings (SEAB). Get these stories below.

2. PROFIT TRACKS – PEG RATIO: If you like to use a company's PE ratio to determine its value, you'll love using the PEG ratio.

3. ZACKS EQUITY RESEARCH: Fourth-quarter earnings season officially kicks off on Tuesday with Aloca's results. Read the Earnings Preview and get our Bull and Bear Stocks of the Day.

4. FEATURED EXPERTS: As we begin the new year, Kelley Wright examines his portfolio's performance in 2006.

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Monday - January 8, 2006

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1. ZACKS RANK BUY STOCKS

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Zacks #1 Rank stocks average a 31.8% annual return. Every day on Zacks.com we highlight four new Zacks Rank Buy stocks. Each individual stock is chosen based on how well they match the criteria for the four main schools of investing: Aggressive Growth, Momentum, Growth & Income and Value.
 

Aggressive Growth - Allscripts Healthcare Solutions, Inc. (MDRX)

Allscripts Healthcare Solutions, Inc. (MDRX) is benefiting from the secular growth of information technology in the healthcare industry. Our analyst Gregory Aurand, CFA believes the growth outlook is favorable, despite financial barriers, as acceptance of technology to improve healthcare is increasing and the Allscripts market is only about one-quarter penetrated.. Read the full analysis on MDRX now!
 

Growth & Income - W.R. Berkley Corporation (BER)

W.R. Berkley Corporation (BER) reported solid results for the third quarter and first nine months of the year in late October. On Nov 3, the Board of Directors increased the company's share repurchase authorization by 20 million shares and declared a quarterly cash dividend of four cents per share. BER’s return on equity nearly doubles that of the industry average—25% compared to 13%. Read the full analysis on BER now!

More...

 
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Zacks Rank continued...

Momentum - Rock-Tenn Company (RKT)

Rock-Tenn Company (RKT) continues to benefit from the positive earnings surprise that it reported on Nov 6, the third straight quarter that it exceeded analysts’ expectations. The company is expected to report earnings for the Dec 2005 quarter at the end of the month, on Jan 25. Analysts are calling for EPS of 14 cents, versus a loss of 17 cents in the prior-year period. Read the full analysis on RKT now!
 

Value - SeaBright Insurance Holdings, Inc. (SEAB)

SeaBright Insurance Holdings, Inc. (SEAB), a Zacks #1 Rank stock, topped analysts’ earnings expectations in four out of the past five quarters by an average margin of 16.7%. The company reported solid results for the third quarter and first nine months of the year in late October. Consensus estimates for this year and next have jumped over the past two months. The company has a price-to-book ratio of 1.6, compared to 4.8 for the market. Its PEG ratio currently sits at 0.71. Read the full analysis on SEAB now!
 

Zacks Rank Resources

  • Zacks Rank Home Page: Go there now.
     
  • Free Zacks Rank Guide: Learn how to use the Zacks Rank to pick more profitable stocks. Get the guide now.
     
  • Zacks Premium: Full Access to the Zacks Rank stock, plus much more. Read on...
     
  • Zacks Elite: Discover Ben Zacks' hand picked #1 Rank stocks on his Timely Buys list. Click here now.
     
  • Zacks Options Trader: Combine the timeliness of Zacks #1 Rank stocks with the explosive profit potential of options. Learn more...
     
  • Zacks Wealth Management: Own all the Zacks #1 Ranked stocks in a portfolio managed by Zacks. Learn more...


2. PROFIT TRACKS

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Zacks.com is proud to share with you some of the best trading strategies that truly allow you to Profit from the Pros. Today we highlight...
 

Profit Tracks: PEG Ratio

This strategy uses the PEG Ratio to find attractively priced stocks poised for price appreciation. The PEG Ratio is simply the P/E (Price divided by Earnings) of a stock divided by its 5-year projected growth rate. Too often investors think of value investing being the antithesis of growth investing. The beauty of using PEG is that you can find value stocks even amongst hot growth stocks. Let's take a closer look.

A company with a P/E Ratio of 20 and a Growth Rate of 10% will have a PEG Ratio of 2.0 (20 / 10 = 2.0).

While a company with a P/E Ratio of 40 and a Growth Rate of 50% will have a PEG Ratio of only 0.8 ( 40 / 50 = 0.8)

The stock with the P/E of 40 is actually the better bargain since its PEG Ratio is lower (0.8) implying it's undervalued with more upside potential. In general, a PEG value of less than 1 is considered undervalued while greater than 1 is thought to be fully valued to overvalued. The lower the PEG, the better the value, because the investor would be paying less for each unit of earnings growth.

 
Here are four stocks that make the grade for the PEG Ratio Profit Track:

Houston Wire & Cable Company (HWCC), a Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) company, released third-quarter results in late October. ACGL posted after-tax operating income of $2.62 per share for the third quarter. The result topped the consensus estimate by nearly 45% and reversed the year-ago loss. Arch Capital Group’s PEG ratio currently stands at 0.48. Continue your research on HWCC now!

National Oilwell Varco, Incorporated (NOV) reported fiscal first-quarter earnings of 30 cents per share in mid-October. The result improved on last year's 20 cents and topped the consensus estimate by approximately 7%. Celadon Group stated that higher freight rates and continued focus on cost controls allowed it to improve its operating ratio by 300 basis points to 89.2% in the September 2006 quarter from 92.2% in the September 2005 quarter. CLDN offers a PEG ratio of 0.46. Continue your research on NOV now!

Steelcase Inc. (SCS), another Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) company, satisfies the criteria for this Profit Track as evidenced by its PEG ratio of 0.48. In early November, the company announced third-quarter earnings of 45 cents per share, beating the consensus estimate by nearly 41%. Sales increased to a record $90 million from the previous year's $58 million. Continue your research on SCS now!

W-H Energy Services Inc. (WHQ), also a Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) name, has a PEG ratio currently stands at 0.27. The company released fiscal second-quarter results in late October. Earnings per share improved on a year-over-year basis and were ahead of Wall Street forecasts. Analysts have been bullish on earnings estimates for the year ending in March 2007. Current estimates of $5.64 per share, moved up from one month-ago levels of $5.57. Continue your research on WHQ now!

To see the full list of stocks that currently pass this winning screen, click here.

All the Profit Track strategies were created and backtested using the Research Wizard software from Zacks Investment Research. If you like this screening strategy, but want to narrow down the list of stocks and even improve the performance, then you should start a free trial to this powerful stock picking tool. Learn more about the Research Wizard free trial offer and our new special report “Top 10 Stock Screening Strategies”.

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SCREEN OF THE WEEK

The Importance of Screening and Backtesting

Kevin Matras goes over a price and volume screen for finding stocks on the move, NOW!!! Read more...
 


3. ZACKS EQUITY RESEARCH

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Fourth-quarter earnings season officially kicks off on Tuesday with Alcoa’s (AA) results. The aluminum company is projected to report profits of 69 cents per share, though, as I state below, the Most Recent Consensus is more bearish at 67 cents per share.

The bulk of earnings reports will not start being released for another 10 days. For companies within the S&P 500, profit growth in the low double-digit range seems possible given current estimates and the prospensity of companies to exceed expectations.

Within the broader Zacks Rank universe, there have been fourth-quarter numbers from 88 companies so far. Positive surprises are outnumbering negative surprises by an approximate 2:1 margin (51 versus 24). This is a good start, but given the size of the group, I would suggest refraining from reading too much into the numbers.

More. . .

 
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Zacks Equity Research continued...

The economic calendar is pretty light this week and should not materially influence market direction. November consumer credit will be released on Monday afternoon. November trade deficit and wholesale inventory numbers are scheduled for Wednesday morning. As always, initial jobless claims will be released on Thursday. Friday brings December retail sales data and December import price information.

Companies That Could Surprise During the Week of Jan 8-12

Genentech (DNA) has delivered two large quarterly surprises in a row, topping expectations by nine and 10 cents, respectively. This is a tough act to repeat, but the current trend in estimate revisions is bullish. The consensus estimate for the fourth quarter has been revised upwards by a penny over the past 30 days to 52 cents per share. The Most Recent Consensus is more optimistic at 56 cents per share. Investors may also want to note that DNA recently announced positive results from a Phase II study combining petruzumab with gemcitabine to treat women with fallopian tube cancer. Genentech will report on Wednesday, Jan 10, after the close of trading.

Alcoa’s (AA) third-quarter earnings were less than desirable at 62 cents per share; analysts had projected profits to total 80 cents per share. Estimates for the fourth-quarter are basically unchanged, though the Most Recent Consensus is two cents below the current consensus estimate of 69 cents per share. Aluminum prices have fallen recently, pulling back from a double-top formation – a bearish pattern. To be fair, earlier this week, AA announced what it described as “major” contract wins in Japan. Alcoa will report on Tuesday, Jan 9, probably after the close of trading.

The Greenbrier Companies (GBX) cut its fiscal first-quarter guidance in late December. Citing production difficulties with the introduction of railcars, lower gains on equipment sales and other factors, the company cut its guidance for operating earnings to 10 to 13 cents per share. Three of the four covering analysts responded by slashing their estimates, resulting in a 41-cent drop in the consensus estimate to 13 cents per share. GBX missed fiscal fourth-quarter estimates by nine cents with profits of 53 cents per share. The Greenbrier Companies will report on Tuesday, Jan 9, before the start of trading.

Read the complete Earnings Preview now!

Charles Rotblut, CFA, is the senior market analyst for Zacks.com.

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MORE FROM ZACKS EQUITY RESEARCH…

Analyst Blog

Real-time market insights from Zacks Equity Research Analysts. Stocks featured recently include Dollar Financial (DLLR), Pride Int'l (PDE), Alkermes, Inc. (ALKS) and King Pharmaceuticals (KG). To see their latest posts, click here.

 
BULL OF THE DAY

Hittite Microwave (HITT) - Well Situated. For full Zacks research report, click here.

 
BEAR OF THE DAY

Enzon Pharmaceuticals (ENZN) - Pipeline Setbacks. For full Zacks research report, click here.

 
ZACKS ANALYST INTERVIEW

Flat-Panel Sales Lower Than Expected

During the end of the year, due to spot shortages, prices did not decline as much as expected. More...

 
Rating Upgrades - NEW! 

Find out which stocks have been recently upgraded by Zacks Equity Research: click here.

 
Zacks Equity Research Buys - NEW! 

Read the reports on all of the stocks on the Zacks Equity Research Buy List: click here.


 
To Learn More about Zacks Equity Research, click here.

Full access to Zacks Equity Research reports is now available on Zacks.com : click here.

Zacks Wealth Management: Own all the Zacks #1 Ranked stocks in a portfolio managed by Zacks. Learn more...


4. FEATURED EXPERTS

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Here we cast the spotlight on timely Featured Expert commentaries that recently appeared on Zacks.com.

Scoreboard 2006

As we begin the new year, Kelley Wright examines his portfolio's performance in 2006. More...

 
Squeezing the Orange

Walter Frank discusses his outlook for 2007 and profiles a mutual fund. Benefit from his insight. More...

 
Still Neutral

Ken Trester continues to receive neutral readings. Find out what he sees on the horizon and check out an option play. More...

OTHER TOOLS FROM ZACKS

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At the heart of Zacks Investment Research is the Zacks Rank investment philosophy that continues to vastly outperform the market. Our Zacks #1 Ranked (Strong Buys) have produced the following results for investors:

  • +31.8% average annual return since 1988 versus +11.8% for S&P 500
  • Outperformed S&P 500 in 17 of the last 18 years
  • +43.8% total return from 2000 to 2002 - the worst bear market in over 60 years.
  • +18% in 2005

And just as importantly, the Zacks #5 Rank stocks (Strong Sell) List has alerted investors as to which stocks to dump from Their portfolios to avoid unnecessary losses.

To truly take advantage of the Zacks Rank, you need to first understand how it works. That's why we created the free special report: Zacks Rank Guide: Harnessing the Power of Earnings Estimate Revisions. Download a free copy now to prosper in the years to come.

Or view the full list of Zacks #1 Ranked stocks at.

FREE PORTFOLIO TRACKER

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  • Broker Recommendation changes
  • Earning Estimate revisions
  • Earnings Announcements
  • Zacks Rank changes

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We hope you enjoyed this issue of "Profit from the Pros", And we look forward to visiting with you again next week.

REFER-A-FRIEND

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Regards and Happy Investing,

Charles Rotblut, CFA

Senior Market Analyst
Zacks.com

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*The S&P 500 Index is a well-known, unmanaged index of the prices of 500 large-company common stocks, mainly blue-chip stocks, selected by Standard & Poor's. The S&P 500 Index assumes reinvestment of dividends but does not reflect advisory fees. An investor cannot invest directly in an index.

Disclaimer: Past performance does not guarantee future results. Investors should always research companies and securities before making any investments. Nothing herein should be construed as an offer or solicitation to buy or sell any security.

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