HOME ZACKS RESEARCH FUNDS PORTFOLIO BROKER RESEARCH MARKETS SCREENING VIDEO EDUCATION SERVICES
Quote:
Login Free Membership
Search:

Press Releases  

Zacks.com featured expert Kevin Matras highlights: Brightpoint, Inc., Cleco Corp., CVR Energy, Inc., MasTec, Inc. and Navios Maritime Holdings Inc.

Share
By: Kevin Matras
March 15, 2011 | Comment(s): 0
Recommended this article (6)
CELL | CNL | CVI | MTZ | NM

Chicago, IL – March 15, 2011 - Stocks in this week's article include Brightpoint, Inc. (NASDAQ: CELL - Analyst Report), Cleco Corp. (NYSE: CNL - Snapshot Report), CVR Energy, Inc. (NYSE: CVI - Snapshot Report), MasTec, Inc. (NYSE: MTZ - Snapshot Report) and Navios Maritime Holdings Inc. (NYSE: NM - Snapshot Report). Kevin Matras shows how to focus on the right stocks with the right kind of surprises.

Screen of the Week written by Kevin Matras of Zacks Investment Research:

An earnings surprise is simply when a company announces earnings above or below the consensus estimate going into the report.

If the company reports earnings above expectations, that's a positive surprise. If it reports earnings below expectations, that's a negative surprise.

In short, an earnings surprise is a signal of what a company's future earnings could/are going to look like. An upside surprise could mean that the company will see better earnings than first expected. And a downside surprise would likely be interpreted that the company will see earnings lower than first expected.

The magnitude of the surprise will of course determine the size of the reaction that the market takes.

The idea, though, is that it's not just the extra dollars and cents that the company makes during the period, but what it implies for future earnings periods as well.

A positive surprise coupled with downward guidance will usually produce a negative reaction. Why? Because if the company surprises but then downgrades their future earnings potential, they effectively removed a good portion of the hope generated from the surprise. Stocks will often trade lower as the future outlook will likely be weaker than expected.

Remember, the market is forward looking.

Lastly, some surprises aren't really surprises at all. Some 'surprises' are anticipated by the market, either because a company has a history of continuously beating their estimates or the stock has already priced in a 'surprise' by running up or going down prior to the announcement.

Therefore, the 'surprise' in that direction really wasn't a surprise at all. That's where you'll sometimes see an opposite reaction to an earnings surprise – a buy the rumor sell the fact type event.

So while predicting which companies will surprise or not (and what the surprise is comprised of) is a difficult game – the benefit of an earnings surprise will typically last for one to three months after a surprise is reported.

Coupled with the fact that companies that surprise have a tendency to surprise again in the future, this makes buying after an earnings surprise a profitable trading strategy.

For the rest of this Screen of the Week article, please visit Zacks.com at: http://www.zacks.com/commentary/17290/

Sign up now for your free trial today and start picking better stocks immediately. And with the backtesting feature, you can test your ideas to see how you can improve your trading in both up markets and down markets. Don't wait for the market to get better before you decide to do better. Start learning how to be a better trader today: http://at.zacks.com/?id=5529

Disclosure: Officers, directors and/or employees of Zacks Investment Research may own or have sold short securities and/or hold long and/or short positions in options that are mentioned in this material. An affiliated investment advisory firm may own or have sold short securities and/or hold long and/or short positions in options that are mentioned in this material.

About Screen of the Week

Zacks.com created the first and best screening system on the web earning the distinction as the "#1 site for screening stocks" by Money Magazine. But powerful screening tools is just the start. That is why Zacks created the Screen of the Week to highlight profitable stock picking strategies that investors can actively use. Each week, Zacks Profit from the Pros free email newsletter shares a new screening strategy. Learn more about it here http://at.zacks.com/?id=5530

About Zacks

Zacks.com is a property of Zacks Investment Research, Inc., which was formed in 1978 by Leonard Zacks. As a PhD in mathematics Len knew he could find patterns in stock market data that would lead to superior investment results. Amongst his many accomplishments was the formation of his proprietary stock picking system; the Zacks Rank, which continues to outperform the market by nearly a 3 to 1 margin. The best way to unlock the profitable stock recommendations and market insights of Zacks Investment Research is through our free daily email newsletter; Profit from the Pros. In short, it's your steady flow of Profitable ideas GUARANTEED to be worth your time! Register for your free subscription to Profit from the Pros http://at.zacks.com/?id=5531

Follow us on Twitter: http://twitter.com/zacksresearch

Join us on Facebook: http://www.facebook.com/home.php#/pages/Zacks-Investment-Research/57553657748?ref=ts

Zacks Investment Research is under common control with affiliated entities (including a broker-dealer and an investment adviser), which may engage in transactions involving the foregoing securities for the clients of such affiliates.

Visit http://www.zacks.com/performance for information about the performance numbers displayed in this press release.

Disclaimer: Past performance does not guarantee future results. Investors should always research companies and securities before making any investments. Nothing herein should be construed as an offer or solicitation to buy or sell any security.

Contact: Jim Giaquinto
Company: Zacks.com
Phone: 312-265-9268
Email: file:///C:/Documents%20and%20Settings/jlohmeier/Local%20Settings/Temporary%20Internet%20Files/OLK37/pr@zacks.com
Visit: file:///C:/Documents%20and%20Settings/jlohmeier/Local%20Settings/Temporary%20Internet%20Files/OLK37/www.Zacks.com

Read the full analyst report on CELL

Read the full analyst report on CNL

Read the full analyst report on CVI

Read the full analyst report on MTZ

Read the full analyst report on NM

 

Please login to Zacks.com or register to post a comment.



Email

Print

Share

Rate Pos

Rate Neg
Attn. Zacks.com Visitors
Sell These Stocks Today
Make sure no Zacks #5 Rank "Strong Sell" stocks are lurking in your portfolio. They tend to perform only 1/6th as well as the market!
Get your free Welcome Gifts today*:
 1.  Zacks "Strong Sell" list.
 2.  Our e-newsletter with 4 "Strong Buy" stocks, Bull & Bear of the Day, and market commentary in every issue.
Get them free right now
  
No cost. Unsubscribe anytime. Privacy Policy
*Only for non-members. May end at any time.

More Zacks Resources

Market Summary May 26, 2012 11:03 am ET
DJIA 12454.83  -74.92 -0.60%
NASD 2837.53  -1.85 -0.07%
S&P 500 1317.82  -2.86 -0.22%
Partner Center