Back to top

ETF News And Commentary

Thanks to ever-expanding world population and technological needs for mechanized agriculture, the agriculture and forestry machinery industry is gaining immense strength. This trend is clearly visible as one of the world’s largest agricultural equipment makers, Deere & Co (DE - Analyst Report), reported stronger-than-expected results and an upbeat outlook in its recent fiscal fourth quarter release.
 
The company expects robust sales from construction and forestry equipment that would offset the sluggish demand for agricultural machinery. This has spread optimism in the broad equipment sector heading toward the New Year suggesting that investors could take a look at this industry and the in-focus company (read: Reap Long Term Returns from These Agribusiness ETFs).
 
The agriculture market is currently enduring the worst of sluggish global demand and a supply glut, weak emerging market currencies, and low crop prices due to a longer planting season. However, the machinery industry is benefiting from increasing economic activity, leading to growth in demand for industrial products.
 
Deere Earnings in Focus
 
Deere surpassed our estimates on both the top and bottom lines. Earnings per share came in at a record $2.11, comfortably beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.89 and above the year-ago earnings of $1.75. Though revenues fell 3% year over year to $9.45 billion, it strongly beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $8.8 billion.
 
The manufacturer provided a bullish outlook for the full fiscal year. Though the company expects equipment sales to drop 3% in fiscal 2014 on weak demand for agricultural machineries, construction and forestry equipment sales would grow much higher at 10% for the year in the wake of U.S. economic recovery and an increase in housing starts (read: Timber ETFs: The Best Housing Recovery Plays?).
 
As such, net income is expected to be around $3.3 billion for fiscal 2014, down from $3.54 billion in fiscal 2013 but well ahead of the Street’s expectation of $3.04 billion.
 
Market Impact
 
Driven by this earnings beat and the company’s optimistic outlook, the shares of DE jumped over 3% initially but closed a little lower with a nearly 2% rise on Wednesday on elevated volumes. Given this, the following two ETFs could be worth a closer look by investors seeking to ride out the recent surge in the farm-machineries sector.
 
These products have the largest allocation to the big agricultural equipment maker and look to be in focus in the coming days with room for upside. The companies engaged in the farm-machinery business, including Deere, will benefit from an insatiable global food demand (see: all Materials ETFs here).
 
ETFs to Consider
 
Market Vectors Agribusiness ETF (MOO - ETF report)
 
This fund provides exposure to the global agribusiness industry by tracking the Market Vectors Global Agribusiness Index. It is by far the most popular and liquid choice in the space with AUM of over $4.7 billion and average daily volume of nearly 322,000 shares. The ETF is one of the low cost choices in this space, charging 55 bps in annual fees.
 
In total, the fund holds 50 securities in its basket. Of these firms, DE takes the third spot, making up roughly 6.79% of the total assets. The product provides nice diversification across business segments with agricultural chemicals accounting for 44% share while farming/fishing (20%), and industrial engineering (19%) rounding off the next two spots.
 
In terms of country allocation, U.S. (48.3%), Canada (10.4%) and Switzerland (8.2%) occupy the top spots. The fund added nearly over 1% in the year-to-date time frame (read: 3 Commodity ETFs Surging Higher).
 
iShares MSCI Global Agriculture Producers ETF (VEGI - ETF report)
 
This fund provides exposure to the firms of developed and emerging nations that are primarily engaged in the agricultural business at or near the initial phase of agricultural input and production. It follows the MSCI ACWI Select Agriculture Producers Investable Market Index and holds 125 securities in its basket.
 
Here again, Deere occupies the third position with 7.85% allocation. From a sector look, agricultural chemicals take the largest share at 52%, closely followed by farming/fishing (23%), and industrial engineering (17%). American firms dominate the fund’s holding with 43.46% of total assets while Canada, Switzerland and Japan receive modest allocations.
 
The ETF is less popular and illiquid with $41.6 million in its asset base and around 12,000 shares in average daily volume. The ETF charges 39 bps in fees per year from investors. VEGI delivered almost flat returns in the year-to-date time frame.
 
Bottom Line
 
Both ETFs seem to be under pressure on the sluggish agricultural business environment. However, upbeat Deere’s fourth quarter results and the positive outlook have laid a strong foundation for many firms in the sector.
 
Further, rising needs of better infrastructure, modernized methods of agriculture and growing complexity of mining/manufacturing methods would boost the demand for technologically advanced equipment in this industry (read: Time for This Top Ranked Industrial ETF?).
 
Given this, investors could definitely take advantage of the current slowdown in the agricultural space as well as solid earnings results from equipment makers at the same time.
 
Want the latest recommendations from Zacks Investment Research? Today, you can download 7 Best Stocks for the Next 30 Days. Click to get this free report >>

Please login to Zacks.com or register to post a comment.

If you wish to go to ZacksFunds.com, click OK. If you do not, click Cancel.

Top Zacks Features

My Portfolio Tracker

Is it Time to Sell?

One of the most important steps you can take today is to set up your portfolio tracker on Zacks.com. Once you do, you'll be notified of major events affecting your stocks and/or funds with daily email alerts.

More Zacks Resources

Zacks Rank Home - Evaluate your stocks and use the Zacks Rank to eliminate the losers and keep the winners.

Mutual Fund Rank Home - Evaluate your funds with the Mutual Fund Rank for both your personal and retirement funds.

Stock/Mutual Fund Screening - Find better stocks and mutual funds. The ones most likely to beat the market and provide a positive return.

My Portfolio - Track your Portfolio and find out where your stocks/mutual funds stack up with the Zacks Rank.

Zacks #1 Rank Top Movers for Zacks #1 Rank Top Movers

Company Symbol Price %Chg
PLANAR SYST… PLNR 4.44 +5.21%
BITAUTO HOL… BITA 81.71 +5.12%
CTPARTNERS… CTP 16.66 +4.26%
CHINA BIOLO… CBPO 47.91 +3.30%
MALLINCKROD… MNK 72.94 +2.85%