GPK Driven by New Products

Graphic Packaging Holding Company (GPK - Snapshot Report) reported breakeven results in Q108, better than our estimate of a loss of $0.07 per share, and better than the year-ago loss of $0.18 per share. This was due primarily to price hikes and ongoing cost-reduction efforts. However, a high level of interest expense completely eroded the operating profit.

On a positive side, GPK is closing underperforming facilities and shifting production to its most productive plants that would boost productivity, lower costs, and bring supply in line with demand in the beer business. Moreover, its merger with Altivity Packaging provides significantly widened product offerings, market span, and technology capabilities and is expected to generate annual gross synergies of over $90 million by 2012.

Nevertheless, GPK’s beverage carton volume is adversely impacted by ongoing weakness in the carbonated soft drink business. The stock is cheap and should be held on expectation of an earnings recovery in 2008. We retain our Hold rating on shares of GPK.

For the full year 2008, management expects to realize year-over-year operating cost savings of $40 million from its continuous improvement programs, including Lean manufacturing projects. Graphic Packaging is also focused on reducing its selling, general, and administrative (SG&A) expenses. On July 10, GPK announced the signing of an agreement by its subsidiary, Graphic Packaging International, Inc., with an affiliate of Sun Capital Partners, Inc. for the sale of its two coated-recycled board mills located in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania and in Wabash, Indiana.

New product introductions are also driving top-line growth. The company’s release of a series of new products employing its Fridge Vendor® technology, is being used in the beverage. These products have met with an encouraging response from GPK’s key customers, such as Coca-Cola Co. (KO), beer giant SABMiller and Dr. Pepper (DPS).

Read the full analyst report on GPK

Read the full analyst report on GPK