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Tale of the Tape

Zacks Equity Research

Why the Earnings Streak Will Continue for Oaktree Capital Group, LLC (OAK)
July 10, 2014


Trades from $3
Looking for a stock that might be in a good position to beat earnings at its next report? Consider Oaktree Capital Group, LLC (OAK - Snapshot Report), a firm in the Financial Investment Management sector, which could be a great candidate for another beat.

This company has seen a nice streak of beating earnings estimates, especially when looking at the previous two reports. In fact, in these reports, OAK has beaten estimates by at least 20% in both cases, suggesting it has a nice short-term history of crushing expectations.

Earnings in Focus

Two quarters ago, OAK expected to earn $1.14 per share, while it actually produced earnings of $1.92 per share, a beat of 68.4%. Meanwhile, for the most recent quarter, the company looked to deliver earnings of $1.08 per share, when it actually saw earnings of $1.34 per share instead, representing a 24.1% positive surprise.

Thanks in part to this history, recent estimates have been moving higher for Oaktree Capital. In fact, the Earnings ESP for OAK is positive, which is a great sign of a coming beat.

After all, the Zacks Earnings ESP compares the most accurate estimate to the broad consensus, looking to find stocks that have seen big revisions as of late, suggesting that analysts have recently become more bullish on the company’s earnings prospects. This is the case for OAK, as the firm currently has a Zacks Earnings ESP of 27.12%, so another beat could be around the corner.

This is particularly true when you consider that OAK has a great Zacks Rank #2 (Buy) which can be a harbinger of outperformance and a signal for a strong earnings profile. And when you add this solid Zacks Rank to a positive Earnings ESP, a positive earnings surprise happens nearly 70% of the time, so it seems pretty likely that OAK could see another beat at its next report, especially if recent trends are any guide.

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