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Zacks Industry Rank Analysis Highlights: Myriad Genetics, Inc., Sangamo Biosciences, Inc., ZymoGenetics, Inc., Cytokinetics, Inc. and Xenoport Inc.

February 19, 2009 | Comments: 0
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MYGN | SGMO | ZGEN | CYTK | XNPT
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For Immediate Release

Chicago, IL - February 19, 2009 - Zacks.com releases the latest Zacks Industry Rank. Stocks featured in this week’s analysis includes Myriad Genetics, Inc. (MYGN - Analyst Report), Sangamo Biosciences, Inc. (SGMO - Analyst Report), ZymoGenetics, Inc. (ZGEN - Snapshot Report), Cytokinetics, Inc. (CYTK - Snapshot Report) and Xenoport Inc. (XNPT - Analyst Report).

Zacks Industry Rank Analysis is written by Charles Rotblut, CFA, Senior Market Analyst for Zacks.com.

This week: Biotechs - A Trading Opportunity?

It took just a week for the short-term outlook on Medical-Biomed/Genetics (http://at.zacks.com/?id=4967) to improve.

Last week, I remarked how the group's revision ratio was nothing to write home about. Among biotech companies, there were 101 positive revisions and 100 negative revisions to 2009 earnings estimates made over the past 4 weeks.

I'm happy to say that the ratio has improved to 144 positive revisions and 127 negative revisions. This revisions ratio of 1.13 helps to make Medical-Biomed/Genetics one of the 10 best-ranked industry groups.

Behind the numbers are bullish earnings reports from several companies.

Myriad Genetics, Inc. (MYGN - Analyst Report) is perhaps the most notable. Reiterating what I said last week, the company topped fiscal second-quarter expectations by 10 cents with profits of 43 cents per share. It was the second quarter of profitability. Total revenues increased 48.7% to $84.4 million, driven primarily by an increase in sales and marketing efforts.

The number of positive earnings estimate revisions has improved. Since MYGN reported, 10 of the 13 covering brokerage analysts raised their fiscal 2009 profit projections. The positive changes pushed the consensus earnings estimates 29 cents higher to $1.71 per share.

The positive revisions signal that the stock should outperform the S&P 500 (SPX) over the next 1-3 months.

As an added bonus, Zacks Equity Research senior analyst Grant Zeng thinks the stock is also a good long-term investment. He has a buy recommendation with a price target of $100.

Among other stocks that Grant regards as long-term buys, earnings estimate revisions make Sangamo Biosciences, Inc. (SGMO - Analyst Report) and ZymoGenetics, Inc. (ZGEN - Snapshot Report) potentially bullish short-term trades.

SGMO delivered its second consecutive positive surprise with a loss of 6 cents per share; the consensus estimate had called for a wider loss of 15 cents. Revenues totaled $6.8 million. The good performance came from enabling technology agreements in cell line engineering for protein production.

SGMO believes it can end 2009 with a cash balance of at least $45 million. Since this signals a lower cash burn rate than was expected, the majority of the 9 covering brokerage analysts positively revised their 2009 loss projections. The consensus estimate now calls for a per share loss of 55 cents per share, a 10-cent improvement from the average forecast of a month ago.

ZymoGenetics topped expectations by 33 cents with a fourth-quarter loss of 13 cents per share. Revenues totaled $36 million thanks to RECOTHROM, a treatment for moderate bleeding during surgery and was approved by the FDA in January 2008. A more competitive pricing structure helped to drive demand.

ZGEN believes net RECOTHROM sales could be in the range of $25 million to $35 million this year. Factoring in additional revenues from collaborations, licenses and royalties plus expenses, the company thinks this year's loss will total between 80 cents and $1.09 per share. This projection was far better than the $1.56 per share loss brokerage analysts had been expecting. (Positive revisions by nearly all of the 9 covering brokerage analysts have lowered the consensus earnings estimate to 95 cents per share.)

Outside of Grant Zeng's coverage, Cytokinetics, Inc. (CYTK - Snapshot Report) and Xenoport Inc. (XNPT - Analyst Report) also recently reported better-than-expected earnings.

It is important to realize that biotech earnings are generally driven by company-specific factors. However, since these companies have a lower level of economic sensitivity, the bullish earnings news gives them a chance to stand out as potential trading opportunities in the current market environment.

CYTK and MYGN are Zacks #1 Rank ("strong buy") stocks. SGMO, XNPT and ZGEN are Zacks #2 Rank ("buy") stocks. (ZGEN was also a top performing stock last week.)

The Zacks Rank is fundamental timing indicator that only factors earnings estimates revisions and earnings surprises. It is not influenced by chart patterns or business models.

Zacks "Profit from the Pros" e-mail newsletter offers continuous coverage of the industries and the stocks poised to outperform the market. Subscribe to this free newsletter today by visiting http://at.zacks.com/?id=2564.

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Zacks.com is a property of Zacks Investment Research, Inc., which was formed in 1978 by Leonard Zacks. As a PhD in mathematics Len knew he could find patterns in stock market data that would lead to superior investment results. Amongst his many accomplishments was the formation of his proprietary stock picking system; the Zacks Rank, which continues to outperform the market by nearly a 3:1 margin. The best way to unlock the profitable stock recommendations and market insights of Zacks Investment Research is through our free daily email newsletter; Profit from the Pros. In short, it's your steady flow of Profitable ideas GUARANTEED to be worth your time! Register for your free subscription to Profit From the Pros by going to http://www.zacks.com/performance.

Visit http://www.zacks.com/performance) for information about the performance numbers displayed in this press release.

Zacks Investment Research is under common control with affiliated entities (including a broker-dealer and an investment adviser), which may engage in transactions involving the foregoing securities for the clients of such affiliates.

Disclaimer: Past performance does not guarantee future results. Investors should always research companies and securities before making any investments. Nothing herein should be construed as an offer or solicitation to buy or sell any security.

Contact: Charles Rotblut, CFA
Company: Zacks.com
Phone: 312-265-9352
Email: pr@zacks.com
Visit: www.Zacks.com


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