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Analyst Blog  

B of A Shares Now Worth Less

May 20, 2009 | Comments: 7
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BAC
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Bank of America Corp. (BAC - Analyst Report) shareholders, your shares are now worth less than they were just two weeks ago.

Yesterday, the banking conglomerate announced that it sold 1.25 billion shares at an average price of $10.77.

The most obvious takeaway is that the sales were transacted at below market prices, or at least below the average closing price of the past 2 weeks. In other words, the buyers didn't think that BAC shares were worth the current price of $11.25. That's not good, but it gets worse.

Thanks to the secondary offering, existing shareholders now own less of BAC. To fully understand the implications, let's look at the math.

As of April 30, Bank of America had 6.40 billion shares outstanding. Multiplying this number by the consensus earnings estimate of 44 cents per share gives us a projected net income figure of $2.816 billion.

The net income figure does not change, whether there is 1 share outstanding or if there are 10 billion shares outstanding. What does change, however, is what portion of income each shareholder is entitled to.

The secondary offering increases shares outstanding to 7.65 billion shares. Dividing this number into the net income figure of $2.816 results in earnings per share of 37 cents per share -- a 15% decrease.

Remember, the net income pie has not change, just your slice of it. And your slice is now 15% less than what it was just 2 weeks ago.

Worse yet, BAC still remains far short of meeting the funding requirements required by the stress tests. None of this is good news for shareholders.

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Read/Post Comments (7) | Recommended this article (0)
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265
days
ago
gunnar wrote...
you must have a short position in BAC...at a dividend of $.01, the question at this point is not what shares are worth, but eliminating the fear of nationalization, insolvency, etc. BAC has proven that they are a viable market entity with the CCB and commom capital raise. Now they need to deliver quality earnings and the dividend will come back along with the share price.
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265
days
ago
LOL wrote...
I think they might have sold them to CCB, previously BOA used to have own 20% CCB now, CCB holds 15% of BOA... :-)
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265
days
ago
Alan von Altendorf wrote...
That's all very well, but who bought the monster block of 800 million shares Tuesday? Somebody handed BAC $8 billlion. Why is WSJ being coy about it?
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265
days
ago
The Voice of Reason wrote...
I think everyone has known through issuance or conversion that dilution was coming for some time. Seems to me that it's already
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265
days
ago
Charles Rotblut, CFA wrote...
In order to offset the dilution, BAC needs to increase total earnings that much more. The raised capital just helps BAC meet regulatory requirements, but we have no idea if the company will make smart decisions in the future.

BAC needs to show that it can increase earnings enough to offset the dilution. That has yet to happen.

-Charles
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