Stock Market News for June 16, 2009

Asian markets extended losses Tuesday as commodities took a beating and worried investors looked for fresh signs of an economic recovery.  Japan’s Nikkei 225 stock average declined 2.9%, its worst one-day percentage loss in more than two months, even as Bank of Japan noted that “Japan’s economic conditions, after deteriorating significantly, have begun to stop worsening.”  The bank left its overnight lending rate unchanged at 0.1%.  Hong Kong’s Hang Seng dropped 1.8% and South Korea’s Kospi fell 1%.  China’s Shanghai Composite Index however outperformed regional markets and declined 0.5%.

Dollar prices were under pressure after Russian President Dmitry Medvedev, speaking at a summit of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization, said the world needs new reserve currencies.  Wall Street futures point to a flat opening.  

On Monday, US stocks registered their worst slide in a month with the Dow Jones Industrial Average, which ended last week in a positive territory for 2009, went back in the red for the year. Among S&P 500 stocks, 95% registered losses. Commodities and basic material stocks declined, hurt by a rise in US dollar.  The morning session saw most of the declines and stocks traded sideways as the session advanced.  The NASDAQ, off 2.3%, and the S&P 500, down 2.4%, recorded their steepest declines since May 13.  Volume on the NYSE was light with only 1.1 billion shares trading.  Market breadth was negative with decliners outpacing advancing issues by a five-to-one margin.  The market’s measure of volatility, the CBOE Vix, jumped the most since April 20, rising 9.5% to 30.81.

The National Association of Home Builders reported that confidence among U.S. home builders fell after rising for two months. A prime concern was the rise in mortgage rates that followed a recent selloff in U.S. Treasurys.  Meanwhile, US Treasuries moved higher for the third straight day, with the benchmark 10-year up 20/32 and the yield declining to 3.715%, falling back from their seven-month highs of last week.

A rising dollar reduced the luster of basic material and oil stocks as inflation hedges.  Positive comments at the G8 summit regarding the greenback’s status as world’s reserve currency helped the dollar, which rose 1.2% against a basket of currencies.  Copper prices declined 3.7% in New York trade and silver lost 5.7%.  Among DJIA components, only Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT - Snapshot Report) and American Express (NYSE:AXP - Analyst Report) recorded gains.  Alcoa (NYSE:AA - Snapshot Report) led the decliners on the DJIA, dropping 6.5%.  Freeport-McMoRan (NYSE:FCX - Analyst Report) fell 5.8% and US Steel (NYSE:X - Analyst Report) shares declined 5.7%. Among energy stocks, ExxonMobil (NYSE:XOM - Analyst Report) fell 1.3%, and Chevron (NYSE:CVX - Analyst Report) declined 2.2%, with Schlumberger (NYSE:SLB - Analyst Report) shares down 2.8%. Among S&P 500 components, only 22 advanced with all ten industry groups losing ground.    

The expected decline in industrial production of 1.0%, up from the drop of 0.5% prior, is largely attributed to the GM (NASDAQ:GMGMQ) and Chrysler bankruptcies. Capacity utilization rates are expected to have tightened to 68.4% from 69.1% prior, the lowest in 42 years since record-keeping began.

In overseas developments, ECB warned Eurozone banks on potential additional losses of over $283 billion this year and next.  In a report, the International Monetary Fund said exiting the fiscal stimulus programs will be challenging for the US.  The IMF Chief cautioned that the worst of the recession has yet to be felt.