Zacks Bull and Bear of the Day Highlights: Johnson & Johnson, Stone Energy, Valero, Home Depot and Lowe’s
For Immediate Release
Chicago, IL – July 15, 2009 – Zacks Equity Research highlights Johnson & Johnson (JNJ - Analyst Report) as the Bull of the Day and Stone Energy (SGY - Analyst Report) the Bear of the Day. In addition, Zacks Equity Research provides analysis on Valero (VLO - Analyst Report), Home Depot (HD - Analyst Report) and Lowe’s (LOW - Snapshot Report).
Full analysis of all these stocks is available at http://at.zacks.com/?id=2676.
Here is a synopsis of all five stocks:
Johnson & Johnson (JNJ - Analyst Report) has an enormously diverse revenue stream consisting of market leading products in all three of its business segments. However, due to a number of products expected to experience declining sales as well as the affects of foreign exchange, revenue will fall in 2009.
We expect EPS to experience a more moderate decline, benefiting from improving margins and share buybacks. However, J&J's consistency, product diversity, financial stability and long-term growth potential make it a very attractive holding in this turbulent market. We rate the stock a Buy based on the stock's attractive valuation and strong company fundamentals. Our price target is $70.
Our continued Sell recommendation on Stone Energy (SGY - Analyst Report) shares reflects the company s weak competitive position in an unfavorable macro environment. We believe that Stone's asset portfolio, centered on the Gulf Coast/Gulf of Mexico regions and lacking meaningful exposure to the emerging shale plays, is not suited for the current environment of low commodity prices and restricted access to capital.
With a debt-heavy balance sheet (debt-to-capitalization ratio of 68.9%), Stone has limited financial flexibility in the current credit constrained environment.
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Retail Sales Numbers Mixed
If auto sales are stripped out, sales rose just 0.3% in June -- a slower pace than May’s 0.4% rise and below the consensus expectations for a 0.5% increase. The other big factor was sales at gasoline stations, which rose by 5.0% for the month, but are down 31.6% for the year. Clearly what is going on has much more to do with the price per gallon than the number of gallons sold. The increase in gas station sales matched the 5.0% rise in May.
Recently however, gasoline prices have started to back off again, so I would not expect such a big gain in July. Gasoline prices are for the most part a function of crude oil prices, so do not read the increasing sales there as a good thing for the independent refining companies like Valero (VLO - Analyst Report). Analysts have been hacking away at their forecasts for those firms recently.
The overall tone of the report showed continued pressure on discretionary spending. Building Material store sales -- think Home Depot (HD - Analyst Report) and Lowe’s (LOW - Snapshot Report) -- fell 0.9% on the month, more than reversing a 0.4% gain in May. On a year over year basis they are down 13.0%.
Get the full analysis of all these stocks by going to http://at.zacks.com/?id=5507.
About the Bull and Bear of the Day
Every day, the analysts at Zacks Equity Research select two stocks that are likely to outperform (Bull) or underperform (Bear) the markets over the next 3-6 months.
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Updated throughout every trading day, the Analyst Blog provides analysis from Zacks Equity Research about the latest news and events impacting stocks and the financial markets.
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Zacks Equity Research provides the best of quantitative and qualitative analysis to help investors know what stocks to buy and which to sell for the long-term.
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