Repsol Strikes Gold in Venezuela

Repsol YPF S.A. (REP) recently found a huge gas resource in shallow waters of the Gulf of Venezuela. The largest integrated oil and gas company in Spain said that the offshore field had an estimated area of 33 square kilometers and was 60 meters deep.

Along with its exploration partner Italy's Eni SPA (E - Analyst Report), Repsol estimates that the discovery could hold between 7 and 8 trillion cubic feet of gas. This equals to more than five years of gas consumption in Spain.

While the two companies will have a 32.5% interest each in all future productions, Venezuela's state-owned oil company Petroleos de Venezuela SA would hold a 35% stake.

Repsol is targeting stable production growth driven by pipeline projects in Venezuela, Trinidad and Tobago, Libya, Bolivia, Argentina and Ecuador. Long-term growth is expected to come from opportunities in Trinidad and Tobago, Algeria, the US Gulf of Mexico, Libya and Saudi Arabia.

However, a challenging operating and contractual environment in Venezuela may create obstacles for developing new gas reserves. The Venezuelan government also maintains that any new gas development should be directed to heavily subsidized prices in the domestic market. This could have a negative impact on Repsol’s earnings visibility.

Apart from this, we are also concerned about the company’s declining reserves, very low reserve lives and rising costs. Consequently, we maintain our Neutral recommendation.

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