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REITs' Q4 Earnings to Watch Early Next Week: MAC, KRC & More

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Several companies in the real estate investment trust (“REIT”) sector have already reported their fourth-quarter 2016 results. Some REITs, belonging to different sub-categories, which are expected to report results on Feb 6 are The Macerich Company (MAC - Free Report) , Kilroy Realty Corporation (KRC - Free Report) , Jones Lang LaSalle Incorporated (JLL - Free Report) and Two Harbors Investment Corp. (TWO - Free Report) .

A lot of major developments kept the companies from the REIT sector on tenterhooks during the quarter. The increasing probability of a rate hike and political uncertainty raised the bond yields in the first half of the quarter. Then in mid-December, the U.S. Federal Reserve increased the key interest rates by 25 basis points to the range of 0.50–0.75%, the second hike since Dec 2015.

However, interest rates are still in a very low range. Importantly, despite the hike in rate of interest, the REITs are likely to show better performance with low debt ratios and robust equity issuance.

Also, a tightening monetary policy signals better economic prospects. This raises the chances of higher rent and occupancy levels. In other words, the likelihood of a higher growth in net operating income increases.

In fact, per a study by the commercial real estate services firm CBRE Group Inc. , the U.S. economy is gradually gaining strength. In Dec 2016, wages increased 2.9% year over year, the highest in seven years. This growth trend is expected to continue in 2017.

Let’s have a look at what’s in store for the four REITs set to release their fourth-quarter results Monday:

For doing this, we rely on the Zacks methodology, combining a favorable Zacks Rank – Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) or 2 (Buy) or 3 (Hold) – and a positive Earnings ESP, to predict the chances of a beat this quarter. You can uncover the best stocks to buy or sell before they’re reported with our Earnings ESP Filter.

Per our proprietary methodology, Earnings ESP shows the percentage difference between the Most Accurate estimate and the Zacks Consensus Estimate. Research shows that with this combination of rank and ESP, chances of a positive earnings surprise are as high as 70% for the stocks.

Santa Monica, CA-based Macerich is expected to report its results after market close. The company has an Earnings ESP of 0.00% and a Zacks Rank #4 (Sell). Our model does not conclusively predict that the company will record a positive surprise (read more: Macerich Q4 Earnings: What's in Store for the Stock?).

Macerich Company (The) Price and EPS Surprise
 

Macerich Company (The) Price and EPS Surprise | Macerich Company (The) Quote

Kilroy Realty is a Los Angeles, CA-based REIT, which has an Earnings ESP of 0.00% and a Zacks Rank #4. Our proven model does not conclusively show that the company is likely to post a positive surprise this quarter.

Chicago-based JLL, a real estate operations firm, has an Earnings ESP of +1.28% and a Zacks Rank #4. Our proven model does not conclusively show that the company is likely to post a positive surprise this quarter.

New York-based Two Harbors Investment is a mortgage REIT, which has an Earnings ESP of -4.17% and a Zacks Rank #3. You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank stocks here. Our proven model does not conclusively show that the company is likely to post a positive surprise this quarter.

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