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Transport Stocks to Watch for Earnings on Feb 8: GWR, FWRD

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The ongoing Q4 earnings season might be the second successive quarter to witness year-over-year bottom-line expansion. According to our latest Earnings Preview report, total earnings for the 275 S&P 500 companies to have reported (as of Feb 3) have grown at 6.9%, whereas the top line for these companies have expanded 4.2%.The report further states that 68% of these companies have reported better-than-expected earnings, whereas 54.5% have surpassed expectations on the revenue front.

In fact, companies in the S&P 500 space are projected to end Q4 on a healthier note than Q3. The top and bottom lines are projected to expand at 3.9% and 6.8%, respectively in Q4. Both readings are favorable than the Q3 numbers of 2.2% and 3.7%, respectively. We will get a clearer picture regarding the Q4 earnings season by the end of the current week, as by then reports from 359 S&P companies will be on board.

With the overall picture so optimistic, it is of little wonder that currently 13 of the 16 Zacks sectors are exhibiting earnings growth. Unfortunately, the widely-diversified transportation sector does not share the same conditions.

As of Feb 3, 2017, 86.7% of the transportation S&P 500 companies (accounting for 95.6% in terms of market capitalization) unveiled their latest quarterly numbers. The bottom line for these companies have declined 18.9%. In fact, we have already seen players like United Continental Holdings (UAL - Free Report) , Ryder System (R - Free Report) and Kansas City Southern reporting significant year-over-year bottom-line decline in the Q4.

Increasing labor costs have hurt the bottom line for most of the sector participants, particularly airlines. Nonetheless, the picture with respect to revenues is much better for the sector, having expanded 5.2%.

Given this backdrop, investors interested in the transportation space will keenly await the Q4 reports from key sector participants like Genesee & Wyoming Inc. and Forward Air Corporation (FWRD - Free Report) scheduled for Feb 8.

According to our quantitative model, a company needs the right combination of two key ingredients – a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) or better – to increase the odds of an earnings surprise. You can uncover the best stocks to buy or sell before they’re reported with our Earnings ESP Filter.

Genesee & Wyoming Inc. is engaged in operation of short line and freight railroads. The company carries a Zacks Rank #3 and an Earnings ESP of +1.14% (Most Accurate estimate stands at 89 cents while the Zacks Consensus Estimate is pegged a penny lower), which makes us reasonably confident of an earnings beat. You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 (Strong Buy) Rank stocks here.

Genesee & Wyoming, Inc. Price and EPS Surprise

 

Genesee & Wyoming, Inc. Price and EPS Surprise | Genesee & Wyoming, Inc. Quote

Forward Air Corporation, based in Greeneville, TN, is not likely to beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate for earnings in Q4. The company has an Earnings ESP of 0.00% as the Most Accurate estimate is in line with the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 55 cents per share. The company carries a Zacks Rank #4 (Sell).

Please note that we caution against Zacks Rank #4 or 5 (Sell-rated stocks) going into the earnings announcement.

Forward Air Corporation Price and EPS Surprise

 

Forward Air Corporation Price and EPS Surprise | Forward Air Corporation Quote

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