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Rexnord's Growth Potential Dimmed by Macro & Micro Woes

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We issued an updated research report on machinery company Rexnord Corporation on Feb 8. The company, with a $2.3 billion market capitalization, specializes in manufacturing and selling process and motion control, and water management products.

Since the release of third-quarter fiscal 2017 (ended Dec 31, 2016) results on Feb 1, shares of Rexnord yielded 2.96% return, outperforming the gain of 0.11% recorded by the Zacks categorized Machinery Electrical industry.

Rexnord’s financial performance has been impressive in the last four quarters, recording better-than-expected results in three and in-line results in one. Average earnings surprise was a positive 5.91%. In the last quarter, the company’s earnings of 25 cents per share exceeded the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 24 cents by 4.17%.

In addition, we believe that Rexnord has the potential to expand its businesses by leveraging the accelerated demand from non-residential construction markets in the U.S. as well as from the global food and beverage end markets. Also, the company’s diversified businesses in mining, food & beverage, aerospace, non-residential construction and global water infrastructure end markets are an added boon.

By fiscal 2017, Rexnord anticipates approximately $30 million of annual cost-savings from its supply-chain optimization and footprint-repositioning program launched in first-half fiscal 2016. Moreover, in the long term, the company targets mid-single digit core growth, 30% incremental profit margin and free cash flow in excess of net income.

Despite such positives, Rexnord’s growth momentum is restricted due to presence of near-term headwinds including industry rivalry, uncertain economic conditions and unfavorable foreign currency movements. In the near term, the company anticipates decline in the U.S. & Canada Industrial Distribution end market, global process industries and water & wastewater infrastructure end market in Middle East.

For fiscal 2017, Rexnord has lowered its adjusted earnings guidance to $1.27–$1.33 per share due to the adverse impacts of capital market transactions. Core sales are predicted to decline roughly 3%.

Rexnord currently carries a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold). Some better-ranked stocks in the machinery industry include ABB Ltd. , II-VI Incorporated and Pioneer Power Solutions, Inc. (PPSI - Free Report) . While both ABB Ltd. and II-VI Incorporated sport a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy), Pioneer Power Solutions, Inc. carries a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy). You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank stocks here.

ABB Ltd.’s earnings estimates for 2017 have been revised upward over the last 60 days. Average earnings surprise for the last four quarters is a positive 23.50%.
 
II-VI Incorporated reported better-than-expected results in the last four quarters, with a positive average earnings surprise of 59.23%. Also, bottom-line expectations for fiscal 2017 and fiscal 2018 have improved over the past 60 days.

Pioneer Power Solutions, Inc.’s earnings estimates for 2017 improved over the last 60 days.

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