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Will Mohawk Industries (MHK) Disappoint in Q4 Earnings?

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Mohawk Industries, Inc. (MHK - Free Report) is set to report fourth-quarter 2016 results on Feb 9, after market close.

Last quarter, the company posted a positive earnings surprise of 1.16%. Meanwhile, it reported positive earnings surprises in all of the past four quarters, with the average being 2.47%.

Let’s see how things are shaping up for this announcement.

Factors to Consider

As mentioned during the third-quarter earnings call, Mohawk Industries will have one extra day in the fourth quarter compared to last year. The company also expects sales to improve in the to-be-reported quarter.

In order to achieve long-term growth, the company is expanding its differentiated product line and working on the capacity and efficiency of its operations. Mohawk Industries is also introducing distinctive collections to boost sales. It is aggressively implementing productivity improvements across all businesses and bringing new capacity online to support growth.

The company is currently exploring numerous investment options to ramp up expansion, including green field opportunities and acquisitions. Taking these factors into account, the EPS guidance for the fourth quarter is $3.16 to $3.25, which represents a 12% to 15% increase over the fourth-quarter 2015 EPS figure, excluding restructuring charges.
 
Notably, for the fourth quarter, the Zacks Consensus Estimate for earnings is pegged at $3.22, reflecting a 14.1% year-over-year increase. Meanwhile, our estimate for revenues is pegged at $2.15 billion, implying a 7.4% increase.

Earnings Whispers

Our proven model does not conclusively show that Mohawk Industries will beat estimates this quarter. That is because a stock needs to have both a positive  Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy), 2 (Buy) or 3 (Hold) for this to happen. But that is not the case here, as you will see below.

Zacks ESP: The Earnings ESP is -0.62% as the Most Accurate estimate of $3.20 is lower than the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $3.22. You can uncover the best stocks to buy or sell before they’re reported with our Earnings ESP Filter.

Zacks Rank: Mohawk Industries carries a Zacks Rank #4 (Sell). Note that we caution against stocks with a Zacks Rank #4 or 5 (Sell-rated stocks) going into the earnings announcement, especially when the company is seeing negative estimate revisions.

Mohawk Industries, Inc. Price and EPS Surprise

 

Mohawk Industries, Inc. Price and EPS Surprise | Mohawk Industries, Inc. Quote

Stocks to Consider

Here are some companies in the construction sector that can be considered as our model shows that they have the right combination of elements to post an earnings beat in their upcoming releases:

Century Communities, Inc. (CCS - Free Report) , slated to report its quarterly results on Feb 14, has an Earnings ESP of +14.93% and a Zacks Rank #2. You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank stocks here.

Summit Materials, Inc. (SUM - Free Report) , expected to report quarterly results on Feb 22, has an Earnings ESP of +8.70% and a Zacks Rank #3.

Lyon William Homes has an Earnings ESP of +1.52% and a Zacks Rank #2. The company is scheduled to release its results on Feb 22.

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