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Airline Stock Roundup: Buffett Pumps Up Investment, Trump Meets Carriers, Alaska Air Q4 Earnings

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The past week saw Warren Buffett, founder and CEO of Berkshire Hathaway, continuing to root for  airline stocks. Buffett is one of the most revered investors of all times and his interest in the sector after having shunned it for a long period of time undoubtedly bodes well for these companies.

Buffett increased his stakes in airline heavyweights like American Airlines Group (AAL - Free Report) , Delta Air Lines (DAL - Free Report) and United Continental Holdings (UAL - Free Report) – in the fourth quarter of 2016, according to a regulatory filing by the Omaha, NE-based Berkshire Hathaway. Buffett had initially shown interest in the sector in the third quarter, after staying away from it for a long time.

The past week also saw top executives from leading carriers like Delta, Southwest Airlines (LUV - Free Report) and United Continental Holdings meeting President Donald Trump. The interaction boosted airline stocks.

Alaska Air Group (ALK - Free Report) performed well in the fourth quarter of 2016 with better-than-expected earnings and revenues. Furthermore, carriers like American Airlines and JetBlue Airways Corp. (JBLU - Free Report) came out with their respective January traffic numbers in the past week.

Transportation - Airline Industry 5YR % Return

 

Transportation - Airline Industry 5YR % Return

(Read the last  Airline Stock Roundup for Feb 08, 2017).

Recap of the Past Week’s Most Important Stories

1. Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway Inc. bought an astounding 43.2 million shares of Southwest Airlines in the fourth quarter. Berkshire’s share in the low-cost carrier is valued at $2.2 billion. The stakes in American Airlines, Delta and United Continental have also been boosted (Read more: Buffett and Berkshire Invest Heavily in Southwest Airlines).

2. Alaska Air Group’s fourth-quarter  earnings of $1.56 per share were 15 cents above the Zacks Consensus Estimate. Moreover, the bottom line expanded 6.85% on a year-over-year basis. Revenues of $1.52 billion beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.43 billion. The top line grew 11% on a year-over-year basis. Passenger revenues, which improved 9% year over year, accounted for bulk of the top line (Read more: Alaska Air Group Gains on Q4 Earnings, Revenue Beat).

Alaska Air Group sports a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy). You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.

3 JetBlue Airways posted a significant rise in air traffic for the month of Jan 2017. Traffic – measured in revenue passenger miles (RPMs) – came in at 3.86 billion, up 8.6% year over year. Operating revenue per available seat mile (RASM: a key measure of unit revenues) decreased approximately 8.5% on a year-over-year basis (Read more: JetBlue Airways' January Traffic and Load Factor Increase).

In a separate development, JetBlue Airways reportedly trimmed its capacity in Cuba barely a few months after starting to operate scheduled service to the nation.

4. American Airlines Group posted a decline in traffic in the month of January. Traffic – measured in revenue passenger miles (RPMs) – was 17 billion, down 0.3% from the year-ago figure. The metric was hurt mainly due to disappointing performance on the domestic front. On a separate note, American Airlines’ CEO, Doug Parker, was reportedly criticized by pilots for not attending the meeting of top airline executives with President Trump. The interaction lifted airline stocks as President Trump promised to upgrade the obsolete US air traffic control system (Read more: American Airlines Group January Load Factor Declines).

5. At United Continental Holdings, load factor (percentage of seats filled with passengers) declined 50 basis points to 80.4% as traffic growth (4%) was outpaced by capacity expansion (4.7%). The Chicago-based carrier maintained the first-quarter guidance for passenger unit revenue that was issued alongside its fourth-quarter results last month.

Technical glitches have been a cause of concern for carriers. United Continental Holdings was the latest victim of disruption in operations due to technological failure.

Performance

The following table shows the price movement of the major airline players over the past week and during the last 6 months. 

Company

Past Week

Last 6 months

HA

2%

14.22%

UAL

5%

53.6%

GOL

20.84%

20.22%

DAL

5.1%

35.1%

JBLU

5.38%

15.31%

AAL

5.42%

29.83%

SAVE

-0.98%

31.81%

LUV

7.1%

49.9%

CPA

4.61%

20.11%

ALK

2.56%

45.64%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

The table above shows that all airline stocks, barring Spirit Airlines, traded in the green last week due to back of the positive developments in the space. As a result, the NYSE ARCA Airline Index climbed 3.43% to $110.7 in the past week. Over the course of six months, the NYSE ARCA Airline Index appreciated 24.33%. Shares of United Continental Holdings appreciated the most (53.6%) during the period.

What's Next in the Airline Space?

GOL Linhas is scheduled to report its fourth quarter 2016 results on Feb 17.

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