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TASER International (TASR) Q4 Earnings: What's in the Cards?

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TASER International Inc. will release fourth-quarter 2016 financial results on Feb 28, after the market closes.

Last quarter, the company posted a positive earnings surprise of 40.00%. In the trailing four quarters, the company has recorded an average positive surprise of 99.58%. Let’s see how things are shaping up for this announcement.

Factors to Consider

TASER International’s AXON body-worn video cameras are in demand with the company winning orders from domestic and international police departments during the fourth quarter. These hot-selling body cameras also come with a cloud storage service, EVIDENCE.com, which allows hassle-free storage.

During the quarter, the company bagged a number of orders from various police departments for its smart weapons as well. Some of its notable buyers include San Bernardino County Sheriff's Department, Massachusetts State Police and California Highway Patrol.

Moreover, at the third-quarter earnings call, the company had said that the fourth quarter would record the highest revenues. However, given that third-quarter revenues were strong enough, fourth-quarter revenues are now expected to be nearly flat sequentially.

The company continues to invest in research and development (R&D) to maintain its expertise in emerging technologies such as wearables, mobile and cloud. Axon Body 2 is part of the growing Axon platform that connects cloud, mobile and wearable technologies. The deployment of body cameras is aimed to render police agencies a distinct transparency.

For the fourth quarter, the Zacks Consensus Estimate for earnings reflects a 24.44% year-over-year improvement, while sales are anticipated to improve 26.99% to $71.17 million.

On the flip side, the company is witnessing volatility in its business due to intensifying competition in the space and cyclical sales of its products. The company’s gun sales often rise in the wake of mass shootings or police shootings of civilians followed by a decline in sales with time.

Earnings Whispers

Our proven model does not conclusively show that TASER International is likely to beat estimates this quarter. This is because a stock needs to have both a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy), 2 (Buy) or 3 (Hold) for this to happen. However, that is not the case here as you will see below.

Zacks ESP: TASER International has an Earnings ESP of 0.00%. This is because the Most Accurate estimate of 11 cents is in line with the Zacks Consensus Estimate. You can uncover the best stocks to buy or sell before they’re reported with our Earnings ESP Filter.

Zacks Rank: TASER International’s Zacks Rank #3, when combined with an Earnings ESP of 0.00%, makes surprise prediction difficult for this quarter.

We caution against stocks with a Zacks Rank #4 or 5 (Sell-rated) going into the earnings announcement, especially when the company is seeing negative estimate revisions.

Positive Surprise by Peers

Here are some stocks in the protection and safety industry that have surpassed expectations this earnings season.

Net 1 Ueps Technologies Inc. currently sports a Zacks Rank #1. It surpassed fourth-quarter earnings estimates by 7.89%. You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank stocks here.

Johnson Controls International plc (JCI - Free Report) currently carries a Zacks Rank #3. It topped fourth-quarter earnings estimates by 1.92%.

Fortune Brands Home & Security, Inc. , another Zacks Rank #3 stock, has exceeded fourth-quarter earnings projections by 2.90%.

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