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A Very Positive Earnings Picture

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Including all of today’s reports, we now have Q1 results from 135 S&P 500 members or 26.9% of the index’s total membership. Total earnings for these 135 index members are up +14.5% from the same period last year on +4.8% higher revenues, with 73.3% beating EPS estimates and 63.7% beating revenue expectations.

The Q1 growth pace and proportion of positive surprises is tracking above other recent periods for the same group of 135 index members. Importantly, the Q1 positivity is widespread and not restricted to just one sector.

The momentum earlier in the Q1 reporting cycle came out of the Finance sector when all the major banks came out with strong earnings results even though growth in their loan portfolios showed deceleration. But we have seen other sectors come out with strong results since then as well, as the reports from Caterpillar (CAT - Free Report) , DuPont (DD - Free Report) and McDonald’s (MCD - Free Report) and others show.

The proportion of companies beating EPS and revenue estimates is tracking above other recent historical periods, with positive revenue surprises particularly tracking above historical periods.

For the Finance sector, we now have Q1 results from 52.8% of the sector’s total market cap in the S&P 500 index. Total earnings for these Finance sector companies are up +22.8% from the same period last year on +7.6% higher revenues, with 68.6% beating EPS estimates and 65.7% beating revenue estimates. Relative to other recent periods, these results represent a notable improvement.

If we exclude the Finance sector’s results from the S&P 500 index, total Q1 earnings for the rest of the index would be up +9.8% from the same period last year and total revenues would be up +4.1%. Even these ex-Finance growth rates compare favorably to other recent periods.

For Q1 as a whole, combining the actual results from the 135 index members that have reported results with estimates for the still-to-come 365 companies, total earnings are expected to be up +9.2% from the same period last year on +5.9% higher revenues. This would follow the +7.4% earnings growth in 2016 Q4 on +4.8% growth in total revenues.

For more details about the Q1 earnings season and the Finance sector’s results thus far, check out our weekly Earnings Preview report.

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