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Is Unum a Great Stock for Value Investors?

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Value investing is easily one of the most popular ways to find great stocks in any market environment. After all, who wouldn’t want to find stocks that are either flying under the radar and are compelling buys, or offer up tantalizing discounts when compared to fair value?

One way to find these companies is by looking at several key metrics and financial ratios, many of which are crucial in the value stock selection process. Let’s put Unum Group (UNM - Free Report) stock into this equation and find out if it is a good choice for value-oriented investors right now, or if investors subscribing to this methodology should look elsewhere for top picks:

PE Ratio

A key metric that value investors always look at is the Price to Earnings Ratio, or PE for short. This shows us how much investors are willing to pay for each dollar of earnings in a given stock, and is easily one of the most popular financial ratios in the world. The best use of the PE ratio is to compare the stock’s current PE ratio with: a) where this ratio has been in the past; b) how it compares to the average for the industry/sector; and c) how it compares to the market as a whole.

On this front, Unum has a trailing twelve months PE ratio of 11.65, as you can see in the chart below:

This level actually compares pretty favorably with the market at large, as the PE for the S&P 500 compares in at about 19.99. If we focus on the stock’s long-term PE trend, the current level puts Unum’s current PE ratio above its midpoint over the past five years, with the number having risen rapidly over the past few months.

However, the stock’s PE also compares unfavorably with the Zacks classified Insurance - Accident and Health sector’s trailing twelve months PE ratio, which stands at 11.43. This indicates that the stock is relatively overvalued right now, compared to its peers.

We should also point out that Unum has a forward PE ratio (price relative to this year’s earnings) of just 11.36, so it is fair to say that a slightly more value-oriented path may be ahead for Unum stock in the near term too.

P/S Ratio

Another key metric to note is the Price/Sales ratio. This approach compares a given stock’s price to its total sales, where a lower reading is generally considered better. Some people like this metric more than other value-focused ones because it looks at sales, something that is far harder to manipulate with accounting tricks than earnings.

Right now, Unum has a P/S ratio of about 0.96. This is significantly lower than the S&P 500 average, which comes in at 3.20 right now. Also, as we can see in the chart below, this is well below the highs for this stock in particular over the past few years, , suggesting some level of undervalued trading—at least compared to historical norms.

Broad Value Outlook

In aggregate, Unum currently has a Zacks Value Style Score of ‘A’, putting it into the top 20% of all stocks we cover from this look. This makes Unum a solid choice for value investors, and some of its other key metrics make this pretty clear too.

For example, the PEG ratio for Unum is just 1.62, a level that is lower than the industry average of 1.92. The PEG ratio is a modified PE ratio that takes into account the stock’s earnings growth rate.

Additionally, its P/CF ratio (another great indicator of value) comes in at 9.20, which also lower than the industry average of 9.40. Clearly, UNM is a solid choice on the value front from multiple angles.

What About the Stock Overall?

Though Unum might be a good choice for value investors, there are plenty of other factors to consider before investing in this name. In particular, it is worth noting that the company has a Growth grade of ‘C’ and a Momentum score of ‘V’. This gives UNM a Zacks VGM score—or its overarching fundamental grade—of ‘B’. (You can read more about the Zacks Style Scores here >>)

Meanwhile, the company’s recent earnings estimates have been unfavorable. The current quarter has seen four estimates go lower in the past thirty days compared, while the full year estimate has seen one up and two down in the same time period.

This has had just a small impact on the consensus estimate though as the current quarter consensus estimate remained stable in the past one month, while the full year estimate has inched lower by 0.2%. You can see the consensus estimate trend and recent price action for the stock in the chart below:

Unum Group Price and Consensus

 

Unum Group Price and Consensus | Unum Group Quote

Despite this bearish trend the stock has just a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) and we are looking for in-line performance from the company in the near term.

Bottom Line

Unum is an inspired choice for value investors, as it is hard to beat its incredible lineup of statistics on this front. However, with a sluggish industry rank (among Bottom 25% of more than 250 industries) and a Zacks Rank #3, it is hard to get too excited about this company overall.

However, over the past two years, the Zacks Insurance - Accident and Health industry has clearly outperperformed the broader market, as you can see below:

A good industry performance instills our confidence on the stock. However, value investors might want to wait for estimates and analyst sentiment to turn around in this name first, but once that happens, this stock could be a compelling pick.

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