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Zacks Earnings Trends Highlights: Caterpillar, Facebook and Intel
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For Immediate Release
Chicago, IL – August 10, 2017 – Zacks Director of Research Sheraz Mian says, "While growth is a bit on the lighter side relative to the preceding period, the proportion of companies beating estimates, particularly revenue estimates, is notably tracking above other periods."
Zacks Director of Research Sheraz Mian says, “Estimates for Q3 have come down, but they appear to be following the moderate revisions pace we saw ahead of the start of the Q2 earnings season.”
Positive Trends in Q3 Estimate Revisions
Note: The following is an excerpt from this week’s Earnings Trends report. You can access the full report that contains detailed historical actual and estimates for the current and following periods, please click here>>>
Here are the key points:
• The Q2 earnings season has ended for 10 of the 16 Zacks sectors, with results from only 52 S&P 500 index members still awaited at this stage. Total earnings for the 448 index members that have reported are up +10.9% from the same period last year on +5.8% higher revenues, with 73.9% beating EPS estimates and 67.9% beating revenue estimates.
• While growth is a bit on the lighter side relative to the preceding period for these 448 index members, the proportion of companies beating estimates, particularly revenue estimates, is notably tracking above other periods.
• For Q2 as a whole, combining the actual results with estimates for the still-to-come companies, total earnings are expected to be up +10.1% from the same period last year on +5.3% higher revenues. This would be coming after +13.5% earnings growth on +7.1% higher revenues in Q1.
• While the Q2 earnings growth pace represents a deceleration from the prior-quarter’s level, total earnings for the quarter are on track to reach a new all-time quarterly record.
• The Q2 growth is broad-based and not concentrated in one or two sectors. The strongest growth is from the Energy, Technology, Aerospace, Construction, Finance, Business Services, and Industrial Products sectors. Q2 earnings growth would fall to +8.6% on +4.8% higher revenues on an ex-Energy basis.
• Beyond Q2, total earnings for the S&P 500 index are currently expected to grow by +4.1% on +4.6% higher revenues in the September quarter and +8.8% on +5.5% higher revenues in Q4.
• Estimates for Q3 have come down, but they appear to be following the moderate revisions pace we saw ahead of the start of the Q2 earnings season. Estimates have fallen for 14 of the 16 Zacks sectors, with the Technology and Industrial Products sectors experiencing positive revisions.
• For full-year 2017, total earnings for the index are expected to be up +7.5% on +4.2% higher revenues, which would follow +0.8% earnings growth on +2% higher revenues in 2016. Index earnings are expected to be up +10.9% in 2018 and +8.6% in 2019.
Q2 Earnings Season Scorecard (as of August 9th, 2017)
We now have Q2 results from 448 S&P 500 members or 89.6% of the index’s total market membership. Total earnings for these 448 index members are up +10.9% from the same period last year on +5.8% higher revenues, with 73.9% beating EPS estimates and 67.9% beating revenue estimates. The proportion of companies beating both EPS and revenue estimates is an above-average 54%.
As you can see, the earnings and revenue growth pace is tracking modestly below what we saw from the same group of companies in the preceding period. But the growth pace is nevertheless notable improvement over the four and 12-quarter averages. The proportion of positive surprises, particularly revenue surprise is notably tracking above historical periods.
The Technology Momentum
While the aggregate Q2 growth pace is tracking below the preceding-quarter’s level, that isn’t the case with the Technology sector where growth as well as the positive beats are tracking above other periods. Total earnings for the 77% of the sector companies that have reported results are up +17.3% from the same period last year +9% higher revenues, with 83% beating EPS estimates and 85.1% beating revenue estimates.
This is an improvement over what we have seen form the same group of Tech companies in other recent periods, including the preceding quarter when the sector’s results were very strong.
Looking at Q2 as a whole, combining the actual results from the 448 index members with estimates for the still-to-come 52 companies, total earnings are expected to be up +10.1 on +5.3% higher revenues. This would follow +13.5% earnings growth on +7.1% higher revenue growth in 2017 Q1.
Record Q2 Earnings & Expectations Beyond
Estimates for the current period (2017 Q3) have come down, with the current +4.1% earnings growth down from +6.3% at the start of the period.
This is about in-line with the revisions trend we saw ahead of the start of the Q2 earnings season and a notable improvement over the trend we have been seeing over the last few years. Estimates have fallen for 14 of the 16 Zacks sectors, with Energy, Basic Materials and Autos experiencing the most negative revisions. Estimates have gone up for the Technology and Industrial Products sectors, which can be seen in the revisions trend for operators like Caterpillar (NYSE:(CAT - Free Report) – Free Report), Facebook (NASDAQ: – Free Report), Intel(NASDAQ:(INTC - Free Report) – Free Report) and others.
While the earnings growth pace is decelerating from the prior-quarter’s level, the overall dollar tally of Q2 earnings is on track to reach a new all-time record for the index, surpassing the previous record achieved in 2016 Q4.
About Zacks Equity Research
Zacks Equity Research provides the best of quantitative and qualitative analysis to help investors know what stocks to buy and which to sell for the long-term.
Continuous analyst coverage is provided for a universe of 1,150 publicly traded stocks. Our analysts are organized by industry which gives them keen insights to developments that affect company profits and stock performance. Recommendations and target prices are six-month time horizons.
Strong Stocks that Should Be in the News
Many are little publicized and fly under the Wall Street radar. They're virtually unknown to the general public. Yet today's 220 Zacks Rank #1 "Strong Buys" were generated by the stock-picking system that has nearly tripled the market from 1988 through 2015. Its average gain has been a stellar +26% per year. See these high-potential stocks free >>.
Zacks Investment Research is under common control with affiliated entities (including a broker-dealer and an investment adviser), which may engage in transactions involving the foregoing securities for the clients of such affiliates.
Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Inherent in any investment is the potential for loss. This material is being provided for informational purposes only and nothing herein constitutes investment, legal, accounting or tax advice, or a recommendation to buy, sell or hold a security. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. It should not be assumed that any investments in securities, companies, sectors or markets identified and described were or will be profitable. All information is current as of the date of herein and is subject to change without notice. Any views or opinions expressed may not reflect those of the firm as a whole. Zacks Investment Research does not engage in investment banking, market making or asset management activities of any securities. These returns are from hypothetical portfolios consisting of stocks with Zacks Rank = 1 that were rebalanced monthly with zero transaction costs. These are not the returns of actual portfolios of stocks. The S&P 500 is an unmanaged index. Visit https://www.zacks.com/performancefor information about the performance numbers displayed in this press release.
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Zacks Earnings Trends Highlights: Caterpillar, Facebook and Intel
For Immediate Release
Chicago, IL – August 10, 2017 – Zacks Director of Research Sheraz Mian says, "While growth is a bit on the lighter side relative to the preceding period, the proportion of companies beating estimates, particularly revenue estimates, is notably tracking above other periods."
Zacks Director of Research Sheraz Mian says, “Estimates for Q3 have come down, but they appear to be following the moderate revisions pace we saw ahead of the start of the Q2 earnings season.”
Positive Trends in Q3 Estimate Revisions
Note: The following is an excerpt from this week’s Earnings Trends report. You can access the full report that contains detailed historical actual and estimates for the current and following periods, please click here>>>
Here are the key points:
• The Q2 earnings season has ended for 10 of the 16 Zacks sectors, with results from only 52 S&P 500 index members still awaited at this stage. Total earnings for the 448 index members that have reported are up +10.9% from the same period last year on +5.8% higher revenues, with 73.9% beating EPS estimates and 67.9% beating revenue estimates.
• While growth is a bit on the lighter side relative to the preceding period for these 448 index members, the proportion of companies beating estimates, particularly revenue estimates, is notably tracking above other periods.
• For Q2 as a whole, combining the actual results with estimates for the still-to-come companies, total earnings are expected to be up +10.1% from the same period last year on +5.3% higher revenues. This would be coming after +13.5% earnings growth on +7.1% higher revenues in Q1.
• While the Q2 earnings growth pace represents a deceleration from the prior-quarter’s level, total earnings for the quarter are on track to reach a new all-time quarterly record.
• The Q2 growth is broad-based and not concentrated in one or two sectors. The strongest growth is from the Energy, Technology, Aerospace, Construction, Finance, Business Services, and Industrial Products sectors. Q2 earnings growth would fall to +8.6% on +4.8% higher revenues on an ex-Energy basis.
• Beyond Q2, total earnings for the S&P 500 index are currently expected to grow by +4.1% on +4.6% higher revenues in the September quarter and +8.8% on +5.5% higher revenues in Q4.
• Estimates for Q3 have come down, but they appear to be following the moderate revisions pace we saw ahead of the start of the Q2 earnings season. Estimates have fallen for 14 of the 16 Zacks sectors, with the Technology and Industrial Products sectors experiencing positive revisions.
• For full-year 2017, total earnings for the index are expected to be up +7.5% on +4.2% higher revenues, which would follow +0.8% earnings growth on +2% higher revenues in 2016. Index earnings are expected to be up +10.9% in 2018 and +8.6% in 2019.
Q2 Earnings Season Scorecard (as of August 9th, 2017)
We now have Q2 results from 448 S&P 500 members or 89.6% of the index’s total market membership. Total earnings for these 448 index members are up +10.9% from the same period last year on +5.8% higher revenues, with 73.9% beating EPS estimates and 67.9% beating revenue estimates. The proportion of companies beating both EPS and revenue estimates is an above-average 54%.
As you can see, the earnings and revenue growth pace is tracking modestly below what we saw from the same group of companies in the preceding period. But the growth pace is nevertheless notable improvement over the four and 12-quarter averages. The proportion of positive surprises, particularly revenue surprise is notably tracking above historical periods.
The Technology Momentum
While the aggregate Q2 growth pace is tracking below the preceding-quarter’s level, that isn’t the case with the Technology sector where growth as well as the positive beats are tracking above other periods. Total earnings for the 77% of the sector companies that have reported results are up +17.3% from the same period last year +9% higher revenues, with 83% beating EPS estimates and 85.1% beating revenue estimates.
This is an improvement over what we have seen form the same group of Tech companies in other recent periods, including the preceding quarter when the sector’s results were very strong.
Looking at Q2 as a whole, combining the actual results from the 448 index members with estimates for the still-to-come 52 companies, total earnings are expected to be up +10.1 on +5.3% higher revenues. This would follow +13.5% earnings growth on +7.1% higher revenue growth in 2017 Q1.
Record Q2 Earnings & Expectations Beyond
Estimates for the current period (2017 Q3) have come down, with the current +4.1% earnings growth down from +6.3% at the start of the period.
This is about in-line with the revisions trend we saw ahead of the start of the Q2 earnings season and a notable improvement over the trend we have been seeing over the last few years. Estimates have fallen for 14 of the 16 Zacks sectors, with Energy, Basic Materials and Autos experiencing the most negative revisions. Estimates have gone up for the Technology and Industrial Products sectors, which can be seen in the revisions trend for operators like Caterpillar (NYSE:(CAT - Free Report) – Free Report), Facebook (NASDAQ: – Free Report), Intel(NASDAQ:(INTC - Free Report) – Free Report) and others.
While the earnings growth pace is decelerating from the prior-quarter’s level, the overall dollar tally of Q2 earnings is on track to reach a new all-time record for the index, surpassing the previous record achieved in 2016 Q4.
About Zacks Equity Research
Zacks Equity Research provides the best of quantitative and qualitative analysis to help investors know what stocks to buy and which to sell for the long-term.
Continuous analyst coverage is provided for a universe of 1,150 publicly traded stocks. Our analysts are organized by industry which gives them keen insights to developments that affect company profits and stock performance. Recommendations and target prices are six-month time horizons.
Strong Stocks that Should Be in the News
Many are little publicized and fly under the Wall Street radar. They're virtually unknown to the general public. Yet today's 220 Zacks Rank #1 "Strong Buys" were generated by the stock-picking system that has nearly tripled the market from 1988 through 2015. Its average gain has been a stellar +26% per year. See these high-potential stocks free >>.
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Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Inherent in any investment is the potential for loss. This material is being provided for informational purposes only and nothing herein constitutes investment, legal, accounting or tax advice, or a recommendation to buy, sell or hold a security. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. It should not be assumed that any investments in securities, companies, sectors or markets identified and described were or will be profitable. All information is current as of the date of herein and is subject to change without notice. Any views or opinions expressed may not reflect those of the firm as a whole. Zacks Investment Research does not engage in investment banking, market making or asset management activities of any securities. These returns are from hypothetical portfolios consisting of stocks with Zacks Rank = 1 that were rebalanced monthly with zero transaction costs. These are not the returns of actual portfolios of stocks. The S&P 500 is an unmanaged index. Visit https://www.zacks.com/performancefor information about the performance numbers displayed in this press release.