Stock Market News for November 18, 2009

U.S. stocks closed higher for the second consecutive day, helped by strength in shares of commodity-related companies even as major retailers said they remain cautious ahead of the holiday season.  At the end of a session that lacked conviction, major stock indexes managed to reach their fresh 13-month highs.  A smaller-than-anticipated rise in industrial production also weighed on sentiments.

Waning risk appetites sent gold prices up 20 cents to a fresh all-time high of $1,139.40.  Treasuries rose, pushing corresponding yields lower.  The yield on the benchmark 10-year note slipped to 3.33% from 3.34% late Monday.  Crude prices closed above $79 per barrel.  Copper prices rose to 14-months highs on expectations that China demand will remain robust.

A perpetual decline in the value of the dollar and record low interest rates in the US have driven stocks higher as investors, seeking higher return on their investments, have sought refuge in equities.  A subdued inflation has also proved welcome for the economy. 

This morning’s stock futures show a mixed opening on the Street.  Dow Jones industrial average futures are down 2 points, or about 0.1%, at 10,396.  Standard & Poor's 500 index futures are up 0.10, or nearly 0.1%, at 1,107.50, while Nasdaq 100 index futures are down 5.50, or 0.3%, at 1.803.25.

On Tuesday, the 30-share Dow Jones industrial average rose 30.46 points, or 0.3%, to 10,437.42, its highest close since October 2, 2008.  The Dow had jumped 136 points Monday after the retail sales report.  The broad Standard & Poor's 500-stock index inched up 1.02 points, or 0.09%, at 1,110.32 and the tech-heavy Nasdaq composite index gained 5.93 points, or 0.27%, to 2,203.78.  Meanwhile, the price of US Treasuries continued to gain, with the 10-year up 7/32 as its yield eased to 3.323%.  On the New York Stock Exchange, volume slowed to 972,000 shares with declining shares ahead of advancing issues by an 8 to 7 margin. The Vix volatility measure fell 2.1% to 22.41.

Six of the ten S&P500 industry sectors managed gains yesterday, led by gains in basic material shares (+1.1%), technology (+0.5%), and telecommunications (+0.5%).  Consumer service shares (-0.4%), oil and gas (-0.2%), utilities (-0.2%) led on the downside, with industrials shedding 0.04%.

The US dollar gained against a basket of currencies yesterday in a delayed reaction to Fed Chairman Bernanke's remarks that the Fed is "attentive to implications of changes in the value of the dollar," as well as indications the Fed may be inching toward more restrictive policy measures as financial markets show signs of improvement.

A cautious holiday season guidance from major retailers such as Target (NYSE:TGT - Analyst Report) and Home Depot (NYSE:HD - Analyst Report) weighed on retail shares. Target (NYSE:TGT - Analyst Report), down 3.0% on Tuesday, said average transaction size has dwindled in November, adding it sees lower fourth quarter same-store-sales.  Home Depot (NYSE:HD - Analyst Report), off 2.4%, provided below-consensus fourth quarter guidance, saying its markets remain under pressure.  Ford (NYSE:F - Analyst Report) shares, meanwhile, rose to their two-year high on news its Fusion hybrid was named Motor Trend's 2010 Car of the Year.

Read the full analyst report on TGT

Read the full analyst report on HD

Read the full analyst report on F