We use cookies to understand how you use our site and to improve your experience. This includes personalizing content and advertising. To learn more, click here. By continuing to use our site, you accept our use of cookies, revised Privacy Policy and Terms of Service.
You are being directed to ZacksTrade, a division of LBMZ Securities and licensed broker-dealer. ZacksTrade and Zacks.com are separate companies. The web link between the two companies is not a solicitation or offer to invest in a particular security or type of security. ZacksTrade does not endorse or adopt any particular investment strategy, any analyst opinion/rating/report or any approach to evaluating individual securities.
If you wish to go to ZacksTrade, click OK. If you do not, click Cancel.
Is Tencent Holdings (TCEHY) Fated to Face a Terrible 2019?
Read MoreHide Full Article
Tencent Holdings Limited (TCEHY - Free Report) has had a horrifying year so far, thanks to a slowdown in online gaming due to a stalled approval process in China and stringent regulations.
The company along with NetEase (NTES - Free Report) is among the biggest game distributors in China. Tencent also operates WeChat, China’s dominant social network that has more than 1 billion users.
Online games accounted for almost 32% of Tencent’s third-quarter 2018 revenues that declined 4% year over year to RMB 25,813 million. The decline can be attributed to a slump in PC and smartphone gaming revenues.
Moreover, sluggish VAS revenue growth (almost 55% of revenues) and unfavorable revenue mix hurt Tencent’s results. The ongoing shift toward lower-margin smartphone games has been eating into VAS gross margin. Higher content cost of video streaming subscriptions also hurt profitability. These factors along with lower interest income from payment business dealt a major blow to the stock.
Notably, Tencent has lost more than $200 billion in market value since its peak in January. Year to date, the stock has lost 27% compared with the S&P 500 Composite’s decline of 4.7%.
Stalemate Situation
China is the world’s largest video game market in terms of users (527 million) and revenues. However, a halted approval process, saturated market conditions and intensifying competition from short video apps like Douyin and Kuaishou have been major deterrents in 2018.
Notably, the State Administration of Radio and Television, which is in charge of monitoring games and other entertainment content, stopped giving new licenses since Mar 28. The held-up approval resulted in estimated revenue loss of almost $1.4 billion till October-end, according to SuperData Research, quoted by The Wall Street Journal.
Further, in August, the Chinese Education Ministry announced plans to limit the number of online games and the amount of time kids spend playing on electronic devices. The ministry cited the measures as part of government’s effort to reduce eye-related problems.
Moreover, increasing regulatory crackdown compelled the company to shut down its popular Everyday Texas Hold’em poker game. Tencent also pulled down Monster Hunter: World from its WeGame platform.
Tencent is yet to receive full approval to introduce PC versions for two of the world’s hot favorites — PlayerUnknown’s Battlegrounds (PUBG) and Fortnite. It is also not been authorized to monetize the mobile version of PUBG.
Although PUBG’s growing popularity is a big win, the free game is cannibalizing other higher revenue-earning games for Tencent. Moreover, the ongoing user transition to mobile gaming from PCs is expected to hurt the top line in 2019.
Can the Stock Stage a Comeback in 2019?
Apart from the aforesaid issues, Tencent has a Zacks Rank #5 (Strong Sell) that indicates a bleak scenario for 2019. Moreover, the Zacks Consensus Estimate for fiscal 2019 earnings has moved down almost 11% to $1.38 over the last 60 days. Hence, investors can only hope for some astonishing turn of events for now.
Image: Bigstock
Is Tencent Holdings (TCEHY) Fated to Face a Terrible 2019?
Tencent Holdings Limited (TCEHY - Free Report) has had a horrifying year so far, thanks to a slowdown in online gaming due to a stalled approval process in China and stringent regulations.
The company along with NetEase (NTES - Free Report) is among the biggest game distributors in China. Tencent also operates WeChat, China’s dominant social network that has more than 1 billion users.
Online games accounted for almost 32% of Tencent’s third-quarter 2018 revenues that declined 4% year over year to RMB 25,813 million. The decline can be attributed to a slump in PC and smartphone gaming revenues.
Moreover, sluggish VAS revenue growth (almost 55% of revenues) and unfavorable revenue mix hurt Tencent’s results. The ongoing shift toward lower-margin smartphone games has been eating into VAS gross margin. Higher content cost of video streaming subscriptions also hurt profitability. These factors along with lower interest income from payment business dealt a major blow to the stock.
Notably, Tencent has lost more than $200 billion in market value since its peak in January. Year to date, the stock has lost 27% compared with the S&P 500 Composite’s decline of 4.7%.
Stalemate Situation
China is the world’s largest video game market in terms of users (527 million) and revenues. However, a halted approval process, saturated market conditions and intensifying competition from short video apps like Douyin and Kuaishou have been major deterrents in 2018.
Notably, the State Administration of Radio and Television, which is in charge of monitoring games and other entertainment content, stopped giving new licenses since Mar 28. The held-up approval resulted in estimated revenue loss of almost $1.4 billion till October-end, according to SuperData Research, quoted by The Wall Street Journal.
Further, in August, the Chinese Education Ministry announced plans to limit the number of online games and the amount of time kids spend playing on electronic devices. The ministry cited the measures as part of government’s effort to reduce eye-related problems.
Moreover, increasing regulatory crackdown compelled the company to shut down its popular Everyday Texas Hold’em poker game. Tencent also pulled down Monster Hunter: World from its WeGame platform.
Tencent is yet to receive full approval to introduce PC versions for two of the world’s hot favorites — PlayerUnknown’s Battlegrounds (PUBG) and Fortnite. It is also not been authorized to monetize the mobile version of PUBG.
Although PUBG’s growing popularity is a big win, the free game is cannibalizing other higher revenue-earning games for Tencent. Moreover, the ongoing user transition to mobile gaming from PCs is expected to hurt the top line in 2019.
Can the Stock Stage a Comeback in 2019?
Apart from the aforesaid issues, Tencent has a Zacks Rank #5 (Strong Sell) that indicates a bleak scenario for 2019. Moreover, the Zacks Consensus Estimate for fiscal 2019 earnings has moved down almost 11% to $1.38 over the last 60 days. Hence, investors can only hope for some astonishing turn of events for now.
Key Picks
Etsy (ETSY - Free Report) and Internet Initiative Japan are better-ranked stocks in the same sector. Both the stocks have a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy). You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.
Expected long-term earnings growth for Etsy and Internet Initiative Japan is 15% and 13.5%, respectively.
In addition to the stocks discussed above, would you like to know about our 10 top tickers to buy and hold for the entirety of 2019?
These 10 are painstakingly handpicked from over 4,000 companies covered by the Zacks Rank. They are our primary picks poised to outperform in the year ahead. Be among the first to see the new Zacks Top 10 Stocks >>