Back to top

Image: Bigstock

Hanover Insurance (THG) Soars to 52-Week High, Time to Cash Out?

Read MoreHide Full Article

Have you been paying attention to shares of The Hanover Insurance Group (THG - Free Report) ? Shares have been on the move with the stock up 6.1% over the past month. The stock hit a new 52-week high of $137.36 in the previous session. The Hanover Insurance Group has gained 17.4% since the start of the year compared to the 18.5% move for the Zacks Finance sector and the 10.6% return for the Zacks Insurance - Property and Casualty industry.

What's Driving the Outperformance?

The stock has a great record of positive earnings surprises, as it hasn't missed our earnings consensus estimate in any of the last four quarters. In its last earnings report on October 30, 2019, Hanover Insurance reported EPS of $2.31 versus consensus estimate of $2.16.

For the current fiscal year, Hanover Insurance is expected to post earnings of $8.44 per share on $4.77 billion in revenues. This represents a 24.3% change in EPS on a -4.84% change in revenues. For the next fiscal year, the company is expected to earn $9 per share on $5.02 billion in revenues. This represents a year-over-year change of 6.64% and 5.17%, respectively.

Valuation Metrics

Hanover Insurance may be at a 52-week high right now, but what might the future hold for the stock? A key aspect of this question is taking a look at valuation metrics in order to determine if the company has run ahead of itself.

On this front, we can look at the Zacks Style Scores, as they provide investors with an additional way to sort through stocks (beyond looking at the Zacks Rank of a security). These styles are represented by grades running from A to F in the categories of Value, Growth, and Momentum, while there is a combined VGM Score as well. Investors should consider the style scores a valuable tool that can help you to pick the most appropriate Zacks Rank stocks based on their individual investment style.

Hanover Insurance has a Value Score of B. The stock's Growth and Momentum Scores are C and D, respectively, giving the company a VGM Score of B.

In terms of its value breakdown, the stock currently trades at 16.2X current fiscal year EPS estimates. On a trailing cash flow basis, the stock currently trades at 17.8X versus its peer group's average of 14.1X. This isn't enough to put the company in the top echelon of all stocks we cover from a value perspective.

Zacks Rank

We also need to consider the stock's Zacks Rank, as this supersedes any trend on the style score front. Fortunately, Hanover Insurance currently has a Zacks Rank of #2 (Buy) thanks to favorable earnings estimate revisions from covering analysts.

Since we recommend that investors select stocks carrying Zacks Rank of 1 (Strong Buy) or 2 (Buy) and Style Scores of A or B, it looks as if Hanover Insurance passes the test. Thus, it seems as though Hanover Insurance shares could still be poised for more gains ahead.


See More Zacks Research for These Tickers


Normally $25 each - click below to receive one report FREE:


The Hanover Insurance Group, Inc. (THG) - free report >>

Published in