7 Best Stocks for the Next 30 Days

Get them in a free Special Report, and get more Zacks Insights in our free e-newsletter, Profit from the Pros. Every issue includes a fresh Zacks #1 Bull Stock of the Day.

Close This Panel X

Are you a new Zacks Member or a visitor to Zacks.com?

Recent Quotes

No Recent Quote currently available

My Portfolio

My Portfolio Tracker

One of the most important steps you can take today is to set up your portfolio tracker on Zacks.com. Once you do, you'll be notified of major events affecting your stocks and/or funds with daily email alerts. Set yours up today.

More Zacks Resources

Zacks Rank Home - Evaluate your stocks and use the Zacks Rank to eliminate the losers and keep the winners.

Mutual Fund Rank Home - Evaluate your funds with the Mutual Fund Rank for both your personal and retirement funds.

Stock/Mutual Fund Screening - Find better stocks and mutual funds. The ones most likely to beat the market and provide a positive return.

My Portfolio - Track your Portfolio and find out where your stocks/mutual funds stack up with the Zacks Rank.

Zacks #1 Stocks on the Move 05/22/2013

Company Name Symbol %Change
ALLIANCE FIB AFOP
12.64%
SONIC FOUNDR SOFO
9.10%
NOAH HOLDING NOAH
8.08%
TRI TECH HOL TRIT
7.35%
A M R CP AAMRQ
6.59%

Grexit: Probability, Necessity, Damage

by Kevin Cook

May 21, 2012 | Comments : 14 Recommended this article: (0)

This page is temporarily not available.  Please check later as it should be available shortly. If you have any questions, please email customer support at support@zacks.com or call 800-767-3771 ext.  9339.

US equities seem to be pricing-in another round of fear about the slow-motion disintegration of the Eurozone. If the past six months have been a period of relative calm where the probability of "Grexit" (Greece exiting the monetary union) was less than 25%, since the early May elections and consequent political circus, the market seems to view the odds at 50/50 now.

Some like Nouriel Roubini believe it is "inevitable." Writing in the UK's Guardian late Friday, he says...

"The Greek eurotragedy is reaching its final act: it is clear that either this year or next,Greece is highly likely to default on its debt and leave the eurozone.

Postponing the exit after the June election, with a new government committed to a variant of the same failed policies (recessionary austerity and structural reforms), will not restore growth and competitiveness."

And after the G8 meeting this weekend at Camp David, where Obama and Cameron failedto push Merkeland Co. toward some form of seismic QE from the ECB, it is becoming painfully clear that Germany would rather let the Eurozone fall apart than go into to debt to save it in its present form.

As we noticed last fall, they win whatever happens – as long as they don’t print money.

This quote last week from German Finance Minister Wolfgang Schaeuble told us everything we really needed to know about what to expect...

"In 12 to 24 months, we'll see a calming of financial markets."

Translation: We know the firestorm that is coming. Roubini is right. It's going to get ugly. We are fully prepared to stick to our guns and not allow the ECB to become the lender of last resort.

We know it was a poor design from the start... a monetary union without a fiscal one. But are they committed enough to save it?

Is it even possible to integrate multiple cultures, economies,and political regimes under the same monetary structure? And is it worthsaving simply because the collateral damage to the global economy would be too great?

In some ways, the Germans may believe that painful austerity and a possible depression are the only ways to cleanse a debt crisis. They are thinking about the future 10 years from now, not 10 months. There may be some virtue in that vision.

I'd like to hear from other investorsonthese pressing issues...

How likely is Grexit?

How soon? After the June 17 election?

What is the immediate damage to the European banking system?

And what is the long-term evolution for the EU and the Eurozone proper? A core of only 10 countries a few years from now?

Email Print Share Rate Pos Rate Neg

7 Best Stocks for the Next 30 Days

Get them in a free Special Report, plus more Zacks Insights in a free e-newsletter, Profit from the Pros. Every issue includes a fresh Zacks #1 Bull Stock of the Day.

Close This Panel X
Read/Post Comments (14) | Recommended this article (0)

Please login to Zacks.com or register to post a comment.

Zacks Research is Reported On:

Zacks Investment Research

is an A+ Rated BBB

Accredited Business.