Eli Lilly & Co: (NYSE: LLY)

$55.15

0.01 (0.02%)

Volume 2,712,399

May 22 02:00 PM ET

Zacks Rank: 3-Hold

Zacks Rank	Definition	Annualized Return
#1	Strong Buy	26.6%
#2	Buy	18.71%
#3	Hold	10.12%
#4	Sell	4.32%
#5	Strong Sell	2.16%
S&P	500	9.93%

Detailed Estimates

Current Quarter Estimate	1.00
Next Quarter Estimate	0.94
Current Year Estimate	3.91
Next Year Estimate	2.75
Expected Earnings Growth	-0.22%
Expected Sales Growth	3.59%
Next Earnings Report Date	07-24-2013
EPS Last Quarter	1.05
Last Quarter EPS Surprise	8.57%
EPS (Trailing 12 Mos.)	3.61
PE (Forward)	14.10
ABR	2.74

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		Zacks Rank  Short-Term: 1-3 Months
                                                                
                                                                Zacks #1 Rank Strong Buys
                                                                
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                                                                        Zacks Rank
                                                                        Definition
                                                                        Annualized Return
                                                                    
                                                                        #1
                                                                        Strong Buy
                                                                        26.6%
                                                                    
                                                                        #2
                                                                        Buy
                                                                        18.71%
                                                                    
                                                                        #3
                                                                        Hold
                                                                        10.12%
                                                                    
                                                                        #4
                                                                        Sell
                                                                        4.32%
                                                                    
                                                                        #5
                                                                        Strong Sell
                                                                        2.16%
                                                                    
                                                                        S&P
                                                                        500
                                                                        9.93%
                                                                    
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		3
Hold

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		Top Peers
		Symbol
		Zacks Rank
	
		LILLY ELI & CO
		LLY
		
		ABBOTT LABS
		ABT
		
		ABBVIE INC
		ABBV
		
		ALLERGAN INC
		AGN
		
		ASTRAZENECA PLC
		AZN
		
		BRISTOL-MYERS
		BMY
		
		GLAXOSMITHKLINE
		GSK
		
		JOHNSON & JOHNS
		JNJ
		
		MERCK & CO INC
		MRK
		
		NOVARTIS AG-ADR
		NVS
		
                                  See all LARGE CAP PHARMA Peers
                                
Turn Earnings Surprises into quick profits.

Top Peers	Symbol	Zacks Rank
LILLY ELI & CO	LLY
ABBOTT LABS	ABT
ABBVIE INC	ABBV
ALLERGAN INC	AGN
ASTRAZENECA PLC	AZN
BRISTOL-MYERS	BMY
GLAXOSMITHKLINE	GSK
JOHNSON & JOHNS	JNJ
MERCK & CO INC	MRK
NOVARTIS AG-ADR	NVS

            Earnings Growth Estimates
         
		LLY
		IND
		S&P
	
		Current Qtr (06/2013)
		21.08
		NA
		NA
	
		Next Qtr (09/2013)
		19.35
		NA
		NA
	
		Current Year (12/2012)
		15.40
		-3.40
		11.40
	
		Next Year (12/2013)
		-29.70
		7.00
		6.50
	
		Past 5 Years
		-1.10
		7.10
		5.70
	
		Next 5 Years
		-0.20
		6.30
		NA
	
		PE
		14.10
		16.10
		15.50
	
		PEG Ratio
		-64.07
		2.56
		NA
	
            Detailed Earnings Estimates
         
		Current Qtr 
 (06/2013)
		Next Qtr 
 (09/2013)
		Current Year 
 (12/2013)
		Next Year 
 (12/2014)
	
		Zacks Consensus Estimate
		1.00
		0.94
		3.91
		2.75
	
		# of Estimates
		8
		7
		12
		10
	
		Most Recent Consensus
		1.02
		0.87
		3.90
		2.70
	
		High Estimate
		1.05
		0.98
		3.96
		2.90
	
		Low Estimate
		0.95
		0.87
		3.85
		2.62
	
		Year ago EPS
		0.83
		0.79
		3.39
		3.91
	
		Year over Year Growth Est.
		21.08%
		19.35%
		15.39%
		-29.67%
	
            Agreement - Estimate Revisions
       
		Current Qtr 
(06/2013)
		Next Qtr  
(09/2013)
		Current Year 
 (12/2013)
		Next Year 
   (12/2014)
	
		Up Last 7 Days
		0
		0
		1
		0
	
		Up Last 30 Days
		4
		0
		5
		3
	
		Up Last 60 Days
		3
		0
		5
		4
	
		Down Last 7 Days
		0
		0
		0
		0
	
		Down Last 30 Days
		1
		4
		2
		4
	
		Down Last 60 Days
		1
		3
		3
		4
	
            Magnitude - Consensus Estimate Trend
       
		Current Qtr 
 (06/2013)
		Next Qtr 
 (09/2013)
		Current Year 
 (12/2013)
		Next Year 
 (12/2014)
	
		Current
		1.00
		0.94
		3.91
		2.75
	
		7 Days Ago
		1.00
		0.94
		3.91
		2.75
	
		30 Days Ago
		1.00
		0.98
		3.90
		2.83
	
		60 Days Ago
		1.00
		0.99
		3.89
		2.82
	
		90 Days Ago
		1.00
		0.99
		3.89
		2.82
	
            Upside - Most Accurate Estimate versus Zacks Consensus
         
		Current Qtr 
 (06/2013)
		Next Qtr 
 (09/2013)
		Current Year 
 (12/2013)
		Next Year 
 (12/2014)
	
		Most Accurate Estimate
		1.01
		0.93
		3.92
		2.75
	
		Zacks Consensus Estimate
		1.00
		0.94
		3.91
		2.75
	
		Earnings ESP 
		1.00%
		-1.06%
		0.26%
		0.00%
	
Earnings ESP (Expected Surprise Prediction) is Zacks' proprietary methodology for determining which stocks have the best chance to surprise with their next earnings announcement. The Earnings ESP shows the percentage difference between the Most Accurate Estimate and the Consensus. This % difference = the expected surprise prediction.

            Surprise - Reported Earnings History
         
		Quarter Ending 
 (03/2013)
		Quarter Ending 
 (12/2012)
		Quarter Ending 
 (09/2012)
		Quarter Ending 
 (06/2012)
		Average Surprise
	
		Reported
		1.14
		0.85
		0.79
		0.83
		NA
	
		Estimate
		1.05
		0.78
		0.83
		0.77
		NA
	
		Difference
		0.09
		0.07
		-0.04
		0.06
		0.05
	
		Surprise
		8.57%
		8.97%
		-4.82%
		7.79%
		5.13%
	
        Earnings Transcript for LLY from 10/24/2012
        
                                Quarterly Estimates by Analyst
                            
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                                Annual Estimates by Analyst
                            
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Eli Lilly & Co: (NYSE: LLY)

$55.15

0.01 (0.02%)

Volume 2,712,399

May 22 02:00 PM ET

Premium research

Zacks Rank Short-Term: 1-3 Months

Zacks #1 Rank Strong Buys

Zacks Recommendation Long-Term: 6+ Months

All Outperform Rated Stocks

Zacks Industry Rank

Equity Research Report

Premium research: Industry Analysis

See all LARGE CAP PHARMA Peers

Earnings Growth Estimates

Detailed Earnings Estimates

Agreement - Estimate Revisions

Magnitude - Consensus Estimate Trend

Upside - Most Accurate Estimate versus Zacks Consensus

Surprise - Reported Earnings History

Quarterly Estimates by Analyst

Annual Estimates by Analyst

	LLY	IND	S&P
Current Qtr (06/2013)	21.08	NA	NA
Next Qtr (09/2013)	19.35	NA	NA
Current Year (12/2012)	15.40	-3.40	11.40
Next Year (12/2013)	-29.70	7.00	6.50
Past 5 Years	-1.10	7.10	5.70
Next 5 Years	-0.20	6.30	NA
PE	14.10	16.10	15.50
PEG Ratio	-64.07	2.56	NA

	Current Qtr (06/2013)	Next Qtr (09/2013)	Current Year (12/2013)	Next Year (12/2014)
Zacks Consensus Estimate	1.00	0.94	3.91	2.75
# of Estimates	8	7	12	10
Most Recent Consensus	1.02	0.87	3.90	2.70
High Estimate	1.05	0.98	3.96	2.90
Low Estimate	0.95	0.87	3.85	2.62
Year ago EPS	0.83	0.79	3.39	3.91
Year over Year Growth Est.	21.08%	19.35%	15.39%	-29.67%

	Current Qtr (06/2013)	Next Qtr (09/2013)	Current Year (12/2013)	Next Year (12/2014)
Up Last 7 Days	0	0	1	0
Up Last 30 Days	4	0	5	3
Up Last 60 Days	3	0	5	4
Down Last 7 Days	0	0	0	0
Down Last 30 Days	1	4	2	4
Down Last 60 Days	1	3	3	4

	Current Qtr (06/2013)	Next Qtr (09/2013)	Current Year (12/2013)	Next Year (12/2014)
Current	1.00	0.94	3.91	2.75
7 Days Ago	1.00	0.94	3.91	2.75
30 Days Ago	1.00	0.98	3.90	2.83
60 Days Ago	1.00	0.99	3.89	2.82
90 Days Ago	1.00	0.99	3.89	2.82

	Current Qtr (06/2013)	Next Qtr (09/2013)	Current Year (12/2013)	Next Year (12/2014)
Most Accurate Estimate	1.01	0.93	3.92	2.75
Zacks Consensus Estimate	1.00	0.94	3.91	2.75
Earnings ESP	1.00%	-1.06%	0.26%	0.00%

	Quarter Ending (03/2013)	Quarter Ending (12/2012)	Quarter Ending (09/2012)	Quarter Ending (06/2012)	Average Surprise
Reported	1.14	0.85	0.79	0.83	NA
Estimate	1.05	0.78	0.83	0.77	NA
Difference	0.09	0.07	-0.04	0.06	0.05
Surprise	8.57%	8.97%	-4.82%	7.79%	5.13%