Toll Brothers: (NYSE: TOL)

$37.04

0.61 (1.67%)

Volume 3,117,212

May 14 04:01 PM ET

Zacks Rank: 3-Hold

Zacks Rank	Definition	Annualized Return
#1	Strong Buy	26.27%
#2	Buy	18.43%
#3	Hold	9.86%
#4	Sell	4.09%
#5	Strong Sell	1.87%
S&P	500	9.59%

Detailed Estimates

Current Quarter Estimate	0.07
Next Quarter Estimate	0.31
Current Year Estimate	0.72
Next Year Estimate	1.48
Expected Earnings Growth	8.00%
Expected Sales Growth	-14.32%
Next Earnings Report Date	05-22-2013
EPS Last Quarter	0.07
Last Quarter EPS Surprise	-81.82%
EPS (Trailing 12 Mos.)	0.73
PE (Forward)	51.33
ABR	2.44

Learn More About Estimate Research

See Brokerage Recommendations

                Premium research
            
		Zacks Rank  Short-Term: 1-3 Months
                                                                
                                                                Zacks #1 Rank Strong Buys
                                                                
                                                            This is our short term rating system that serves as a timeliness indicator for stocks over the next 1 to 3 months. How good is it? See rankings and related performance below. 

                                                                        Zacks Rank
                                                                        Definition
                                                                        Annualized Return
                                                                    
                                                                        #1
                                                                        Strong Buy
                                                                        26.27%
                                                                    
                                                                        #2
                                                                        Buy
                                                                        18.43%
                                                                    
                                                                        #3
                                                                        Hold
                                                                        9.86%
                                                                    
                                                                        #4
                                                                        Sell
                                                                        4.09%
                                                                    
                                                                        #5
                                                                        Strong Sell
                                                                        1.87%
                                                                    
                                                                        S&P
                                                                        500
                                                                        9.59%
                                                                    
Zacks Rank Education - Learn more about the Zacks Rank
Zacks Rank Home - All Zacks Rank resources in one place
Zacks Premium - The only way to get access to the Zacks Rank
                                                        
		3
Hold

		Zacks Recommendation  Long-Term: 6+ Months
                                                                
                                                                All Outperform Rated Stocks
                                                                
                                                            Zacks Recommendations are an excellent predictor of stock price movement over a 6+ month time frame. The recommendations come from the Zacks Equity Research group which combines the Zacks Rank with the insights from their team of over 50 equity analysts. The result is superior long term stock ratings.
The Zacks Recommendations are split into 3 groups: Buy, Hold and Sell. Our Buy recommendations have generated returns of 34.4% in 2006, and 16.69% in 2007. When Zacks Premium members click on the recommendation it will launch them to the Zacks Equity Research report for the stock.    More on these reports below.

                                                                    Difference Between Zacks Rank and Zacks Recommendation

                                                                    Zacks Equity Research Home
Zacks Premium - The only way to get access to Zacks Recommendations
                                                                
		Neutral
	
		Zacks Industry Rank Which industries are set to outperform or underperform the market? You'll find the answer here. We have broken down all industries into over 200 classifications. Then ranked these industries using the most powerful indicator we know (the Zacks Rank). The higher the industry rank, the better the industry should perform in the future. Once you have found an attractive industry then check out the Rank in Industry to find the best stocks within the industry.
When Zacks Premium members click on the Zacks Industry Rank link they will see the full listing of industries and their current rankings.

                                                                About Zacks Industry Rank

                                                                Zacks Industry Rank - All current industry ranks. 

                                                                Zacks Premium - The only way to get access to the Zacks Industry Rank
                                                            
		13 out of 265
	
		Equity Research Report The Zacks Recommendations and Zacks Target Prices are just two of the valuable resources you'll find in the reports created by the Zacks Equity Research group. When Zacks Premium members click on this link they will taken to a page that gives them access to the Zacks Equity Research report for the stock.

                                        Zacks Equity Research Home
                                        Zacks Premium - The only way to get access to Zacks Recommendations
                                    
Updated as of 05/8/2013

		PREMIUM
	
    (  = Change in last 30 days) 
Get all our stock ratings and recommendations with a Free Trial to Zacks Premium Start Free Trial 
Zacks Premium Home | Zacks Rank Stock Education

            Premium research: Industry Analysis
        
		Top Peers
		Symbol
		Zacks Rank
	
		TOLL BROTHERS
		TOL
		
		D R HORTON INC
		DHI
		
		MERITAGE HOMES
		MTH
		
		RYLAND GRP INC
		RYL
		
		BEAZER HOMES
		BZH
		
		KB HOME
		KBH
		
		MDC HLDGS
		MDC
		
		STANDARD PAC
		SPF
		
		TRI POINTE HOME
		TPH
		
		GAFISA SA-ADR
		GFA
		
                                  See all BLDG-RSDNT/COMR Peers
                                
Turn Earnings Surprises into quick profits.

Top Peers	Symbol	Zacks Rank
TOLL BROTHERS	TOL
D R HORTON INC	DHI
MERITAGE HOMES	MTH
RYLAND GRP INC	RYL
BEAZER HOMES	BZH
KB HOME	KBH
MDC HLDGS	MDC
STANDARD PAC	SPF
TRI POINTE HOME	TPH
GAFISA SA-ADR	GFA

            Earnings Growth Estimates
         
		TOL
		IND
		S&P
	
		Current Qtr (04/2013)
		-34.00
		NA
		NA
	
		Next Qtr (07/2013)
		20.94
		NA
		NA
	
		Current Year (10/2012)
		18.30
		29.80
		11.40
	
		Next Year (10/2013)
		105.70
		30.40
		6.50
	
		Past 5 Years
		-9.90
		-2.70
		5.70
	
		Next 5 Years
		8.00
		10.20
		NA
	
		PE
		51.30
		28.00
		15.30
	
		PEG Ratio
		6.42
		2.75
		NA
	
            Detailed Earnings Estimates
         
		Current Qtr 
 (04/2013)
		Next Qtr 
 (07/2013)
		Current Year 
 (10/2013)
		Next Year 
 (10/2014)
	
		Zacks Consensus Estimate
		0.07
		0.31
		0.72
		1.48
	
		# of Estimates
		10
		9
		12
		11
	
		Most Recent Consensus
		0.06
		0.35
		0.79
		1.83
	
		High Estimate
		0.11
		0.35
		0.90
		2.29
	
		Low Estimate
		0.03
		0.25
		0.49
		1.07
	
		Year ago EPS
		0.10
		0.26
		0.61
		0.72
	
		Year over Year Growth Est.
		-34.00%
		20.94%
		18.31%
		105.71%
	
            Agreement - Estimate Revisions
       
		Current Qtr 
(04/2013)
		Next Qtr  
(07/2013)
		Current Year 
 (10/2013)
		Next Year 
   (10/2014)
	
		Up Last 7 Days
		0
		0
		0
		0
	
		Up Last 30 Days
		0
		0
		0
		1
	
		Up Last 60 Days
		0
		1
		1
		3
	
		Down Last 7 Days
		0
		0
		0
		0
	
		Down Last 30 Days
		0
		0
		0
		0
	
		Down Last 60 Days
		1
		0
		3
		0
	
            Magnitude - Consensus Estimate Trend
       
		Current Qtr 
 (04/2013)
		Next Qtr 
 (07/2013)
		Current Year 
 (10/2013)
		Next Year 
 (10/2014)
	
		Current
		0.07
		0.31
		0.72
		1.48
	
		7 Days Ago
		0.07
		0.31
		0.72
		1.48
	
		30 Days Ago
		0.07
		0.31
		0.71
		1.37
	
		60 Days Ago
		0.13
		0.30
		0.82
		1.47
	
		90 Days Ago
		0.20
		0.27
		0.91
		1.49
	
            Upside - Most Accurate Estimate versus Zacks Consensus
         
		Current Qtr 
 (04/2013)
		Next Qtr 
 (07/2013)
		Current Year 
 (10/2013)
		Next Year 
 (10/2014)
	
		Most Accurate Estimate
		NA
		NA
		0.85
		2.06
	
		Zacks Consensus Estimate
		0.07
		0.31
		0.72
		1.48
	
		Earnings ESP 
		NA
		NA
		18.06%
		39.19%
	
Earnings ESP (Expected Surprise Prediction) is Zacks' proprietary methodology for determining which stocks have the best chance to surprise with their next earnings announcement. The Earnings ESP shows the percentage difference between the Most Accurate Estimate and the Consensus. This % difference = the expected surprise prediction.

            Surprise - Reported Earnings History
         
		Quarter Ending 
 (01/2013)
		Quarter Ending 
 (10/2012)
		Quarter Ending 
 (07/2012)
		Quarter Ending 
 (04/2012)
		Average Surprise
	
		Reported
		0.02
		0.35
		0.26
		0.10
		NA
	
		Estimate
		0.11
		0.23
		0.18
		0.04
		NA
	
		Difference
		-0.09
		0.12
		0.08
		0.06
		0.04
	
		Surprise
		-81.82%
		52.17%
		44.44%
		150.00%
		41.20%
	
        Earnings Transcript for TOL from 08/22/2012
        
                                Quarterly Estimates by Analyst
                            
                                Zacks Premium Subscription Required Learn more
                            
                                Annual Estimates by Analyst
                            
                                Zacks Premium Subscription Required Learn more

Username: Password:

Remember me [?]

Forgot Password

New Member

Toll Brothers: (NYSE: TOL)

$37.04

0.61 (1.67%)

Volume 3,117,212

May 14 04:01 PM ET

Premium research

Zacks Rank Short-Term: 1-3 Months

Zacks #1 Rank Strong Buys

Zacks Recommendation Long-Term: 6+ Months

All Outperform Rated Stocks

Zacks Industry Rank

Equity Research Report

Premium research: Industry Analysis

See all BLDG-RSDNT/COMR Peers

Earnings Growth Estimates

Detailed Earnings Estimates

Agreement - Estimate Revisions

Magnitude - Consensus Estimate Trend

Upside - Most Accurate Estimate versus Zacks Consensus

Surprise - Reported Earnings History

Quarterly Estimates by Analyst

Annual Estimates by Analyst

	TOL	IND	S&P
Current Qtr (04/2013)	-34.00	NA	NA
Next Qtr (07/2013)	20.94	NA	NA
Current Year (10/2012)	18.30	29.80	11.40
Next Year (10/2013)	105.70	30.40	6.50
Past 5 Years	-9.90	-2.70	5.70
Next 5 Years	8.00	10.20	NA
PE	51.30	28.00	15.30
PEG Ratio	6.42	2.75	NA

	Current Qtr (04/2013)	Next Qtr (07/2013)	Current Year (10/2013)	Next Year (10/2014)
Zacks Consensus Estimate	0.07	0.31	0.72	1.48
# of Estimates	10	9	12	11
Most Recent Consensus	0.06	0.35	0.79	1.83
High Estimate	0.11	0.35	0.90	2.29
Low Estimate	0.03	0.25	0.49	1.07
Year ago EPS	0.10	0.26	0.61	0.72
Year over Year Growth Est.	-34.00%	20.94%	18.31%	105.71%

	Current Qtr (04/2013)	Next Qtr (07/2013)	Current Year (10/2013)	Next Year (10/2014)
Up Last 7 Days	0	0	0	0
Up Last 30 Days	0	0	0	1
Up Last 60 Days	0	1	1	3
Down Last 7 Days	0	0	0	0
Down Last 30 Days	0	0	0	0
Down Last 60 Days	1	0	3	0

	Current Qtr (04/2013)	Next Qtr (07/2013)	Current Year (10/2013)	Next Year (10/2014)
Current	0.07	0.31	0.72	1.48
7 Days Ago	0.07	0.31	0.72	1.48
30 Days Ago	0.07	0.31	0.71	1.37
60 Days Ago	0.13	0.30	0.82	1.47
90 Days Ago	0.20	0.27	0.91	1.49

	Current Qtr (04/2013)	Next Qtr (07/2013)	Current Year (10/2013)	Next Year (10/2014)
Most Accurate Estimate	NA	NA	0.85	2.06
Zacks Consensus Estimate	0.07	0.31	0.72	1.48
Earnings ESP	NA	NA	18.06%	39.19%

	Quarter Ending (01/2013)	Quarter Ending (10/2012)	Quarter Ending (07/2012)	Quarter Ending (04/2012)	Average Surprise
Reported	0.02	0.35	0.26	0.10	NA
Estimate	0.11	0.23	0.18	0.04	NA
Difference	-0.09	0.12	0.08	0.06	0.04
Surprise	-81.82%	52.17%	44.44%	150.00%	41.20%