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Interactive Brokers Group (IBKR)

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We are upgrading our recommendation on Interactive Brokers Group (IBKR) to Outperform as its brokerage business continued to perform well and the company reinstated its quarterly dividend. Despite declining market volumes, Interactive Brokers' Market Making segment is positioned to improve on better revenue capture.

We expect the company's strategy with respect to structural changes in the business to bode well. Also, larger average trade sizes continue to improve its Electronic Brokerage segment results.

Our six-month target price of $17.00 per share equates to about 13.5x our earnings estimate for 2011. Combined with a quarterly dividend of $0.10 per share, this target price implies an expected total return of 23.1% over that period. This is consistent with our Outperform recommendation.




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