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MPLX Jumps 17% Since Q3 Earnings Beat on Low Operating Costs

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MPLX LP’s (MPLX - Free Report) units rose 17% since it reported better-than-expected third-quarter results on Nov 2. The partnership expects to generate positive free cash flows in 2021.

It reported third-quarter adjusted earnings of 61 cents per unit, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 59 cents. The bottom line was in line with the year-ago figure.

Revenues of $2,247 million decreased from third-quarter 2019 sales of $2,280 million. However, the top line beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2,020 million.

The better-than-expected results were supported by higher average tariff rates and lower operating costs. Contributions from the gathering and processing business on the back of higher volumes from the new plants also aided the outperformance. The positives were partially offset by lower terminal throughput volumes.

MPLX LP Price, Consensus and EPS Surprise

MPLX LP Price, Consensus and EPS Surprise

MPLX LP price-consensus-eps-surprise-chart | MPLX LP Quote

Key Developments

The partnership started a unit buyback program of $1 billion. The firm plans to use free cash flow to support the repurchase program.

Segmental Highlights

MPLX’s adjusted EBITDA from the Logistics and Storage segment increased from $766 million a year ago to $893 million. The year-over-year upside was attributed to higher average tariff rates, minimum volume commitments and decreased operating costs. The positives were partially offset by lower terminal throughput.

Adjusted EBITDA from the Gathering and Processing segment was recorded at $442 million, up from $399 million in the prior-year quarter. The outperformance was driven by higher volumes from new plants, partially negated by production curtailments.

Costs and Expenses

Total costs and expenses for the quarter were recorded at $1,348 million, marginally down from the year-ago level of $1,354 million. Expenses related to operations declined to $508 million from $573 million in the prior-year quarter.

Cash Flow

Distributable cash flow available to limited partners in third-quarter 2020 was $1,067 million, providing 1.44X distribution coverage, up from $1,027 million in the year-ago quarter. Distribution per unit was 68.75 cents for the reported quarter, representing an increase from the year-ago quarter’s 67.75 cents.

Net cash flow from operating activities for the quarter under review increased to $1,222 million from $1,036 million recorded in the corresponding period of 2019.

Balance Sheet

As of Sep 30, 2020, the partnership’s cash and cash equivalents were $28 million, down from $67 million at second quarter-end. Its total long-term debt amounted to $20.3 billion, while debt to capitalization was 60.8%.

Outlook

The partnership is on track to lower capital budget for 2020 by more than $700 million. It also plans to reduce 2020 operating expenses by roughly $200 million. MPLX continues to expect positive free cash flows in 2021, after capital expenditure and distribution payments.

Zacks Rank & Stocks to Consider

MPLX currently has a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold). Some better-ranked players in the energy space include Matador Resources Company (MTDR - Free Report) , Antero Resources Corporation (AR - Free Report) and Global Partners LP (GLP - Free Report) , each holding a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy). You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.

Matador Resources’ bottom line for 2021 is expected to surge 187% year over year.

Antero Resources’ bottom line for 2021 is expected to rise 30.5% year over year.

Global Partners’ bottom line for 2020 is expected to rise 150.5% year over year.

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