Momentum investing is all about the idea of following a stock's recent trend, which can be in either direction. In the 'long' context, investors will essentially be "buying high, but hoping to sell even higher." And for investors following this methodology, taking advantage of trends in a stock's price is key; once a stock establishes a course, it is more than likely to continue moving in that direction. The goal is that once a stock heads down a fixed path, it will lead to timely and profitable trades.
Even though momentum is a popular stock characteristic, it can be tough to define. Debate surrounding which are the best and worst metrics to focus on is lengthy, but the Zacks Momentum Style Score, part of the
Zacks Style Scores, helps address this issue for us.
Below, we take a look at
Illinois Tool Works (, which currently has a Momentum Style Score of B. We also discuss some of the main drivers of the Momentum Style Score, like price change and earnings estimate revisions. ITW Quick Quote ITW - Free Report)
It's also important to note that Style Scores work as a complement to the Zacks Rank, our stock rating system that has an impressive track record of outperformance. Illinois Tool Works currently has a Zacks Rank of #2 (Buy). Our research shows that stocks rated Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) and #2 (Buy) and Style Scores of A or B outperform the market over the following one-month period.
You can see the current list of
Zacks #1 Rank Stocks here >>> Set to Beat the Market?
In order to see if ITW is a promising momentum pick, let's examine some Momentum Style elements to see if this equipment manufacturer for the transportation, power, food and construction industries holds up.
Looking at a stock's short-term price activity is a great way to gauge if it has momentum, since this can reflect both the current interest in a stock and if buyers or sellers have the upper hand at the moment. It's also helpful to compare a security to its industry; this can show investors the best companies in a particular area.
For ITW, shares are up 0.85% over the past week while the Zacks Manufacturing - General Industrial industry is flat over the same time period. Shares are looking quite well from a longer time frame too, as the monthly price change of 8.59% compares favorably with the industry's 3.63% performance as well.
While any stock can see its price increase, it takes a real winner to consistently beat the market. That is why looking at longer term price metrics -- such as performance over the past three months or year -- can be useful as well. Over the past quarter, shares of Illinois Tool Works have risen 17.98%, and are up 51.04% in the last year. On the other hand, the S&P 500 has only moved 8.45% and 49.47%, respectively.
Investors should also pay attention to ITW's average 20-day trading volume. Volume is a useful item in many ways, and the 20-day average establishes a good price-to-volume baseline; a rising stock with above average volume is generally a bullish sign, whereas a declining stock on above average volume is typically bearish. ITW is currently averaging 995,922 shares for the last 20 days.
The Zacks Momentum Style Score encompasses many things, including estimate revisions and a stock's price movement. Investors should note that earnings estimates are also significant to the Zacks Rank, and a nice path here can be promising. We have recently been noticing this with ITW.
Over the past two months, 9 earnings estimates moved higher compared to none lower for the full year. These revisions helped boost ITW's consensus estimate, increasing from $7.93 to $8.40 in the past 60 days. Looking at the next fiscal year, 8 estimates have moved upwards while there have been no downward revisions in the same time period.
Taking into account all of these elements, it should come as no surprise that ITW is a #2 (Buy) stock with a Momentum Score of B. If you've been searching for a fresh pick that's set to rise in the near-term, make sure to keep Illinois Tool Works on your short list.