Back to top

Image: Bigstock

Is Southern Copper (SCCO) a Great Stock for Value Investors?

Read MoreHide Full Article

Value investing is easily one of the most popular ways to find great stocks in any market environment. After all, who wouldn’t want to find stocks that are either flying under the radar and are compelling buys, or offer up tantalizing discounts when compared to fair value?

One way to find these companies is by looking at several key metrics and financial ratios, many of which are crucial in the value stock selection process. Let’s put Southern Copper Corporation (SCCO - Free Report) stock into this equation and find out if it is a good choice for value-oriented investors right now, or if investors subscribing to this methodology should look elsewhere for top picks:

PE Ratio

A key metric that value investors always look at is the Price to Earnings Ratio, or PE for short. This shows us how much investors are willing to pay for each dollar of earnings in a given stock, and is easily one of the most popular financial ratios in the world. The best use of the PE ratio is to compare the stock’s current PE ratio with: a) where this ratio has been in the past; b) how it compares to the average for the industry/sector; and c) how it compares to the market as a whole.

On this front, Southern Copper has a trailing twelve months PE ratio of 13.79, as you can see in the chart below:

Zacks Investment Research
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research

This level actually compares pretty favorably with the market at large, as the PE for the S&P 500 stands at about 18.33. If we focus on the long-term PE trend, Southern Copper’s current PE level puts it below its midpoint (which is 22.53) over the past five years. Moreover, the current level stands well below the highs for the stock, suggesting that it can be a solid entry point.

Zacks Investment Research
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research

Further, the stock’s PE also compares favorably with the Zacks Basic Materials sector’s trailing twelve months PE ratio, which stands at 8.09. At the very least, this indicates that the stock is relatively undervalued right now, compared to its peers.

Zacks Investment Research
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research

We should also point out that Southern Copper has a forward PE ratio (price relative to this year’s earnings) of just 14.77, which is higher than the current level. So, it is fair to expect an increase in the company’s share price in the near term.

P/CF Ratio

An often overlooked ratio that can still be a great indicator of value is the price/cash flow metric. This ratio doesn’t take amortization and depreciation into account, so can give a more accurate picture of the financial health in a business. This is a preferred metric to some valuation investors because cash flows are (a) generally less prone to manipulation by the company’s management, and (b) are less affected by variation in accounting policies between different companies.

The ratio is generally applied to find out whether a company’s stock is overpriced or underpriced with reference to its cash flows generation potential compared with its competitors. However, it is not commonly used for cross-industry comparison, as the average price to cash flow ratio varies from industry to industry.

In this case, Southern Copper’s P/CF ratio of 10.91 is higher than the Zacks Mining - Non Ferrous industry average of 5.78, which indicates that the stock is somewhat overvalued in this respect.

Zacks Investment Research
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research

Broad Value Outlook

In aggregate, Southern Copper currently has a Value Score of B, putting it into the top 40% of all stocks we cover from this look. This makes Southern Copper a solid choice for value investors, and some of its other key metrics make this pretty clear too.

What About the Stock Overall?

Though Southern Copper might be a good choice for value investors, there are plenty of other factors to consider before investing in this name. In particular, it is worth noting that the company has a Growth Score of B and a Momentum Score of D. This gives SCCO a Zacks VGM score — or its overarching fundamental grade — of B. (You can read more about the Zacks Style Scores here >>)

Meanwhile, the company’s recent earnings estimates have been mixed at best. The current quarter has seen one estimate go higher in the past sixty days compared to none lower, while the full year estimate has seen two up and one down in the same time period.

This has had just a small impact on the consensus estimate though as the current quarter consensus estimate has risen by 4.9% in the past two months, while the full year estimate has inched lower by 1.4%. You can see the consensus estimate trend and recent price action for the stock in the chart below:

This somewhat mixed trend is why the stock has just a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) and why we are looking for in-line performance from the company in the near term.

Bottom Line

Southern Copper is an inspired choice for value investors, as it is hard to beat its incredible lineup of statistics on this front. Further, a strong industry rank (among Top 32% of more than 250 industries) instills our confidence. In fact, over the past two years, the Zacks Mining - Non Ferrous industry has clearly outperformed the broader market, as you can see below:

Zacks Investment Research
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research

So, value investors might want to wait for estimates to turn around in this name first, but once that happens, this stock could be a compelling pick.


In-Depth Zacks Research for the Tickers Above


Normally $25 each - click below to receive one report FREE:


Southern Copper Corporation (SCCO) - free report >>

Published in