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This 1 Computer and Technology Stock Could Beat Earnings: Why It Should Be on Your Radar

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Two factors often determine stock prices in the long run: earnings and interest rates. Investors can't control the latter, but they can focus on a company's earnings results every quarter.

Life and the stock market are both about expectations, and rising above what is expected is often rewarded, while falling short can come with negative consequences. Investors might want to try to capture stronger returns by finding positive earnings surprises.

The ability to identify stocks that are likely to top quarterly earnings expectations can be profitable, but it's no simple task. Here at Zacks, our Earnings ESP filter helps make things easier.

The Zacks Earnings ESP, Explained

The Zacks Expected Surprise Prediction, or ESP, works by locking in on the most up-to-date analyst earnings revisions because they can be more accurate than estimates from weeks or even months before the actual release date. The thinking is pretty straightforward: analysts who provide earnings estimates closer to the report are likely to have more information.

With this in mind, the Expected Surprise Prediction compares the Most Accurate Estimate (being the most recent) against the overall Zacks Consensus Estimate. The percentage difference provides the ESP figure. The system also utilizes our core Zacks Rank to provide a stronger system for identifying stocks that might beat their next quarterly earnings estimate and possibly see the stock price climb.

Bringing together a positive earnings ESP alongside a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) or better has helped stocks report a positive earnings surprise 70% of the time. Furthermore, by using these parameters, investors have seen 28.3% annual returns on average, according to our 10 year backtest.

Most stocks, about 60%, fall into the #3 (Hold) category, and they are expected to perform in-line with the broader market. Stocks with a #2 (Buy) and #1 (Strong Buy) rating, or the top 15% and top 5% of stocks, respectively, should outperform the market, with Strong Buy stocks outperforming more than any other rank.

Should You Consider Intuit?

Now that we understand what the ESP is and how beneficial it can be, let's dive into a stock that currently fits the bill. Intuit (INTU - Free Report) earns a #2 (Buy) right now and its Most Accurate Estimate sits at $1.01 a share, just 18 days from its upcoming earnings release on August 23, 2022.

Intuit's Earnings ESP sits at +1.92%, which, as explained above, is calculated by taking the percentage difference between the $1.01 Most Accurate Estimate and the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.99. INTU is also part of a large group of stocks that boast a positive ESP. Make sure to utilize our Earnings ESP Filter to uncover the best stocks to buy or sell before they've reported.

INTU is just one of a large group of Computer and Technology stocks with a positive ESP figure. Blink Charging (BLNK - Free Report) is another qualifying stock you may want to consider.

Slated to report earnings on August 8, 2022, Blink Charging holds a #2 (Buy) ranking on the Zacks Rank, and it's Most Accurate Estimate is -$0.34 a share three days from its next quarterly update.

The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Blink Charging is -$0.36, and when you take the percentage difference between that number and its Most Accurate Estimate, you get the Earnings ESP figure of +4.23%.

Because both stocks hold a positive Earnings ESP, INTU and BLNK could potentially post earnings beats in their next reports.

Find Stocks to Buy or Sell Before They're Reported

Use the Zacks Earnings ESP Filter to turn up stocks with the highest probability of positively, or negatively, surprising to buy or sell before they're reported for profitable earnings season trading. Check it out here >>


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Intuit Inc. (INTU) - free report >>

Blink Charging Co. (BLNK) - free report >>

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