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Louisiana-Pacific (LPX) Stock Dips Despite Q4 Earnings Beat

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Louisiana-Pacific Corporation (LPX - Free Report) , or LP, reported lackluster results for fourth-quarter 2022. Although earnings surpassed the Zacks Consensus Estimate, it declined significantly from the previous year. Net sales also declined year over year and missed analysts’ expectations.

LPX’s shares plunged 12.45% on Feb 21, after the earnings release.

LP chairman and CEO Brad Southern, stated, "Inflationary pressures continue to present headwinds, housing starts have softened, and OSB prices remain depressed after falling steeply in the fourth quarter. However, LP has managed through challenges like these before. I am bullish about the long-term fundamentals for housing, and very confident that LP's strategy of growth specialization will continue to deliver value in 2023."

Detailed Discussion

Louisiana-Pacific reported adjusted earnings of 61 cents per share, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 58 cents by 5.2%. The bottom line declined a whopping 69% from the year-ago quarter’s reported figure of $1.97 per share.

Louisiana-Pacific Corporation Price, Consensus and EPS Surprise


Louisiana-Pacific Corporation Price, Consensus and EPS Surprise

Louisiana-Pacific Corporation price-consensus-eps-surprise-chart | Louisiana-Pacific Corporation Quote

Net sales of $705 million marginally missed the consensus estimate of $707 billion and declined 16% from the year-ago period due to lower OSB prices and volume.

Single-family housing starts fell to 193 from the 262 units reported in the year-ago period. Yet, multi-family starts rose to 136 units from the 120 units reported a year ago.

Segmental Analysis

Siding: The segment’s sales of $386 million were up 37% from the prior-year period, with an increase of 38% in Siding Solutions’ (formerly known as SmartSide) revenues to $385 million. This was backed by a 15% rise in the average net selling price and a 20% increase in volume from the prior-year level. The average net selling price benefited from list price increases and an improved mix of innovative products. Volume increased on the back of the ongoing ramp-up of the Houlton facility, steady customer demand and the non-recurrence of production downtime in the prior year for a major scheduled maintenance project.

Adjusted EBITDA increased a notable 83% to $88 million. Price and volume growth were offset by raw material, freight and labor inflation, and discretionary investments in capacity, and sales and marketing.

OSB: Sales in the segment decreased 45% year over year to $257 million, owing to 34% lower OSB prices. The company’s adjusted EBITDA fell 94% year over year to $13 million due to lower prices, increased raw material costs and wage inflation.

South America: Sales of $51 million declined 18% due to lower volumes and unfavorable foreign currency movements, partially offset by higher local OSB prices. Adjusted EBITDA fell 45% from the year-ago quarter to $12 million due to lower revenues and higher raw material costs.

Operating Highlights

The gross margin contracted to 18.2% from 36.6% reported a year ago. Adjusted EBITDA of $100 million was down from the prior-year quarter’s $278 million.

2022 Highlights

For the year, net sales amounted to $3.9 billion, down 2% from 2021. Siding Solutions’ net sales growth of 26% was offset by a 14% decline in OSB. Adjusted earnings per share were $11.77, down from the $13.97 reported in the previous year.

Adjusted EBITDA for the year summed up to $1.4 billion, down 30% from the 2021 number.


At 2022-end, LP had more than $900 million of liquidity. As of Dec 31, 2022, Louisiana-Pacific had cash and cash equivalents of $369 million compared with $358 million at the 2021-end. Long-term debt was in line with the 2021 level of $346 million.

For the fourth quarter and 2022, net cash provided by operations was $41 million and $1.14 billion, down from $201 million and $1.48 billion reported in the respective year-ago period. In 2022, it repurchased 14.4 million shares of its common shares. At Dec 31, 2022, $200 million was remaining of the total authorization.

Q1 Guidance

For first-quarter 2023, the company expects Siding Solutions’ revenues to decline 5% from the year-ago period's reported figure. OSB revenues are expected to be sequentially low by 20% (based on Random Lengths’ report published on Feb 17, 2023). It anticipates a consolidated adjusted EBITDA of $35 million.

Zacks Rank & Recent Construction Releases

Louisiana-Pacific currently carries a Zacks Rank #5 (Strong Sell).

You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.

Owens Corning (OC - Free Report) reported impressive results for fourth-quarter 2022. Quarterly earnings and net sales surpassed the Zacks Consensus Estimate and increased on a year-over-year basis.

Despite lower volumes, high costs and unfavorable currency, strong pricing helped the company generate higher earnings.

Masco Corporation (MAS - Free Report) reported mixed results for fourth-quarter 2022. The bottom line lagged the Zacks Consensus Estimate and declined on a year-over-year basis due to supply-chain challenges and inflation headwinds.

Net sales surpassed the consensus mark but declined from the prior-year quarter, thanks to demand softness across product categories in North America, partially offset by selling price increases.

Armstrong World Industries, Inc. (AWI - Free Report) reported mixed results for fourth-quarter 2022, wherein earnings surpassed the Zacks Consensus Estimate and declined on a year-over-year basis.

On the contrary, AWI’s net sales beat the consensus estimates and grew from the prior year on the back of pricing actions undertaken.

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