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Forget a Hawkish Fed: 5 Must-Buy Tech Giants Flying High YTD

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U.S. stock investors are likely to face volatility for longer than expected as the Fed is set to pursue rigorous interest rate hike policies. On Mar 7 and 8, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell’s testimony before the U.S. Congress confirmed that any sort of relaxation in recent monetary tightness is a long way to go.

The Fed was compelled to take an extremely hawkish stance as inflation remains sticky in the 5.5% to 6% range. Although it has declined from its peak 9.1% reported in June 2022, inflation is still miles above the central bank’s targeted 2% level.

The CME FedWatch is showing that market participants are now expecting the terminal interest rate to reach the range of 5.5% to 5.75% instead of 5.1% projected in December. A section of economists and financial experts have warned that the United States is heading for 6% benchmark interest rate with a strong probability of a recession in 2023.

Technology Sector Thrives Year to Date

Growth-oriented sectors like technology, communication services and consumer discretionary are highly susceptible to interest rate movements. A high interest rate is detrimental to growth stocks. This is evident in the recent pandemic-induced turmoil.

During the pandemic-ridden 2020 and 2021, the Fed kept the benchmark interest rate as low as 0-0.25%. Consequently, the tech sector witnessed an unprecedented rally that enabled Wall Street to exit a coronavirus-induced short bear market and form a new bull market.

However, as the Fed hiked interest rate by 4.5% in 2022 to combat the 40-year high inflation, the growth sectors, especially the technology stocks suffered the most. However, surprisingly, the tech sector is holding its ground year to date defying the threat of a higher rate hike for a longer time and its effect of a possible recession.

Year to date, of the three major stock indexes — the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite has advanced 10.6% while the S&P 500 has gained 4% and the Dow has declined 1.1%. The Technology Select Sector SPDR (XLK) — one of the 11 broad sectors of the S&P 500 Index — has rallied 11.8% in 2023, second only to the Communication Services Select Sector SPDR (XLC), which has appreciated 12.9%.

Our Top Picks

Several technology stocks have flourished year to date. We have narrowed our search to five tech behemoths (market capital > $50 billion) with year-to-date returns of nearly 25% or more. These stocks have strong growth potential for 2023 and have seen positive earnings estimate revisions in the last 60 days. Finally, each of our picks carries either a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) or 2 (Buy). You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank stocks here.

The chart below shows the price performance of our five picks year to date.

Zacks Investment Research
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research

Airbnb Inc. (ABNB - Free Report) is riding on an improvement in the travel industry. Continued recovery in both longer-distance and cross-border travel owing to a reduction in travel restrictions is benefiting ABNB’s Nights & Experience bookings. Additionally, growth in average daily rates and gross booking value is a tailwind.

Growing active listings in Latin America, North America and EMEA are contributing well to the top line. Growing sales and marketing initiatives along with continuous efforts to upgrade various aspects of the Airbnb service are helping the company gain momentum among hosts and guests.

Zacks Rank #1 Airbnb has an expected revenue and earnings growth rate of 14.9% and 21.2%, respectively, for the current year. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for current-year earnings has improved 18.2% over the last 30 days. The stock price of ABNB has jumped 46.5% year to date.

salesforce.com inc. (CRM - Free Report) is benefiting from a robust demand environment as customers are undergoing a major digital transformation. The rapid adoption of its cloud-based solutions is driving demand for CRM’s products. CRM’s sustained focus on introducing more aligned products as per customer needs is driving its top-line.

Continued deal wins in the international market are the other growth drivers. The acquisition of Slack would position salesforce.com as a leader in the enterprise team collaboration solution space and help it compete better with Microsoft’s Teams product. We expect CRM revenues to witness a CAGR of 12.5% during fiscal 2023-2025.

Zacks Rank #1 salesforce.com has an expected revenue and earnings growth rate of 10.5% and 32.8%, respectively, for the current year (January 2024). The Zacks Consensus Estimate for current-year earnings has improved 19.4% over the last 30 days. The stock price of CRM has climbed 38% year to date.

Meta Platforms Inc. (META - Free Report) is benefiting from steady user growth across all regions, particularly Asia Pacific. Increased engagement for its products like Instagram, WhatsApp, Messenger and Facebook has been a major growth driver. META is considered to have pioneered the concept of social networking.

However, as developed regions mature, Meta Platforms has taken measures to drive penetration in emerging markets of South East Asia, Latin America and Africa. Of all places, India deserves special mention in terms of user growth. The world’s second-largest populated country offers tremendous potential for META. With China off the radar, India can prove to be a terrific growth engine for Meta.

Zacks Rank #2 Meta Platforms has an expected revenue growth rate of 4.6% for the current year. The company has an earnings growth rate of 19% for next year. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for current-year earnings has improved 1.5% over the last 30 days. The stock price of META has soared 53.6% year to date.

Palo Alto Networks Inc. (PANW - Free Report) has been benefiting from continuous deal wins and the increasing adoption of PANW’s next-generation security platforms, attributable to the rise in the remote work environment and the need for stronger security.

Growing traction in Prisma and Cortex offerings is acting as a tailwind. PANW continues to acquire new customers and increase wallet share with existing customers. Our estimates suggests that Palo Alto’s revenues will witness a CAGR of 21.1% through fiscal 2023-2025.

Zacks Rank #1 Palo Alto Networks has an expected revenue and earnings growth rate of 25.2% and 57.1%, respectively, for the current year (ending July 2023). The Zacks Consensus Estimate for current-year earnings has improved 15.8% over the last 30 days. The stock price of PANW has surged 34.6% year to date.

Cadence Design Systems Inc. (CDNS - Free Report) offers products and tools that help customers design electronic products. Through the System Design Enablement strategy, CDNS offers software, hardware, services and reusable IC design blocks to electronic systems and semiconductor customers.

Cadence’s performance is being driven by strength across segments like digital & signoff solutions and functional verification suite. CDNS is also gaining from higher investments in emerging trends like IoT and autonomous vehicle sub-systems along with strength in the semiconductor end-market. Frequent product launches are expected to help CDNS sustain top-line growth.

Zacks Rank #1 Cadence Design Systems has an expected revenue and earnings growth rate of 13.4% and 16.4%, respectively, for the current year. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for current-year earnings has improved 10% over the last 30 days. The stock price of CDNS has advanced 24.1% year to date.

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