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Marathon Petroleum Slips to Strong Sell on Estimate Revision

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On Jul 13, Zacks Investment Research downgraded Marathon Petroleum Corporation (MPC - Free Report) – a leading independent refiner – to a Zacks Rank #5 (Strong Sell).

Why the Downgrade?

Over the last 30 days, the Zacks Consensus Estimate for Marathon Petroleum for the second quarter of this year saw a downfall of more than 28% from $1.35 per share to 97 cents as all the estimates has been revised downward. Moreover, for full-year 2016, the company’s Zacks Consensus Estimate decreased to $3.08 per share from $3.82.

Additionally, the refining player could not manage to surpass the Zacks Consensus Estimate in three of the last four quarters and posted an average miss of 16.05%.  

It is also to be considered that oil has recovered significantly after a long weakness and is now walking on the bullish path. Data wise, in mid-February, West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude fell to a 12-year low mark of $26.05 per barrel. From there, the commodity improved almost 80% and closed yesterday at $46.80 per barrel. Since refiners are buyers of crude, this improvement on the crude front is not in favor of Marathon Petroleum as reflected in the already mentioned downward estimate revisions.

Investors should also note that the requirement of policies to reformulate fuel and lower emission from refinery operations makes the industry a highly regulated one. As a result, companies like Marathon Petroleum are often forced to divert cash flows to ensure regulatory compliance, which can adversely impact profitability.

MARATHON PETROL Price and Consensus

Stocks to Consider

Better-ranked players in the oil refining and marketing sector include Murphy USA Inc. (MUSA - Free Report) , World Fuel Services Corp and Galp Energia, SGPS, S.A (GLPEY - Free Report) . Murphy USA and World Fuel Services sport a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) while Galp Energia carries a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy).

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