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Tale of the Tape

Zacks Equity Research

Can Amazon (AMZN) Keep the Earnings Streak Alive This Quarter?
September 29, 2016


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Looking for a stock that might be in a good position to beat earnings at its next report? Consider, Inc. (AMZN - Analyst Report) , a firm in the Internet Commerce industry, which could be a great candidate for another beat.

This company has seen a nice streak of beating earnings estimates, especially when looking at the previous two reports. In fact, in these reports, AMZN has beaten estimates by at least 55% in both cases, suggesting it has a nice short-term history of crushing expectations.

Earnings in Focus

Two quarters ago, AMZN expected to post earnings of 61 cents per share, while it actually produced earnings of $1.07 per share, a beat of 75.41%. Meanwhile, for the most recent quarter, the company looked to deliver earnings of $1.14 per share, when it actually saw earnings of $1.78 per share instead, representing a 56.1% positive surprise.

AMAZON.COM INC Price and EPS Surprise

AMAZON.COM INC Price and EPS Surprise | AMAZON.COM INC Quote

Thanks in part to this history, recent estimates have been moving higher for Amazon. In fact, the Earnings ESP for AMZN is positive, which is a great sign of a coming beat.

After all, the Zacks Earnings ESP compares the most accurate estimate to the broad consensus, looking to find stocks that have seen big revisions as of late, suggesting that analysts have recently become more bullish on the company’s earnings prospects. This is the case for AMZN, as the firm currently has a Zacks Earnings ESP of 1.19%, so another beat could be around the corner.

This is particularly true when you consider that AMZN has a great Zacks Rank #2 (Buy) which can be a harbinger of outperformance and a signal for a strong earnings profile. You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 (Strong Buy) Rank stocks here.

When you add this solid Zacks Rank to a positive Earnings ESP, a positive earnings surprise happens nearly 70% of the time, so it seems pretty likely that AMZN could see another beat at its next report, especially if recent trends are any guide.

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